Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jul. 30, 2014

Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Nov. 15, 2006 - Fri. May. 26, 2023)

(Emergent BioSolutions Inc.)
EBS latest price $21.3700 (0.8%) ($21.0700 - $21.7100) on Wed. Jul. 30, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.23% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $21.3700(0.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EBS declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EBS declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EBS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(45%)    IWM(44%)    SPY(42%)    QQQ(41%)    VT(38%)
Factors Impacting EBS price   EBS will decline at least -1.115% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    TLT(-10%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-3%)    UUP(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.115% (StdDev 2.23%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

Resistance Level   $21.57
5 Day Moving Average   $21.36(0.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.43(-0.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.57(-0.93%)
To recent high   -14.2%
To recent low   10.8%
Market Cap   $1.13b

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. engages in the development, manufacture, and commercialization of medical countermeasures. It offers specialty products for civilian and military populations that address accidental, intentional and naturally occurring public health threats. The firm's products include ACAM2000, BioThrax, Raxibacuma, Vaxchora, and VIGIV. Its business units include Vaccines and Anti-Infectives; Antibody Therapeutics; Devices; and Contract Development and Manufacturing. The company was founded by Fuad El-Hibri in May 1998 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

$. EBS price fluctuates within 1.76% (three month std-dev: 2.23%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.79%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -3.06%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.36%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140830

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_30_2014	22.32	21.57	21.43	21.36	21.35	21.28	21.37(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-7	-20	-6	-10	0.21	50%	-0.22	-10.2	2.23%	0	-0.5	47	INF
2	Jul_29_2014	22.37	21.62	21.42	21.5	21.47	21.23	21.2(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-11	-80	-11	-10	0.18	53%	-0.22	16.5	2.25%	0	-1	42	INF
3	Jul_28_2014	22.42	21.63	21.4	21.61	21.65	21.41	21.03(-2.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-10	-70	-10	-11	0.16	53%	-0.22	26.3	2.28%	0	-1.4	40	INF
4	Jul_25_2014	22.47	21.65	21.48	21.67	21.74	21.7	21.54(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-2	-0	-2	-3	0.15	50%	-0.13	30.3	2.26%	0	-0.3	46	INF
5	Jul_24_2014	22.5	21.63	21.48	21.63	21.67	21.9	21.67(-1.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	6	80	10	-7	0.12	50%	-0.09	19.6	2.36%	0	0.1	41	INF

6	Jul_23_2014	22.52	21.61	21.49	21.49	21.5	21.78	22.04(1.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	7	90	16	-21	0.2	50%	-0.09	9.3	2.35%	0	1	43	INF
7	Jul_22_2014	22.54	21.55	21.49	21.33	21.29	21.44	21.75(1.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-1	40	12	-40	0.12	53%	-0.09	-3.4	2.35%	0	0.5	38	INF
8	Jul_21_2014	22.56	21.55	21.46	21.18	21.16	21.22	21.35(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-15	20	-3	-49	0.15	53%	-0.09	-14.5	2.38%	0	-0.4	54	INF
9	Jul_18_2014	22.58	21.52	21.5	21.28	21.2	21.14	21.33(1.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-13	-30	-4	-40	0.29	53%	-0.13	-7	2.39%	0	-0.4	52	INF
10	Jul_17_2014	22.61	21.54	21.59	21.35	21.38	21.11	20.99(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-14	-80	-10	-26	0.29	53%	-0.13	1.4	2.4%	0	-1.2	52	INF

11	Jul_16_2014	22.64	21.54	21.72	21.48	21.51	21.27	21.24(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-12	-70	-13	-9	0.2	57%	-0.13	13.2	2.41%	0	-0.8	51	INF
12	Jul_15_2014	22.67	21.57	21.84	21.6	21.58	21.65	20.99(-3.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-3	20	-9	16	0.29	59%	-0.13	15.3	2.52%	0	-1.3	56	INF
13	Jul_14_2014	22.7	21.58	21.88	21.77	21.68	21.75	21.83(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	10	6	36	0.13	63%	-0.13	26.1	2.5%	0	0.6	63	INF
14	Jul_11_2014	22.73	21.56	21.83	21.76	21.64	21.51	21.69(0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-60	-7	29	0.14	63%	-0.09	31.2	2.5%	0	0.3	53	INF
15	Jul_10_2014	22.75	21.54	21.78	21.87	21.72	21.62	21.64(-1.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-0	-50	-10	29	0.35	59%	-0.09	41.2	2.51%	0	0.2	50	INF

16	Jul_9_2014	22.77	21.51	21.76	22.01	21.93	21.76	21.86(0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	-70	-7	37	0.19	59%	-0.09	59.5	2.55%	0	0.8	55	INF
17	Jul_8_2014	22.79	21.5	21.66	22.12	22.06	21.83	21.85(0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	11	-80	-1	46	0.49	59%	-0.04	82.9	2.55%	0	0.8	60	INF
18	Jul_7_2014	22.8	21.47	21.58	21.99	22.11	22.1	21.78(-2.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	10	10	1	37	0.24	59%	-0.13	88.5	2.55%	0	0.7	56	INF
19	Jul_3_2014	22.83	21.42	21.55	21.9	21.93	22.3	22.24(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	120	15	39	0.1	52%	-0.04	84.4	2.63%	0	1.9	61	INF
20	Jul_2_2014	22.84	21.36	21.49	21.67	21.66	22.12	22.33(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.4	24	150	21	31	0.13	52%	-0.04	72.1	2.66%	0	2.1	61	INF

21	Jul_1_2014	22.85	21.26	21.39	21.47	21.36	21.57	22.4(5.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	22	50	21	23	0.28	52%	-0.04	56.1	2.66%	0	2.4	64	INF
22	Jun_30_2014	22.86	21.14	21.39	21.16	21.14	21.19	21.21(-0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	0	10	3	-8	0.21	51%	-0.04	31.2	2.6%	0	0.2	44	INF
23	Jun_27_2014	22.87	21.1	21.39	21.11	21.08	21.15	21.31(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-4	20	-1	-13	0.24	49%	-0.04	31.1	2.62%	0	0.5	50	INF
24	Jun_26_2014	22.88	21.06	21.25	21.15	21.12	21.09	21.08(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-5	-10	-4	-7	0.21	49%	-0.04	39.3	2.62%	0	0	56	INF
25	Jun_25_2014	22.89	21.03	21.27	21.28	21.22	21.02	21.34(2.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-2	-70	-4	3	0.18	47%		58.4	2.61%	0	0.7	55	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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