Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 5, 2013

Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Nov. 15, 2006 - Fri. May. 26, 2023)

(Emergent BioSolutions Inc.)
EBS latest price $21.1100 (-0.85%) ($20.4300 - $21.4400) on Thu. Dec. 5, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.21% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $21.1100(-0.85%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EBS declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EBS advances 3.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EBS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(44%)    QQQ(41%)    SPY(41%)    XLK(37%)    XLY(35%)
Factors Impacting EBS price   EBS will decline at least -1.105% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-10%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-3%)    GLD(0%)    TIP(1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.105% (StdDev 2.21%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.18(-0.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.95(0.76%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.32(3.89%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   26.2%
Market Cap   $1.117b

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. engages in the development, manufacture, and commercialization of medical countermeasures. It offers specialty products for civilian and military populations that address accidental, intentional and naturally occurring public health threats. The firm's products include ACAM2000, BioThrax, Raxibacuma, Vaxchora, and VIGIV. Its business units include Vaccines and Anti-Infectives; Antibody Therapeutics; Devices; and Contract Development and Manufacturing. The company was founded by Fuad El-Hibri in May 1998 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

$. EBS price fluctuates within 4.43% (three month std-dev: 2.21%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 1.09%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.07%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.46%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140105

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_5_2013	18.05	20.32	20.95	21.18	21.16	21.15	21.11(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	19	-10	-3	85	0.1	65%	0.22	78.8	2.21%	0	0.9	76	NAN
2	Dec_4_2013	18.01	20.17	20.85	21.21	21.16	21.21	21.29(1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	25	-0	1	95	0.1	68%	0.28	69.2	2.2%	0	1.1	80	NAN
3	Dec_3_2013	17.96	20.04	20.72	21.2	21.22	21.17	21.08(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	27	-10	4	94	0.19	68%	0.22	67.4	2.25%	0	1	69	NAN
4	Dec_2_2013	17.92	19.91	20.58	21.08	21.15	21.24	21.23(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	29	40	9	87	0.12	68%	0.28	63.1	2.25%	0	1.3	76	NAN
5	Nov_29_2013	17.87	19.77	20.44	20.9	20.98	21.27	21.2(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	110	18	81	0.06	65%	0.51	59.3	2.27%	0	1.4	78	NAN

6	Nov_27_2013	17.78	19.63	20.3	20.67	20.71	21.06	21.25(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	41	120	22	97	0.12	62%	0.34	53.8	2.28%	0	1.6	90	NAN
7	Nov_26_2013	17.72	19.5	20.15	20.43	20.42	20.69	21.22(3.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	39	90	19	100	0.1	62%	0.4	50.6	2.37%	0	1.9	79	NAN
8	Nov_25_2013	17.65	19.37	20.03	20.19	20.21	20.37	20.49(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	37	60	15	102	0.09	60%	0.34	48.8	2.33%	0	1.3	67	NAN
9	Nov_22_2013	17.59	19.28	19.95	20.01	20.04	20.15	20.33(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	32	40	8	103	0.15	62%	0.11	48.3	2.34%	0	1.3	67	NAN
10	Nov_21_2013	17.57	19.19	19.88	19.92	19.92	20.05	20.07(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	50	5	111	0.12	62%	0.34	49	2.37%	0	1.1	66	NAN

11	Nov_20_2013	17.51	19.12	19.64	19.87	19.88	19.93	20.06(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	20	5	98	0.08	62%	0.34	53.6	2.37%	0	1.3	66	NAN
12	Nov_19_2013	17.45	19.05	19.44	19.83	19.83	19.8	19.99(1.99%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	20	-10	-2	86	0.09	62%	0.35	60.6	2.37%	0	1.3	63	NAN
13	Nov_18_2013	17.39	18.97	19.3	19.85	19.86	19.82	19.6(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	20	-10	-3	88	0.09	62%	0.35	71.9	2.36%	0	0.9	59	NAN
14	Nov_15_2013	17.33	18.9	19.2	19.88	19.89	19.87	19.86(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	25	-10	2	92	0.14	57%	0.35	78.7	2.37%	0	1.4	61	NAN
15	Nov_14_2013	17.27	18.81	19.06	19.84	19.85	19.9	19.83(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	42	20	23	98	0.12	57%	0.41	83.4	2.42%	0	1.5	64	NAN

16	Nov_13_2013	17.2	18.72	18.92	19.35	19.65	19.92	19.85(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	35	140	26	61	0.12	57%	0.35	68.9	2.42%	0	1.7	60	NAN
17	Nov_12_2013	17.14	18.61	18.8	18.98	19.1	19.79	20.09(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	28	270	26	33	0.16	57%	0.41	59.7	2.42%	0	2.2	62	NAN
18	Nov_11_2013	17.07	18.47	18.65	18.69	18.71	19.38	19.78(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	31	250	35	18	0.15	57%	0.35	56.5	2.42%	0	2.1	63	NAN
19	Nov_8_2013	17.01	18.36	18.53	18.44	18.42	18.41	19.64(12.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	15	-10	20	1	1.09	57%	0.35	56	2.42%	0	2.3	64	NAN
20	Nov_7_2013	16.95	18.25	18.4	18.21	18.28	18.04	17.41(-3.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-28	-80	-25	-38	0.14	50%	0.24	52.2	1.83%	0	-1.7	41	NAN

21	Nov_6_2013	16.91	18.26	18.54	18.42	18.44	18.42	17.99(-3.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-9	-0	-12	-1	0.06	52%	0.18	57.8	1.8%	0	-0.5	52	NAN
22	Nov_5_2013	16.88	18.22	18.62	18.56	18.5	18.52	18.61(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	8	-0	-1	35	0.09	56%	0.3	48.8	1.75%	0	0.6	73	NAN
23	Nov_4_2013	16.83	18.13	18.61	18.59	18.55	18.47	18.55(0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-40	-5	58	0.11	56%	0.3	37.4	1.75%	0	0.6	77	NAN
24	Nov_1_2013	16.78	18.05	18.58	18.64	18.62	18.49	18.49(0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	17	-50	-4	78	0.11	56%	0.24	33.1	1.75%	0	0.7	70	NAN
25	Oct_31_2013	16.74	18	18.56	18.63	18.67	18.63	18.45(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	17	-10	-6	86	0.1	58%		28.9	1.76%	0	0.7	65	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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