Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Apr. 23, 2014

Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Nov. 15, 2006 - Fri. May. 26, 2023)

(Emergent BioSolutions Inc.)
EBS latest price $25.0300 (-1.03%) ($24.7800 - $25.6600) on Wed. Apr. 23, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.37% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $25.0300(-1.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EBS advances 2.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EBS advances 3.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EBS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(45%)    IWM(44%)    SPY(42%)    QQQ(41%)    VT(38%)
Factors Impacting EBS price   EBS will decline at least -1.185% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-9%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-3%)    UUP(-2%)    GDXJ(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.185% (StdDev 2.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $24.49(2.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.47(6.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.46(6.69%)
To recent high   -5.7%
To recent low   16%
Market Cap   $1.324b

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. engages in the development, manufacture, and commercialization of medical countermeasures. It offers specialty products for civilian and military populations that address accidental, intentional and naturally occurring public health threats. The firm's products include ACAM2000, BioThrax, Raxibacuma, Vaxchora, and VIGIV. Its business units include Vaccines and Anti-Infectives; Antibody Therapeutics; Devices; and Contract Development and Manufacturing. The company was founded by Fuad El-Hibri in May 1998 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

$. EBS price fluctuates within 4.13% (three month std-dev: 2.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140523

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_23_2014	23.34	23.46	23.47	24.49	24.54	25.06	25.03(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	51	150	36	94	0.39	41%	0.17	-5.1	2.37%	0	1.6	51	NAN
2	Apr_22_2014	23.3	23.39	23.25	23.96	24.04	24.55	25.29(3.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	41	160	39	45	0.49	41%	0.22	-32.2	2.75%	0	2.1	53	NAN
3	Apr_21_2014	23.25	23.32	22.98	23.26	23.32	24.03	24.39(1.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	23	220	32	-3	0.46	38%	0.13	-64	2.71%	0	1.3	52	NAN
4	Apr_17_2014	23.22	23.34	22.77	22.76	22.76	23.53	24.03(1.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	16	240	33	-35	0.44	38%	0.13	-68.8	2.7%	0	0.7	56	NAN
5	Apr_16_2014	23.19	23.41	22.7	22.43	22.29	22.61	23.71(5.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-3	80	16	-61	0.58	38%	0.09	-68.5	2.7%	0	0.3	50	NAN

6	Apr_15_2014	23.17	23.51	22.75	22.32	22.2	21.99	22.37(2.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-24	-80	-7	-75	0.57	33%	0.09	-65.8	2.59%	0	-0.9	41	NAN
7	Apr_14_2014	23.15	23.68	22.94	22.44	22.46	21.97	21.8(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-32	-150	-19	-70	0.37	30%	0.09	-62.1	2.57%	0	-1.5	37	NAN
8	Apr_11_2014	23.13	23.87	23.15	22.66	22.7	22.41	21.91(-1.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-27	-80	-15	-61	0.72	33%	0.09	-63.2	2.59%	0	-1.6	34	NAN
9	Apr_10_2014	23.11	24.05	23.27	22.75	22.82	22.94	22.35(-3.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-25	50	-10	-71	0.5	33%	0.09	-67.6	2.6%	0	-1.5	33	NAN
10	Apr_9_2014	23.09	24.22	23.41	23	22.88	22.99	23.19(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-23	20	-5	-77	0.62	35%	0.17	-58.4	2.56%	0	-0.9	31	NAN

11	Apr_8_2014	23.05	24.35	23.48	23.25	23.09	22.7	22.93(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-33	-140	-15	-86	0.34	35%	0.13	-46.6	2.56%	0	-1.2	29	NAN
12	Apr_7_2014	23.02	24.48	23.56	23.53	23.47	22.77	22.91(2.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-43	-220	-25	-95	0.61	35%	0.13	-32.7	2.56%	0	-1.4	30	NAN
13	Apr_4_2014	22.99	24.66	23.71	23.72	23.86	23.48	22.35(-5.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-38	-90	-19	-95	0.5	35%	0.13	-17.1	2.53%	0	-2	28	NAN
14	Apr_3_2014	22.96	24.86	23.97	23.85	23.98	24.17	23.62(-3.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-22	70	-0	-89	0.47	38%	0.17	-3.4	2.46%	0	-1.2	34	NAN
15	Apr_2_2014	22.92	24.9	24.19	23.87	23.83	24.25	24.46(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-8	120	17	-81	0.31	45%	0.17	-3.5	2.42%	0	-0.4	38	NAN

16	Apr_1_2014	22.88	24.89	24.31	23.74	23.63	23.78	24.32(1.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-13	30	12	-89	0.48	45%	0.22	-7.6	2.48%	0	-0.6	34	NAN
17	Mar_31_2014	22.83	24.87	24.45	23.62	23.56	23.42	23.87(3.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-30	-50	-6	-101	0.44	45%	0.18	-12.4	2.49%	0	-0.9	32	NAN
18	Mar_28_2014	22.79	24.86	24.62	23.72	23.71	23.47	23(-2.87%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-45	-70	-22	-114	0.26	41%	0.26	-12.8	2.44%	0	-1.7	14	NAN
19	Mar_27_2014	22.73	24.9	24.88	24.11	24	23.7	23.68(-0.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-45	-100	-26	-103	0.36	43%	0.26	-6.6	2.43%	0	-1.2	23	NAN
20	Mar_26_2014	22.67	24.93	25.08	24.56	24.46	23.95	23.83(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-38	-160	-27	-69	0.31	43%	0.27	6.5	2.43%	0	-1.1	52	NAN

21	Mar_25_2014	22.61	24.97	25.29	24.97	24.97	24.29	23.74(-2.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-35	-190	-34	-36	0.3	43%	0.22	22.4	2.43%	0	-1.3	53	NAN
22	Mar_24_2014	22.56	24.97	25.49	25.4	25.43	24.98	24.34(-2.44%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.1	-17	-120	-25	7	0.46	45%	0.27	37.5	2.43%	0	-0.7	60	NAN
23	Mar_21_2014	22.5	25	25.72	25.64	25.73	25.65	24.95(-3.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	7	-10	-9	56	0.91	47%	0.31	48.5	2.4%	0	-0.1	68	NAN
24	Mar_20_2014	22.43	24.96	25.85	25.76	25.78	25.87	25.92(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	28	30	5	98	0.34	51%	0.31	54.4	2.36%	0	1	78	NAN
25	Mar_19_2014	22.36	24.87	25.69	25.68	25.66	25.82	25.92(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	40	4	95	0.35	51%		53.7	2.37%	0	1.1	65	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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