Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 2, 2011

Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Nov. 15, 2006 - Fri. May. 26, 2023)

(Emergent BioSolutions Inc.)
EBS latest price $19.4900 (-1.17%) ($19.4200 - $20.2500) on Wed. Mar. 2, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.95% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $19.4900(-1.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EBS declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EBS declines -2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EBS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(45%)    SPY(43%)    QQQ(42%)    XLK(39%)    XLY(37%)
Factors Impacting EBS price   EBS will decline at least -0.975% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-13%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-1%)    IGOV(-0%)    GLD(1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.975% (StdDev 1.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.6%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $15.83(-18.78%)
Resistance Level   $20.31
5 Day Moving Average   $19.77(-1.42%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.09(-2.99%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.31(-4.04%)
To recent high   -16%
To recent low   11.6%
Market Cap   $1.031b

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. engages in the development, manufacture, and commercialization of medical countermeasures. It offers specialty products for civilian and military populations that address accidental, intentional and naturally occurring public health threats. The firm's products include ACAM2000, BioThrax, Raxibacuma, Vaxchora, and VIGIV. Its business units include Vaccines and Anti-Infectives; Antibody Therapeutics; Devices; and Contract Development and Manufacturing. The company was founded by Fuad El-Hibri in May 1998 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

$. EBS price fluctuates within 2.12% (three month std-dev: 1.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.16%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.95%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 1.18%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110402

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_2_2011	19.5	20.31	20.09	19.77	19.87	19.81	19.49(-1.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-20	-10	-6	-63	0.14	59%	0.1	-41.5	1.95%	0	-1.9	40	NAN
2	Mar_1_2011	19.48	20.37	20.19	19.83	19.85	19.94	19.72(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-22	30	-8	-65	0.24	59%	0.15	-38.5	1.94%	0	-1.7	38	NAN
3	Feb_28_2011	19.45	20.39	20.31	19.97	19.92	19.93	19.87(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20	-0	-11	-47	0.08	59%	0.15	-39.5	1.91%	0	-1.4	48	NAN
4	Feb_25_2011	19.42	20.4	20.38	20.21	20.09	19.77	20.06(1.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-17	-130	-14	-27	0.08	59%	0.15	-32.4	1.91%	0	-0.9	47	NAN
5	Feb_24_2011	19.39	20.43	20.41	20.32	20.37	19.92	19.71(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-23	-150	-23	-23	0.12	61%	0.15	-30.1	1.91%	0	-2	43	NAN

6	Feb_23_2011	19.36	20.49	20.49	20.45	20.58	20.42	19.77(-3.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-18	-40	-19	-16	0.15	61%	0.1	-37.3	1.94%	0	-2.2	40	NAN
7	Feb_22_2011	19.34	20.52	20.6	20.6	20.58	20.83	20.44(-2.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	0	70	-2	6	0.08	62%	0.36	-63.8	1.89%	0	-0.3	48	NAN
8	Feb_18_2011	19.27	20.54	20.59	20.69	20.66	20.73	21.07(2.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	16	20	13	23	0.12	66%	0.26	-83.7	1.86%	0	1.8	62	NAN
9	Feb_17_2011	19.22	20.52	20.52	20.58	20.62	20.5	20.6(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	5	-30	1	17	0.1	64%	0.21	-125.3	1.84%	0	0.3	61	NAN
10	Feb_16_2011	19.18	20.54	20.5	20.53	20.58	20.58	20.37(-0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	10	-5	6	0.06	61%	0.21	-110.5	1.84%	0	-0.4	47	NAN

11	Feb_15_2011	19.14	20.61	20.55	20.54	20.57	20.74	20.51(-1.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	3	60	1	10	0.12	61%	0.21	-90.4	1.88%	0	-0.2	47	NAN
12	Feb_14_2011	19.1	20.71	20.56	20.61	20.55	20.58	20.9(1.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	0	13	26	0.07	61%	0.16	-90	1.87%	0	0.3	57	NAN
13	Feb_11_2011	19.07	20.78	20.48	20.48	20.47	20.39	20.54(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-1	-30	-1	-1	0.06	59%	0.21	-76.9	1.88%	0	-0.3	47	NAN
14	Feb_10_2011	19.03	20.9	20.41	20.45	20.46	20.51	20.33(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	20	-3	-17	0.1	63%	0.16	-62.5	1.88%	0	-0.6	46	NAN
15	Feb_9_2011	19	21.03	20.45	20.47	20.46	20.56	20.43(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-5	30	-0	-18	0.08	63%	0.16	-54.3	2.04%	0	-0.6	43	NAN

16	Feb_8_2011	18.97	21.15	20.49	20.55	20.47	20.42	20.83(2.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-5	-30	2	-26	0.08	61%	0.16	-46.6	2.03%	0	-0.3	39	NAN
17	Feb_7_2011	18.94	21.26	20.43	20.51	20.52	20.38	20.25(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	-50	-2	-61	0.1	59%	0.16	-41.7	2.03%	0	-0.9	29	NAN
18	Feb_4_2011	18.91	21.36	20.48	20.47	20.53	20.53	20.41(-0.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-19	10	3	-86	0.09	59%	0.21	-43.3	2.03%	0	-0.8	29	NAN
19	Feb_3_2011	18.87	21.46	20.51	20.37	20.44	20.66	20.44(-1.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-30	90	2	-124	0.11	59%	0.16	-46	2.03%	0	-0.9	27	NAN
20	Feb_2_2011	18.84	21.57	20.58	20.37	20.44	20.54	20.83(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-30	60	8	-144	0.13	61%	0.16	-44.9	2.01%	0	-0.7	29	NAN

21	Feb_1_2011	18.81	21.65	20.68	20.42	20.35	20.22	20.63(2.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-37	-60	4	-159	0.19	61%	0.16	-45.4	2.03%	0	-0.9	27	NAN
22	Jan_31_2011	18.78	21.74	20.85	20.34	20.39	20.17	20.06(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-59	-70	-17	-184	0.12	59%	0.16	-46.7	2.02%	0	-1.5	18	NAN
23	Jan_28_2011	18.75	21.86	21.1	20.5	20.51	20.48	19.87(-4.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-52	-10	-13	-167	0.25	59%	0.11	-44.3	2.02%	0	-2	31	NAN
24	Jan_27_2011	18.73	21.99	21.42	20.67	20.63	20.62	20.72(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-41	-10	-4	-151	0.11	63%	0.21	-42.5	1.95%	0	-1.4	35	NAN
25	Jan_26_2011	18.69	22.08	21.64	20.76	20.71	20.54	20.82(2.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-50	-60	-18	-147	0.27	63%		-38.8	1.95%	0	-1.5	34	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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