Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jun. 26, 2015

Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Nov. 15, 2006 - Fri. May. 26, 2023)

(Emergent BioSolutions Inc.)
EBS latest price $31.7200 (2.06%) ($30.8400 - $31.8100) on Fri. Jun. 26, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.57% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $31.7200(2.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EBS advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EBS advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EBS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(48%)    XBI(45%)    IWM(44%)    SPY(42%)    QQQ(41%)
Factors Impacting EBS price   EBS will decline at least -0.785% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-11%)    TLT(-10%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)    UUP(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.785% (StdDev 1.57%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.37(1.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.75(3.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.48(4.07%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   20.6%
Market Cap   $1.678b

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. engages in the development, manufacture, and commercialization of medical countermeasures. It offers specialty products for civilian and military populations that address accidental, intentional and naturally occurring public health threats. The firm's products include ACAM2000, BioThrax, Raxibacuma, Vaxchora, and VIGIV. Its business units include Vaccines and Anti-Infectives; Antibody Therapeutics; Devices; and Contract Development and Manufacturing. The company was founded by Fuad El-Hibri in May 1998 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

$. EBS price fluctuates within 2.17% (three month std-dev: 1.57%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -3.68%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.55%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -3%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150726

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_26_2015	28.59	30.48	30.75	31.37	31.3	31.18	31.72(2.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	-30	9	77	0.64	74%	0.14	75.6	1.57%	0	1.9	61	INF
2	Jun_25_2015	28.55	30.39	30.58	31.21	31.24	31.15	31.08(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	15	-20	-0	61	0.11	64%	0.18	82.2	1.55%	0	1.2	56	INF
3	Jun_24_2015	28.5	30.33	30.52	31.05	31.16	31.42	30.83(-3.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	27	70	18	54	0.2	64%	0.14	76.6	1.72%	0	0.8	53	INF
4	Jun_23_2015	28.46	30.26	30.49	30.79	30.81	31.34	31.82(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	45	120	42	52	0.32	68%	0.21	55.6	1.67%	0	2.3	64	INF
5	Jun_22_2015	28.4	30.1	30.3	30.3	30.3	30.89	31.39(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	31	140	35	20	0.26	68%	0.18	38.3	1.68%	0	2.2	66	INF

6	Jun_19_2015	28.35	29.99	30.17	30.05	29.93	30.27	30.95(2.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	21	70	26	7	0.46	67%	0.11	30	1.7%	0	1.8	64	INF
7	Jun_18_2015	28.32	29.9	30.1	29.88	29.74	29.72	30.26(2.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-3	-20	0	-12	0.27	65%	0.14	29.2	1.71%	0	0.7	52	INF
8	Jun_17_2015	28.28	29.87	30.12	29.94	29.82	29.58	29.51(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-16	-70	-18	-10	0.16	63%	0.07	46.1	1.68%	0	-0.7	45	INF
9	Jun_16_2015	28.26	29.89	30.2	30.15	30.08	29.75	29.38(-2.59%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.5	-9	-80	-17	14	0.24	63%	0.07	68.9	1.68%	0	-1	54	INF
10	Jun_15_2015	28.24	29.88	30.25	30.28	30.23	30.06	30.16(0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	-40	-12	37	0.2	67%	0.14	73.1	1.66%	0	0.5	69	INF

11	Jun_12_2015	28.2	29.83	30.2	30.3	30.29	30.4	30.07(-1.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	10	20	-3	48	0.15	67%	0.11	74.6	1.66%	0	0.4	63	INF
12	Jun_11_2015	28.17	29.76	30.21	30.36	30.32	30.41	30.56(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	20	9	67	0.25	67%	0.14	67.7	1.65%	0	1.4	64	INF
13	Jun_10_2015	28.13	29.65	30.15	30.33	30.26	30.18	30.58(1.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	-30	1	67	0.33	67%	0.14	55.6	1.66%	0	1.5	59	INF
14	Jun_9_2015	28.09	29.55	30.02	30.27	30.27	30.23	30.03(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	15	-10	-0	60	0.19	67%	0.07	51.2	1.65%	0	0.8	54	INF
15	Jun_8_2015	28.07	29.51	29.9	30.21	30.24	30.34	30.25(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	30	10	56	0.2	67%	0.14	49.8	1.66%	0	1.2	62	INF

16	Jun_5_2015	28.03	29.43	29.79	30.08	30.04	30.3	30.37(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	60	8	48	0.49	63%	0.18	41.6	1.7%	0	1.5	66	INF
17	Jun_4_2015	27.98	29.36	29.69	30.03	29.95	30.15	30.44(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	26	40	16	57	0.3	65%	0.11	50.2	1.7%	0	1.8	70	INF
18	Jun_3_2015	27.95	29.29	29.6	29.94	29.86	29.78	30.26(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	-30	11	64	0.4	60%	0.14	56.9	1.72%	0	1.8	72	INF
19	Jun_2_2015	27.91	29.22	29.53	29.74	29.73	29.76	29.71(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	10	6	60	0.27	58%	0.14	53	1.78%	0	1	62	INF
20	Jun_1_2015	27.87	29.2	29.48	29.55	29.48	29.95	29.63(-1.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	100	16	51	0.3	58%	0.11	49.7	1.79%	0	0.9	52	INF

21	May_29_2015	27.84	29.17	29.42	29.44	29.19	29.7	30.09(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	35	100	28	54	0.27	58%	0.18	45.6	1.79%	0	2	63	INF
22	May_28_2015	27.79	29.07	29.27	29.29	29.02	29.01	29.99(2.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	17	-30	12	33	0.33	58%	0.18	25.9	1.8%	0	2	56	INF
23	May_27_2015	27.74	29	29.1	29.23	29	28.67	29.3(1.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-11	-100	-17	8	0.37	57%	0.14	29.1	1.79%	0	0.7	51	INF
24	May_26_2015	27.7	29	29.03	29.3	29.25	29.02	28.74(-1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-8	-60	-14	12	0.2	55%	0.22	40.7	1.78%	0	-0.5	49	INF
25	May_22_2015	27.64	28.97	29.1	29.39	29.38	29.32	29.09(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	3	-20	-4	22	0.18	55%		53.5	1.77%	0	0.3	47	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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