Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 6, 2015

Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Nov. 15, 2006 - Fri. May. 26, 2023)

(Emergent BioSolutions Inc.)
EBS latest price $32.6800 (5.73%) ($31.6400 - $33.5200) on Thu. Aug. 6, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.85% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $32.6800(5.73%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EBS advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EBS declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EBS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(48%)    XBI(45%)    IWM(44%)    SPY(42%)    QQQ(41%)
Factors Impacting EBS price   EBS will decline at least -0.925% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-11%)    TLT(-9%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-3%)    UUP(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.925% (StdDev 1.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.37(4.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.22(4.68%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.57(3.52%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   15.6%
Market Cap   $1.729b

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. engages in the development, manufacture, and commercialization of medical countermeasures. It offers specialty products for civilian and military populations that address accidental, intentional and naturally occurring public health threats. The firm's products include ACAM2000, BioThrax, Raxibacuma, Vaxchora, and VIGIV. Its business units include Vaccines and Anti-Infectives; Antibody Therapeutics; Devices; and Contract Development and Manufacturing. The company was founded by Fuad El-Hibri in May 1998 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

$. EBS price fluctuates within 1.87% (three month std-dev: 1.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.38%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 3.18%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 3.76%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150906

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_6_2015	29.68	31.57	31.22	31.37	31.49	31.88	32.68(5.73%)	RB	SmallLong	20	2.2	24	100	38	-17	0.55	56%	0.17	17.6	1.85%	0	1.9	49	0
2	Aug_5_2015	29.63	31.48	31.09	31.03	31.09	31.16	30.91(-0.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-10	20	6	-59	0.14	51%	0.1	-2.8	1.71%	0	-1	40	0
3	Aug_4_2015	29.6	31.47	31.21	30.96	30.96	31.11	31.17(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-17	30	-2	-61	0.15	51%	0.1	-10.1	1.72%	0	-0.5	48	0
4	Aug_3_2015	29.57	31.47	31.27	31.08	30.93	31.03	31.1(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-9	10	6	-54	0.11	51%	0.14	3.4	1.72%	0	-0.7	43	0
5	Jul_31_2015	29.53	31.48	31.39	31.08	31.04	30.81	31.01(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-13	-50	0	-51	0.17	54%	0.1	-3.3	1.74%	0	-0.8	47	0

6	Jul_30_2015	29.5	31.47	31.54	31.05	30.98	30.84	30.94(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-28	-40	-19	-53	0.2	52%	0.14	-7.3	1.79%	0	-0.9	43	0
7	Jul_29_2015	29.46	31.5	31.65	31.17	31.15	31.27	30.6(-3.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-16	30	-11	-32	0.19	52%	0.14	3.2	1.8%	0	-1.5	50	0
8	Jul_28_2015	29.42	31.53	31.76	31.49	31.37	31.12	31.73(2.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-0	-70	-0	-1	0.15	56%	0.14	14	1.75%	0	0.4	60	0
9	Jul_27_2015	29.38	31.46	31.79	31.51	31.49	31.04	30.97(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-26	-100	-33	-5	0.18	54%	0.14	5.7	1.72%	0	-0.8	50	0
10	Jul_24_2015	29.34	31.5	31.86	31.79	31.8	31.62	30.99(-1.84%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.3	-14	-40	-25	21	0.2	54%	0.14	24.2	1.73%	0	-0.8	52	0

11	Jul_23_2015	29.3	31.51	31.97	32.1	32.07	31.95	31.57(-1.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	12	-30	-5	63	0.18	58%	0.14	45.8	1.71%	0	0.1	59	0
12	Jul_22_2015	29.26	31.48	31.92	32.19	32.14	31.98	32.2(1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	16	-40	-1	66	0.28	61%	0.17	58.9	1.74%	0	1.2	55	0
13	Jul_21_2015	29.21	31.45	31.77	32.06	32.12	32.2	31.83(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	11	20	-4	54	0.22	61%	0.1	73.8	1.73%	0	0.6	56	0
14	Jul_20_2015	29.18	31.43	31.72	32.1	32.07	32.31	32.35(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	50	15	75	0.41	61%	0.14	87.2	1.72%	0	1.6	65	0
15	Jul_17_2015	29.14	31.36	31.58	31.95	31.93	32.05	32.53(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	24	20	12	59	0.29	58%	0.14	92.2	1.72%	0	2.1	54	0

16	Jul_16_2015	29.1	31.24	31.38	31.83	31.86	31.84	32.05(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-0	10	46	0.44	58%	0.14	88.4	1.74%	0	1.5	55	0
17	Jul_15_2015	29.06	31.12	31.32	31.61	31.79	31.81	31.54(-1.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	16	20	8	39	0.31	58%	0.1	59.8	1.73%	0	0.7	55	0
18	Jul_14_2015	29.03	31.02	31.27	31.43	31.59	31.87	32.04(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	16	80	13	23	0.18	58%	0.1	40.5	1.72%	0	1.4	50	0
19	Jul_13_2015	29	30.92	31.27	31.27	31.33	31.77	31.57(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	100	22	6	0.34	61%	0.14	35.9	1.72%	0	0.9	51	0
20	Jul_10_2015	28.96	30.85	31.1	31.16	31.11	31.3	31.97(3.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	22	40	26	9	0.17	61%	0.1	29.1	1.75%	0	1.6	56	0

21	Jul_9_2015	28.93	30.77	31	30.88	31.11	30.9	30.93(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-6	0	-4	-13	0.26	58%	0.14	20.4	1.71%	0	0.2	55	0
22	Jul_8_2015	28.89	30.75	30.99	30.99	30.88	30.91	30.62(-2.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-2	-0	-5	7	0.29	58%	0.1	27.5	1.71%	0	-0.2	59	0
23	Jul_7_2015	28.86	30.73	31.11	31.09	31.01	30.87	31.25(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-40	9	45	0.25	61%	0.07	33.5	1.68%	0	0.8	63	0
24	Jul_6_2015	28.84	30.68	31.11	30.9	30.96	30.84	31.03(1.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-1	-20	-14	37	0.17	61%	0.21	30.2	1.69%	0	0.5	56	0
25	Jul_2_2015	28.78	30.64	31.12	31.03	30.98	31.15	30.56(-2.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	12	30	-4	61	0.21	61%		39.7	1.68%	0	-0.1	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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