Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EBS: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Apr. 7, 2014

Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Nov. 15, 2006 - Fri. May. 26, 2023)

(Emergent BioSolutions Inc.)
EBS latest price $22.9100 (2.51%) ($21.8400 - $23.0300) on Mon. Apr. 7, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.56% (three month average)
RSI   30
Latest Price   $22.9100(2.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EBS declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EBS declines -3.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EBS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(45%)    IWM(44%)    SPY(42%)    QQQ(41%)    VT(38%)
Factors Impacting EBS price   EBS will decline at least -1.28% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-10%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-3%)    UUP(-2%)    GDXJ(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.28% (StdDev 2.56%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.6%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $14.54(-36.53%)
Resistance Level   $24.48
5 Day Moving Average   $23.53(-2.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.56(-2.76%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.48(-6.41%)
To recent high   -13.6%
To recent low   6.2%
Market Cap   $1.212b

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. engages in the development, manufacture, and commercialization of medical countermeasures. It offers specialty products for civilian and military populations that address accidental, intentional and naturally occurring public health threats. The firm's products include ACAM2000, BioThrax, Raxibacuma, Vaxchora, and VIGIV. Its business units include Vaccines and Anti-Infectives; Antibody Therapeutics; Devices; and Contract Development and Manufacturing. The company was founded by Fuad El-Hibri in May 1998 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

$. EBS price fluctuates within 4.74% (three month std-dev: 2.56%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 4.6%(33%) Average negative next day return: -1.6%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 9.68%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -2.46%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 2.29%(17%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.03%(83%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140507

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_7_2014	23.02	24.48	23.56	23.53	23.47	22.77	22.91(2.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-43	-220	-25	-95	0.61	35%	0.13	-32.7	2.56%	0	-1.4	30	NAN
2	Apr_4_2014	22.99	24.66	23.71	23.72	23.86	23.48	22.35(-5.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-38	-90	-19	-95	0.5	35%	0.13	-17.1	2.53%	0	-2	28	NAN
3	Apr_3_2014	22.96	24.86	23.97	23.85	23.98	24.17	23.62(-3.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-22	70	-0	-89	0.47	38%	0.17	-3.4	2.46%	0	-1.2	34	NAN
4	Apr_2_2014	22.92	24.9	24.19	23.87	23.83	24.25	24.46(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-8	120	17	-81	0.31	45%	0.17	-3.5	2.42%	0	-0.4	38	NAN
5	Apr_1_2014	22.88	24.89	24.31	23.74	23.63	23.78	24.32(1.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-13	30	12	-89	0.48	45%	0.22	-7.6	2.48%	0	-0.6	34	NAN

6	Mar_31_2014	22.83	24.87	24.45	23.62	23.56	23.42	23.87(3.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-30	-50	-6	-101	0.44	45%	0.18	-12.4	2.49%	0	-0.9	32	NAN
7	Mar_28_2014	22.79	24.86	24.62	23.72	23.71	23.47	23(-2.87%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-45	-70	-22	-114	0.26	41%	0.26	-12.8	2.44%	0	-1.7	14	NAN
8	Mar_27_2014	22.73	24.9	24.88	24.11	24	23.7	23.68(-0.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-45	-100	-26	-103	0.36	43%	0.26	-6.6	2.43%	0	-1.2	23	NAN
9	Mar_26_2014	22.67	24.93	25.08	24.56	24.46	23.95	23.83(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-38	-160	-27	-69	0.31	43%	0.27	6.5	2.43%	0	-1.1	52	NAN
10	Mar_25_2014	22.61	24.97	25.29	24.97	24.97	24.29	23.74(-2.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-35	-190	-34	-36	0.3	43%	0.22	22.4	2.43%	0	-1.3	53	NAN

11	Mar_24_2014	22.56	24.97	25.49	25.4	25.43	24.98	24.34(-2.44%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.1	-17	-120	-25	7	0.46	45%	0.27	37.5	2.43%	0	-0.7	60	NAN
12	Mar_21_2014	22.5	25	25.72	25.64	25.73	25.65	24.95(-3.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	7	-10	-9	56	0.91	47%	0.31	48.5	2.4%	0	-0.1	68	NAN
13	Mar_20_2014	22.43	24.96	25.85	25.76	25.78	25.87	25.92(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	28	30	5	98	0.34	51%	0.31	54.4	2.36%	0	1	78	NAN
14	Mar_19_2014	22.36	24.87	25.69	25.68	25.66	25.82	25.92(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	40	4	95	0.35	51%	0.36	53.7	2.37%	0	1.1	65	NAN
15	Mar_18_2014	22.28	24.75	25.51	25.67	25.58	25.69	25.87(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	20	6	95	0.75	51%	0.32	56.8	2.37%	0	1.1	64	NAN

16	Mar_17_2014	22.21	24.65	25.32	25.62	25.55	25.49	25.53(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	16	-20	-7	85	0.42	51%	0.36	60.4	2.38%	0	0.9	63	NAN
17	Mar_14_2014	22.13	24.54	25.12	25.82	25.61	25.47	25.54(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	15	-60	-11	92	0.35	51%	0.32	69.7	2.36%	0	1	63	NAN
18	Mar_13_2014	22.06	24.44	24.91	25.96	25.86	25.62	25.56(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	30	-80	6	102	0.29	51%	0.32	81.1	2.38%	0	1.2	64	NAN
19	Mar_12_2014	21.99	24.34	24.78	25.68	25.91	25.76	25.83(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	-10	9	90	0.24	56%	0.32	83.4	2.39%	0	1.6	67	NAN
20	Mar_11_2014	21.92	24.2	24.61	25.32	25.55	26.1	25.64(-3.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	180	19	80	0.74	56%	0.37	76.3	2.47%	0	1.6	70	NAN

21	Mar_10_2014	21.84	24.07	24.46	24.94	25.06	26.06	26.53(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	57	290	50	76	0.4	60%	0.41	71.7	2.44%	0	2.8	73	NAN
22	Mar_7_2014	21.75	23.87	24.2	24.32	24.43	25.01	26.23(8.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.7	46	180	46	46	1.16	60%	0.37	63.6	2.46%	0	3.3	75	NAN
23	Mar_6_2014	21.67	23.67	23.97	23.74	23.84	24.06	24.15(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	5	80	5	4	0.69	51%	0.32	53.1	2.24%	0	0.9	59	NAN
24	Mar_5_2014	21.6	23.58	23.95	23.76	23.72	23.86	24.05(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	4	40	3	7	0.3	51%	0.33	50.6	2.25%	0	0.8	54	NAN
25	Mar_4_2014	21.53	23.53	23.9	23.8	23.78	23.61	23.76(1.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	0	-50	-4	12	0.35	51%		61	2.25%	0	0.4	60	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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