Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 14, 2015

Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Nov. 15, 2006 - Fri. May. 26, 2023)

(Emergent BioSolutions Inc.)
EBS latest price $32.2600 (-1.77%) ($31.8100 - $32.9800) on Fri. Aug. 14, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.82% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $32.2600(-1.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EBS declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EBS advances 3.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EBS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(48%)    XBI(45%)    IWM(44%)    SPY(42%)    QQQ(41%)
Factors Impacting EBS price   EBS will decline at least -0.91% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-11%)    TLT(-9%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-3%)    UUP(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.91% (StdDev 1.82%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $33.08(-2.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.42(-0.49%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.93(1.03%)
To recent high   -4.1%
To recent low   12.9%
Market Cap   $1.707b

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. engages in the development, manufacture, and commercialization of medical countermeasures. It offers specialty products for civilian and military populations that address accidental, intentional and naturally occurring public health threats. The firm's products include ACAM2000, BioThrax, Raxibacuma, Vaxchora, and VIGIV. Its business units include Vaccines and Anti-Infectives; Antibody Therapeutics; Devices; and Contract Development and Manufacturing. The company was founded by Fuad El-Hibri in May 1998 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

$. EBS price fluctuates within 2.82% (three month std-dev: 1.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.11%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.86%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 4.78%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.77%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150914

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_14_2015	30.02	31.93	32.42	33.08	33.11	32.91	32.26(-1.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	14	-40	-16	102	0.15	58%	0.2	36.2	1.82%	0	0.4	61	INF
2	Aug_13_2015	29.96	31.94	32.31	33.13	33.29	33.34	32.84(-1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	35	30	7	118	0.24	58%	0.23	41.1	1.8%	0	1	65	INF
3	Aug_12_2015	29.89	31.89	32.12	33.1	32.98	33.31	33.31(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	46	60	21	119	0.28	56%	0.2	47.1	1.8%	0	1.6	62	INF
4	Aug_11_2015	29.83	31.8	31.85	32.62	32.81	33.24	33.65(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	53	110	42	84	0.56	58%	0.2	39.5	1.83%	0	2.3	58	INF
5	Aug_10_2015	29.77	31.7	31.64	32.12	32.26	32.65	33.33(2.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	36	100	31	50	0.51	58%	0.2	31.3	1.85%	0	2.3	59	INF

6	Aug_7_2015	29.71	31.61	31.39	31.68	31.76	32.37	32.52(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.4	24	140	28	11	0.53	56%	0.1	20.2	1.85%	0	1.5	49	INF
7	Aug_6_2015	29.68	31.57	31.22	31.37	31.49	31.88	32.68(5.73%)	RB	SmallLong	20	2.2	24	100	38	-17	0.55	56%	0.17	17.6	1.85%	0	1.9	49	INF
8	Aug_5_2015	29.63	31.48	31.09	31.03	31.09	31.16	30.91(-0.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-10	20	6	-59	0.14	51%	0.1	-2.8	1.71%	0	-1	40	INF
9	Aug_4_2015	29.6	31.47	31.21	30.96	30.96	31.11	31.17(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-17	30	-2	-61	0.15	51%	0.1	-10.1	1.72%	0	-0.5	48	INF
10	Aug_3_2015	29.57	31.47	31.27	31.08	30.93	31.03	31.1(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-9	10	6	-54	0.11	51%	0.14	3.4	1.72%	0	-0.7	43	INF

11	Jul_31_2015	29.53	31.48	31.39	31.08	31.04	30.81	31.01(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-13	-50	0	-51	0.17	54%	0.1	-3.3	1.74%	0	-0.8	47	INF
12	Jul_30_2015	29.5	31.47	31.54	31.05	30.98	30.84	30.94(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-28	-40	-19	-53	0.2	52%	0.14	-7.3	1.79%	0	-0.9	43	INF
13	Jul_29_2015	29.46	31.5	31.65	31.17	31.15	31.27	30.6(-3.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-16	30	-11	-32	0.19	52%	0.14	3.2	1.8%	0	-1.5	50	INF
14	Jul_28_2015	29.42	31.53	31.76	31.49	31.37	31.12	31.73(2.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-0	-70	-0	-1	0.15	56%	0.14	14	1.75%	0	0.4	60	INF
15	Jul_27_2015	29.38	31.46	31.79	31.51	31.49	31.04	30.97(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-26	-100	-33	-5	0.18	54%	0.14	5.7	1.72%	0	-0.8	50	INF

16	Jul_24_2015	29.34	31.5	31.86	31.79	31.8	31.62	30.99(-1.84%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.3	-14	-40	-25	21	0.2	54%	0.14	24.2	1.73%	0	-0.8	52	INF
17	Jul_23_2015	29.3	31.51	31.97	32.1	32.07	31.95	31.57(-1.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	12	-30	-5	63	0.18	58%	0.14	45.8	1.71%	0	0.1	59	INF
18	Jul_22_2015	29.26	31.48	31.92	32.19	32.14	31.98	32.2(1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	16	-40	-1	66	0.28	61%	0.17	58.9	1.74%	0	1.2	55	INF
19	Jul_21_2015	29.21	31.45	31.77	32.06	32.12	32.2	31.83(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	11	20	-4	54	0.22	61%	0.1	73.8	1.73%	0	0.6	56	INF
20	Jul_20_2015	29.18	31.43	31.72	32.1	32.07	32.31	32.35(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	50	15	75	0.41	61%	0.14	87.2	1.72%	0	1.6	65	INF

21	Jul_17_2015	29.14	31.36	31.58	31.95	31.93	32.05	32.53(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	24	20	12	59	0.29	58%	0.14	92.2	1.72%	0	2.1	54	INF
22	Jul_16_2015	29.1	31.24	31.38	31.83	31.86	31.84	32.05(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-0	10	46	0.44	58%	0.14	88.4	1.74%	0	1.5	55	INF
23	Jul_15_2015	29.06	31.12	31.32	31.61	31.79	31.81	31.54(-1.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	16	20	8	39	0.31	58%	0.1	59.8	1.73%	0	0.7	55	INF
24	Jul_14_2015	29.03	31.02	31.27	31.43	31.59	31.87	32.04(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	16	80	13	23	0.18	58%	0.1	40.5	1.72%	0	1.4	50	INF
25	Jul_13_2015	29	30.92	31.1	31.27	31.33	31.77	31.57(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	100	22	6	0.34	61%		35.9	1.72%	0	0.9	51	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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