Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 22, 2015

Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Nov. 15, 2006 - Fri. May. 26, 2023)

(Emergent BioSolutions Inc.)
EBS latest price $28.7400 (-2.77%) ($28.3500 - $29.4300) on Tue. Sep. 22, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.03% (three month average)
RSI   36
Latest Price   $28.7400(-2.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EBS declines -1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EBS declines -1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EBS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(48%)    IWO(47%)    XBI(45%)    IWM(44%)    IWF(43%)
Factors Impacting EBS price   EBS will decline at least -1.015% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-10%)    TLT(-9%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-3%)    UUP(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.015% (StdDev 2.03%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $24.66(-14.2%)
Resistance Level   $30.85
5 Day Moving Average   $29.92(-3.94%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.23(-4.93%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.85(-6.84%)
To recent high   -14.6%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $1.52b

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. engages in the development, manufacture, and commercialization of medical countermeasures. It offers specialty products for civilian and military populations that address accidental, intentional and naturally occurring public health threats. The firm's products include ACAM2000, BioThrax, Raxibacuma, Vaxchora, and VIGIV. Its business units include Vaccines and Anti-Infectives; Antibody Therapeutics; Devices; and Contract Development and Manufacturing. The company was founded by Fuad El-Hibri in May 1998 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

$. EBS price fluctuates within 2.92% (three month std-dev: 2.03%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 18 Average positive next day return: 2.03%(67%) Average negative next day return: -0.65%(33%) Sample size 18 Average positive next three day return: 3.76%(61%) Average negative next three day return: -1.26%(39%) Sample size 18 Average positive next weekly return: 3.99%(61%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.91%(39%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151022

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_22_2015	30.8	30.85	30.23	29.92	30	29.52	28.74(-2.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-44	-100	-36	-69	0.39	40%	-0.03	-45.2	2.03%	0	-2.3	36	INF
2	Sep_21_2015	30.81	30.97	30.48	30.31	30.37	30.24	29.56(-2.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-23	-20	-15	-45	0.26	42%	0	-51.4	2.01%	0	-1.9	36	INF
3	Sep_18_2015	30.81	31.07	30.6	30.52	30.51	30.48	30.38(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15	-10	-4	-47	0.39	48%	0.1	-53.2	2.01%	0	-1	32	INF
4	Sep_17_2015	30.78	31.11	30.65	30.6	30.57	30.5	30.69(1.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-13	-20	1	-54	0.28	48%	0.07	-64.7	2.03%	0	-0.6	37	INF
5	Sep_16_2015	30.76	31.17	30.74	30.54	30.58	30.54	30.23(-1.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-19	-10	-4	-65	0.21	46%	0.03	-74.2	2.02%	0	-1.4	35	INF

6	Sep_15_2015	30.75	31.26	30.8	30.6	30.57	30.64	30.69(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-19	10	-3	-67	0.28	46%	0.07	-85	2.04%	0	-0.9	46	INF
7	Sep_14_2015	30.73	31.36	30.88	30.67	30.65	30.62	30.62(-0.49%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-14	-10	1	-58	0.17	46%	0.07	-78.4	2.04%	0	-1	50	INF
8	Sep_11_2015	30.71	31.44	31.07	30.69	30.75	30.5	30.77(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-17	-50	-5	-51	0.3	46%	0.07	-80	2.05%	0	-0.9	45	INF
9	Sep_10_2015	30.69	31.54	31.22	30.7	30.76	30.69	30.4(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-26	-10	-19	-45	0.28	47%	0.07	-76.2	2.04%	0	-1.5	49	INF
10	Sep_9_2015	30.67	31.69	31.41	30.97	31	30.99	30.5(-1.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-6	0	-0	-22	0.35	47%	0.07	-51.6	2.05%	0	-1.5	43	INF

11	Sep_8_2015	30.65	31.84	31.51	31.04	31	30.84	31.08(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-11	-60	-6	-27	0.32	47%	0.2	-34.4	2.04%	0	-0.9	45	INF
12	Sep_4_2015	30.59	31.95	31.5	31.11	31.12	31.01	30.69(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-33	-20	-28	-49	0.17	47%	0.07	-20.7	2.02%	0	-1.4	39	INF
13	Sep_3_2015	30.57	32.05	31.6	31.52	31.51	31.4	30.85(-2.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-13	-30	-9	-26	0.4	49%	0.1	-0.4	2.02%	0	-1.4	43	INF
14	Sep_2_2015	30.54	32.14	31.62	31.82	31.78	31.22	31.71(2.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	-130	-18	-30	0.48	50%	0.1	19.2	2%	0	-0.5	44	INF
15	Sep_1_2015	30.51	32.11	31.64	31.93	32.11	31.62	30.86(-1.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-29	-90	-25	-40	0.42	48%	0.1	24.3	1.97%	0	-1.5	36	INF

16	Aug_31_2015	30.48	32.14	31.77	32.03	32.31	32.35	31.44(-3.91%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-9	30	1	-38	0.3	48%	0.1	25.7	1.97%	0	-0.8	37	INF
17	Aug_28_2015	30.45	32.13	31.9	31.91	32.1	32.6	32.72(1.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	7	130	23	-42	0.21	53%	0.2	22	1.91%	0	0.7	45	INF
18	Aug_27_2015	30.39	32.05	31.84	31.69	31.65	32.28	32.38(0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	12	140	34	-53	0.68	55%	0.16	14.9	1.92%	0	0.4	49	INF
19	Aug_26_2015	30.34	31.98	31.87	31.4	31.23	31.6	32.24(2.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-4	70	19	-74	0.48	55%	0.17	2.4	1.93%	0	0.3	47	INF
20	Aug_25_2015	30.29	31.91	31.96	31.35	31.1	31.02	31.39(1.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-18	-40	-2	-66	0.48	53%	0.13	-6.9	1.92%	0	-0.6	56	INF

21	Aug_24_2015	30.25	31.93	32.17	31.48	31.24	30.86	30.84(-2.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-34	-110	-28	-50	0.47	53%	0.03	-3.4	1.92%	0	-1.2	51	INF
22	Aug_21_2015	30.24	31.94	32.43	31.87	31.69	31.18	31.62(2.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-130	-22	-8	0.31	55%	0.13	1.7	1.9%	0	-0.3	56	INF
23	Aug_20_2015	30.2	31.92	32.53	32	32.05	31.63	30.93(-3.25%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.2	-22	-90	-32	9	0.21	53%	0.1	-1.7	1.88%	0	-1.1	53	INF
24	Aug_19_2015	30.17	31.96	32.72	32.38	32.33	32.2	31.97(-0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-5	-30	-23	51	0.14	56%	0.17	7.7	1.84%	0	0	61	INF
25	Aug_18_2015	30.12	31.97	32.64	32.65	32.7	32.48	32.05(-2.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	9	-40	-13	75	0.2	56%		19.3	1.85%	0	0.1	64	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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