Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 9, 2015

Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Nov. 15, 2006 - Fri. May. 26, 2023)

(Emergent BioSolutions Inc.)
EBS latest price $30.9300 (1.01%) ($30.6000 - $31.3900) on Thu. Jul. 9, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.71% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $30.9300(1.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EBS declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EBS declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EBS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(48%)    XBI(45%)    IWM(44%)    SPY(42%)    QQQ(41%)
Factors Impacting EBS price   EBS will decline at least -0.855% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-11%)    TLT(-9%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-3%)    UUP(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.855% (StdDev 1.71%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.88(0.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31(-0.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.77(0.52%)
To recent high   -2.8%
To recent low   12.7%
Market Cap   $1.636b

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. engages in the development, manufacture, and commercialization of medical countermeasures. It offers specialty products for civilian and military populations that address accidental, intentional and naturally occurring public health threats. The firm's products include ACAM2000, BioThrax, Raxibacuma, Vaxchora, and VIGIV. Its business units include Vaccines and Anti-Infectives; Antibody Therapeutics; Devices; and Contract Development and Manufacturing. The company was founded by Fuad El-Hibri in May 1998 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

$. EBS price fluctuates within 2.11% (three month std-dev: 1.71%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150809

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_9_2015	28.93	30.77	31	30.88		30.9	30.93(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-6	0	-4	-13	0.26	58%	0.14	20.4	1.71%	0	0.2	55	0
2	Jul_8_2015	28.89	30.75	30.99	30.99	30.88	30.91	30.62(-2.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-2	-0	-5	7	0.29	58%	0.1	27.5	1.71%	0	-0.2	59	0
3	Jul_7_2015	28.86	30.73	31.11	31.09	31.01	30.87	31.25(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-40	9	45	0.25	61%	0.07	33.5	1.68%	0	0.8	63	0
4	Jul_6_2015	28.84	30.68	31.11	30.9	30.96	30.84	31.03(1.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-1	-20	-14	37	0.17	61%	0.21	30.2	1.69%	0	0.5	56	0
5	Jul_2_2015	28.78	30.68	31.12	31.03	30.98	31.15	30.56(-2.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	12	30	-4	61	0.21	61%	0.14	39.7	1.68%	0	-0.1	54	0

6	Jul_1_2015	28.74	30.64	31.1	31.14	31.08	31.08	31.47(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	-10	15	76	0.36	66%	0.17	47.2	1.64%	0	1.3	55	0
7	Jun_30_2015	28.69	30.57	30.92	31.01	31	30.81	31.12(2.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-1	-40	-16	44	0.19	67%	0.17	49.8	1.66%	0	0.9	54	0
8	Jun_29_2015	28.64	30.51	30.92	31.15	31.11	31.08	30.3(-4.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	1	-10	-15	49	0.26	66%	0.17	62.4	1.65%	0	-0.3	53	0
9	Jun_26_2015	28.59	30.48	30.75	31.37	31.3	31.18	31.72(2.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	-30	9	77	0.64	74%	0.14	75.6	1.57%	0	1.9	61	0
10	Jun_25_2015	28.55	30.39	30.58	31.21	31.24	31.15	31.08(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	15	-20	-0	61	0.11	64%	0.18	82.2	1.55%	0	1.2	56	0

11	Jun_24_2015	28.5	30.33	30.52	31.05	31.16	31.42	30.83(-3.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	27	70	18	54	0.2	64%	0.14	76.6	1.72%	0	0.8	53	0
12	Jun_23_2015	28.46	30.26	30.49	30.79	30.81	31.34	31.82(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	45	120	42	52	0.32	68%	0.21	55.6	1.67%	0	2.3	64	0
13	Jun_22_2015	28.4	30.1	30.3	30.3	30.3	30.89	31.39(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	31	140	35	20	0.26	68%	0.18	38.3	1.68%	0	2.2	66	0
14	Jun_19_2015	28.35	29.99	30.17	30.05	29.93	30.27	30.95(2.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	21	70	26	7	0.46	67%	0.11	30	1.7%	0	1.8	64	0
15	Jun_18_2015	28.32	29.9	30.1	29.88	29.74	29.72	30.26(2.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-3	-20	0	-12	0.27	65%	0.14	29.2	1.71%	0	0.7	52	0

16	Jun_17_2015	28.28	29.87	30.12	29.94	29.82	29.58	29.51(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-16	-70	-18	-10	0.16	63%	0.07	46.1	1.68%	0	-0.7	45	0
17	Jun_16_2015	28.26	29.89	30.2	30.15	30.08	29.75	29.38(-2.59%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.5	-9	-80	-17	14	0.24	63%	0.07	68.9	1.68%	0	-1	54	0
18	Jun_15_2015	28.24	29.88	30.25	30.28	30.23	30.06	30.16(0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	-40	-12	37	0.2	67%	0.14	73.1	1.66%	0	0.5	69	0
19	Jun_12_2015	28.2	29.83	30.2	30.3	30.29	30.4	30.07(-1.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	10	20	-3	48	0.15	67%	0.11	74.6	1.66%	0	0.4	63	0
20	Jun_11_2015	28.17	29.76	30.21	30.36	30.32	30.41	30.56(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	20	9	67	0.25	67%	0.14	67.7	1.65%	0	1.4	64	0

21	Jun_10_2015	28.13	29.65	30.15	30.33	30.26	30.18	30.58(1.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	-30	1	67	0.33	67%	0.14	55.6	1.66%	0	1.5	59	0
22	Jun_9_2015	28.09	29.55	30.02	30.27	30.27	30.23	30.03(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	15	-10	-0	60	0.19	67%	0.07	51.2	1.65%	0	0.8	54	0
23	Jun_8_2015	28.07	29.51	29.9	30.21	30.24	30.34	30.25(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	30	10	56	0.2	67%	0.14	49.8	1.66%	0	1.2	62	0
24	Jun_5_2015	28.03	29.43	29.79	30.08	30.04	30.3	30.37(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	60	8	48	0.49	63%	0.18	41.6	1.7%	0	1.5	66	0
25	Jun_4_2015	27.98	29.36	29.69	30.03	29.95	30.15	30.44(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	26	40	16	57	0.3	65%		50.2	1.7%	0	1.8	70	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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