Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 28, 2014

Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Nov. 15, 2006 - Fri. May. 26, 2023)

(Emergent BioSolutions Inc.)
EBS latest price $20.6000 (-2.46%) ($20.4600 - $21.5700) on Wed. May. 28, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.88% (three month average)
RSI   26
Latest Price   $20.6000(-2.46%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EBS advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EBS declines -3.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EBS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(45%)    IWM(44%)    SPY(42%)    QQQ(41%)    VT(38%)
Factors Impacting EBS price   EBS will decline at least -1.44% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    TLT(-10%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-3%)    UUP(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.44% (StdDev 2.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.3%

Resistance Level   $21.45
5 Day Moving Average   $20.17(2.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.93(3.36%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.45(-3.96%)
To recent high   -22.4%
To recent low   6.8%
Market Cap   $1.09b

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. engages in the development, manufacture, and commercialization of medical countermeasures. It offers specialty products for civilian and military populations that address accidental, intentional and naturally occurring public health threats. The firm's products include ACAM2000, BioThrax, Raxibacuma, Vaxchora, and VIGIV. Its business units include Vaccines and Anti-Infectives; Antibody Therapeutics; Devices; and Contract Development and Manufacturing. The company was founded by Fuad El-Hibri in May 1998 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

$. EBS price fluctuates within 9.93% (three month std-dev: 2.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.46%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 1.7%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -2.19%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 9.39%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -11.51%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140628

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_28_2014	23.35	21.45	19.93	20.17	20.27	20.77	20.6(-2.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	0	190	22	-65	0.52	42%	-0.13	-45.1	2.88%	0	-0.4	26	0
2	May_27_2014	23.38	21.62	19.84	19.91	19.87	20.27	21.12(5.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-14	130	21	-118	0.47	42%	-0.09	-49	2.9%	0	-0.2	27	0
3	May_23_2014	23.4	21.74	19.74	19.64	19.58	19.78	19.93(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-40	60	9	-185	0.16	38%	-0.09	-54	2.72%	0	-0.8	14	0
4	May_22_2014	23.42	21.92	19.87	19.58	19.58	19.47	19.89(3.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-52	-30	3	-218	0.29	38%	-0.17	-55.3	2.75%	0	-0.9	13	0
5	May_21_2014	23.46	22.16	20.21	19.55	19.53	19.38	19.3(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-66	-60	-10	-235	0.22	36%	-0.09	-54.1	2.73%	0	-1.3	7	0

6	May_20_2014	23.48	22.45	20.66	19.66	19.68	19.6	19.29(-2.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-63	-30	-6	-234	0.67	38%	-0.13	-49.3	2.74%	0	-1.4	7	0
7	May_19_2014	23.51	22.76	21.13	19.75	19.77	19.69	19.8(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-62	-30	-6	-230	0.29	38%	-0.13	-44.7	2.74%	0	-1.4	17	0
8	May_16_2014	23.54	23	21.59	19.85	19.85	19.76	19.62(-0.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-70	-30	-19	-224	0.56	39%	-0.13	-40.2	2.74%	0	-1.7	23	0
9	May_15_2014	23.57	23.23	22.09	20.22	20.16	19.86	19.74(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-74	-110	-32	-201	0.56	39%	-0.17	-35.2	2.77%	0	-1.9	26	0
10	May_14_2014	23.61	23.45	22.58	21.01	20.48	19.94	19.84(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-79	-260	-48	-172	0.6	39%	-0.13	-25.8	2.79%	0	-2.1	22	0

11	May_13_2014	23.64	23.61	23.1	21.84	21.51	20.47	19.74(-2.85%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-71	-380	-49	-135	0.92	39%	-0.08	-16	2.79%	0	-2.6	20	0
12	May_12_2014	23.66	23.74	23.59	22.73	22.51	21.02	20.32(-5.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.9	-74	-490	-63	-107	1.02	43%	-0.08	-3.6	2.77%	0	-2.7	21	0
13	May_9_2014	23.68	23.85	23.96	23.56	23.41	22.56	21.47(-9.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-60	-270	-56	-72	1.41	45%	0	15.5	2.69%	0	-2.2	34	0
14	May_8_2014	23.68	23.92	24.19	24.21	24.24	23.99	23.66(-1.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-18	-70	-14	-30	0.21	51%	0.04	29.6	2.44%	0	-0.3	49	0
15	May_7_2014	23.67	23.9	24.31	24.39	24.41	24.26	24(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-12	-40	-13	-10	0.56	51%	0.13	29	2.45%	0	0.1	55	0

16	May_6_2014	23.64	23.85	24.41	24.57	24.58	24.48	24.2(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	-30	-3	28	0.54	51%	0.13	27.5	2.46%	0	0.3	66	0
17	May_5_2014	23.61	23.79	24.51	24.59	24.61	24.57	24.48(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	-10	5	66	0.35	49%	0.13	23.8	2.45%	0	0.7	71	0
18	May_2_2014	23.58	23.68	24.5	24.42	24.5	24.69	24.72(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	60	13	84	0.44	49%	0.13	16.2	2.45%	0	1	72	0
19	May_1_2014	23.55	23.62	24.44	24.17	24.23	24.65	24.57(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	130	7	84	0.42	49%	0.21	9.7	2.47%	0	0.9	66	0
20	Apr_30_2014	23.5	23.6	24.36	24.21	24.07	24.32	24.9(2.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	31	60	9	96	0.4	49%	0.21	13.7	2.46%	0	1.2	60	0

21	Apr_29_2014	23.45	23.56	24.12	24.24	24.12	23.82	24.28(2.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	14	-100	-10	87	0.34	47%	0.13	17.6	2.46%	0	0.7	59	0
22	Apr_28_2014	23.42	23.54	23.89	24.44	24.4	23.83	23.64(0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	6	-170	-21	88	0.31	45%	0.09	21.4	2.44%	0	0.1	56	0
23	Apr_25_2014	23.4	23.51	23.74	24.59	24.74	24.43	23.45(-5.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	13	-70	-16	99	0.34	45%	0.13	17.2	2.43%	0	-0.1	60	0
24	Apr_24_2014	23.37	23.52	23.64	24.71	24.76	24.98	24.8(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	70	9	109	0.29	47%	0.13	10.5	2.34%	0	1.3	56	0
25	Apr_23_2014	23.34	23.46	23.47	24.49	24.54	25.06	25.03(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	51	150	36	94	0.39	41%		-5.1	2.37%	0	1.6	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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