Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. May. 1, 2015

Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Nov. 15, 2006 - Fri. May. 26, 2023)

(Emergent BioSolutions Inc.)
EBS latest price $29.0300 (3.53%) ($28.0500 - $29.1700) on Fri. May. 1, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.78% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $29.0300(3.53%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EBS advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EBS advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EBS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(48%)    XBI(45%)    IWM(44%)    SPY(42%)    QQQ(41%)
Factors Impacting EBS price   EBS will decline at least -0.89% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-11%)    TLT(-10%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-3%)    UUP(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.89% (StdDev 1.78%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $28.64(1.36%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.59(1.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.25(2.76%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   11.9%
Market Cap   $1.536b

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. engages in the development, manufacture, and commercialization of medical countermeasures. It offers specialty products for civilian and military populations that address accidental, intentional and naturally occurring public health threats. The firm's products include ACAM2000, BioThrax, Raxibacuma, Vaxchora, and VIGIV. Its business units include Vaccines and Anti-Infectives; Antibody Therapeutics; Devices; and Contract Development and Manufacturing. The company was founded by Fuad El-Hibri in May 1998 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

$. EBS price fluctuates within 2.05% (three month std-dev: 1.78%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 0.79%(60%) Average negative next day return: -0.34%(40%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 1.82%(70%) Average negative next three day return: -2.13%(30%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 1.59%(70%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.86%(30%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150601

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_1_2015	27.1	28.25	28.59	28.64	28.57	28.42	29.03(3.53%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	3	-40	-2	17	0.21	59%	0.15	51.7	1.78%	0	1.3	54	INF
2	Apr_30_2015	27.06	28.25	28.48	28.61	28.64	28.48	28.04(-1.99%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1	-12	-40	-19	11	0.34	53%	0.15	64.3	1.75%	0	-0.3	57	INF
3	Apr_29_2015	27.02	28.18	28.53	28.83	28.64	28.72	28.61(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	13	-30	2	46	0.2	55%	0.15	90.5	1.76%	0	0.8	65	INF
4	Apr_28_2015	26.98	28.11	28.51	28.74	28.83	28.79	28.83(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-0	1	55	0.34	55%	0.19	78.6	1.76%	0	1.2	69	INF
5	Apr_27_2015	26.93	28.04	28.46	28.64	28.73	28.95	28.67(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	60	9	65	0.31	55%	0.15	75.4	1.76%	0	1.1	68	INF

6	Apr_24_2015	26.89	27.96	28.45	28.54	28.58	28.88	28.91(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	37	80	23	78	0.14	55%	0.22	60	1.74%	0	1.6	67	INF
7	Apr_23_2015	26.83	27.83	28.32	28.33	28.33	28.51	29.12(3.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	27	40	15	61	0.35	55%	0.19	29.5	1.75%	0	2	65	INF
8	Apr_22_2015	26.78	27.68	28.15	28.2	28.15	28.29	28.18(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	12	30	1	44	0.2	56%	0.15	9.8	1.72%	0	0.7	55	INF
9	Apr_21_2015	26.74	27.65	28.06	28.2	28.17	28.15	28.31(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	-10	3	50	0.14	56%	0.15	11.2	1.77%	0	1	65	INF
10	Apr_20_2015	26.7	27.61	27.96	28.26	28.22	28.01	28.17(1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-60	-11	42	0.15	56%	0.19	8.9	1.77%	0	0.9	57	INF

11	Apr_17_2015	26.65	27.6	27.89	28.34	28.35	28.2	27.85(-2.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	10	-40	-6	56	0.16	56%	0.04	15.9	1.77%	0	0.4	61	INF
12	Apr_16_2015	26.64	27.64	27.87	28.3	28.38	28.44	28.48(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	27	20	10	77	0.15	60%	0.23	21.2	1.76%	0	1.2	74	INF
13	Apr_15_2015	26.58	27.61	27.8	28.09	28.18	28.5	28.48(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	37	90	20	87	0.23	56%	0.19	19.9	1.79%	0	1.3	75	INF
14	Apr_14_2015	26.53	27.58	27.67	27.83	27.88	28.32	28.32(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	37	120	27	66	0.28	58%	0.19	13.6	1.85%	0	1.1	54	INF
15	Apr_13_2015	26.48	27.55	27.58	27.61	27.55	27.85	28.57(3.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	29	70	22	49	0.31	58%	0.19	8.7	1.86%	0	1.6	56	INF

16	Apr_10_2015	26.43	27.5	27.42	27.39	27.55	27.44	27.64(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	10	5	17	0.15	55%	0.19	4.2	1.8%	0	0.2	46	INF
17	Apr_9_2015	26.38	27.49	27.29	27.4	27.39	27.24	27.44(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-10	-40	-8	-14	0.35	55%	0.19	4.2	1.82%	0	-0.1	38	INF
18	Apr_8_2015	26.33	27.48	27.16	27.4	27.52	27.34	27.2(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-12	-40	-6	-30	0.31	57%	0.19	2.3	1.82%	0	-0.5	44	INF
19	Apr_7_2015	26.28	27.49	27.2	27.47	27.57	27.53	27.22(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-13	0	-6	-34	0.27	57%	0.19	2.8	1.84%	0	-0.5	46	INF
20	Apr_6_2015	26.23	27.5	27.24	27.53	27.52	27.7	27.44(-0.9%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-2	40	7	-29	0.15	57%	0.31	-1.9	1.85%	0	-0.1	46	INF

21	Apr_2_2015	26.15	27.5	27.29	27.43	27.48	27.61	27.69(-0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	10	40	22	-25	0.27	57%	0.15	-17.4	1.85%	0	0.4	51	INF
22	Apr_1_2015	26.11	27.47	27.38	27.16	27.19	27.35	27.82(2.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	6	40	19	-32	0.32	57%	0.19	-38.5	1.85%	0	0.6	52	INF
23	Mar_31_2015	26.06	27.46	27.4	26.81	26.88	27.36	27.16(-1.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-8	130	6	-50	0.19	55%	0.19	-61	1.85%	0	-0.5	52	INF
24	Mar_30_2015	26.01	27.47	27.47	26.91	26.82	27.04	27.56(2.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	2	50	15	-36	0.23	55%	0.19	-60.3	1.83%	0	0.1	52	INF
25	Mar_27_2015	25.96	27.51	27.51	26.92	26.95	26.39	26.94(2.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-26	-140	-20	-43	0.16	53%		-59.7	1.82%	0	-0.9	48	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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