Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 5, 2008

Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Nov. 15, 2006 - Fri. May. 26, 2023)

(Emergent BioSolutions Inc.)
EBS latest price $12.7000 (-2.16%) ($12.2900 - $12.9800) on Fri. Sep. 5, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.35% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $12.7000(-2.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EBS declines -1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EBS advances 8.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EBS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(43%)    QQQ(39%)    SPY(39%)    XLK(36%)    XLY(35%)
Factors Impacting EBS price   EBS will decline at least -2.175% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-14%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-3%)    GLD(1%)    LQD(7%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.175% (StdDev 4.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $12.98(-2.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $12.62(0.63%)
20 Day Moving Average   $11.67(8.83%)
To recent high   -6.5%
To recent low   38.2%
Market Cap   $672m

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. engages in the development, manufacture, and commercialization of medical countermeasures. It offers specialty products for civilian and military populations that address accidental, intentional and naturally occurring public health threats. The firm's products include ACAM2000, BioThrax, Raxibacuma, Vaxchora, and VIGIV. Its business units include Vaccines and Anti-Infectives; Antibody Therapeutics; Devices; and Contract Development and Manufacturing. The company was founded by Fuad El-Hibri in May 1998 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

$. EBS price fluctuates within 9.77% (three month std-dev: 4.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081005

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_5_2008	10.37	11.67	12.62	12.98	12.95	12.86	12.7(-2.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	23	-60	-8	114	0.18	59%	0.48	16.8	4.35%	0	0.9	78	0
2	Sep_4_2008	10.32	11.54	12.47	13.16	13.03	12.95	12.98(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	36	-70	1	141	0.2	60%	0.39	10.4	4.35%	0	1.2	82	0
3	Sep_3_2008	10.28	11.53	12.3	13.08	13.07	13.04	13.02(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	46	-20	9	155	0.31	57%	0.49	11.8	4.36%	0	1.3	85	0
4	Sep_2_2008	10.23	11.52	12.11	12.84	12.89	13.04	13.12(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	48	130	13	151	0.43	57%	0.59	10.6	4.42%	0	1.3	86	0
5	Aug_29_2008	10.17	11.51	11.88	12.54	12.55	13.1	13.09(-3.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	52	310	20	149	0.41	59%	0.39	9.7	4.41%	0	1.3	88	0

6	Aug_28_2008	10.13	11.48	11.63	12.2	12.15	12.68	13.59(8.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	58	290	31	140	0.37	60%	0.5	4.9	4.39%	0	1.8	92	0
7	Aug_27_2008	10.08	11.42	11.32	11.69	11.66	11.99	12.58(6.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	40	190	17	110	0.3	60%	0.4	-5.6	4.34%	0	1	90	0
8	Aug_26_2008	10.04	11.39	11.09	11.43	11.39	11.61	11.8(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	120	11	55	0.15	58%	0.3	-11.7	4.32%	0	0.4	38	0
9	Aug_25_2008	10.01	11.4	10.93	11.27	11.23	11.33	11.65(2.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	9	50	9	10	0.24	58%	0.3	-16.1	4.35%	0	0.2	36	0
10	Aug_22_2008	9.98	11.39	10.76	11.11	11.09	11.17	11.36(2.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	50	7	-38	0.21	60%	0.2	-21.2	4.36%	0	-0	35	0

11	Aug_21_2008	9.96	11.42	10.64	10.97	11	11.13	11.08(-1.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-15	90	6	-79	0.18	60%	0.2	-23.5	4.37%	0	-0.3	34	0
12	Aug_20_2008	9.94	11.48	10.53	10.88	10.91	11.02	11.24(1.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-20	80	11	-113	0.13	60%	0.3	-23.7	4.36%	0	-0.2	38	0
13	Aug_19_2008	9.91	11.52	10.69	10.69	10.73	10.86	11.03(1.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-23	100	8	-117	0.16	60%	0.2	-26.8	4.36%	0	-0.4	41	0
14	Aug_18_2008	9.89	11.57	10.89	10.54	10.57	10.8	10.82(1.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-20	160	11	-114	0.11	60%	0.3	-27.7	4.37%	0	-0.7	43	0
15	Aug_15_2008	9.86	11.63	11.09	10.37	10.4	10.6	10.68(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-20	140	10	-110	0.2	60%	0.2	-31.4	4.37%	0	-0.9	47	0

16	Aug_14_2008	9.84	11.69	11.31	10.25	10.17	10.34	10.63(3.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-23	90	6	-110	0.15	60%	0.41	-33.6	4.38%	0	-1	42	0
17	Aug_13_2008	9.8	11.75	11.51	10.14	10.18	10.2	10.29(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-49	30	-24	-125	0.17	61%	0.31	-36.2	4.37%	0	-1.4	37	0
18	Aug_12_2008	9.77	11.83	11.72	10.72	10.4	10.01	10.29(3.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-47	-350	-31	-93	0.29	61%	0.31	-17.9	4.39%	0	-1.6	39	0
19	Aug_11_2008	9.74	11.89	11.91	11.31	11.18	10.16	9.96(-1.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-43	-670	-37	-62	0.46	61%	0	-1.9	4.37%	0	-2.1	36	0
20	Aug_8_2008	9.74	11.98	12.09	11.94	12	10.79	10.09(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-38	-690	-41	-28	0.61	56%	0.31	25.4	4.39%	0	-2.3	41	0

21	Aug_7_2008	9.71	12.06	12.32	12.5	12.64	12.21	10.05(-23.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	-3.3	-21	-200	-32	14	1.3	54%	0.31	61.1	4.5%	0	-2.7	40	0
22	Aug_6_2008	9.68	12.14	12.57	13.04	13.05	13.2	13.21(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	80	12	92	0.21	64%	0.62	100.9	3.4%	0	1.6	74	0
23	Aug_5_2008	9.62	12.01	12.45	12.86	12.88	13.08	13.22(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	110	16	87	0.27	64%	0.73	105	3.4%	0	1.9	75	0
24	Aug_4_2008	9.55	11.9	12.33	12.61	12.7	12.91	13.11(1.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	36	140	21	82	0.25	64%	0.74	106.8	3.41%	0	1.8	78	0
25	Aug_1_2008	9.48	11.77	12.19	12.3	12.38	12.69	12.93(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	24	190	13	57	0.25	65%		107.1	3.4%	0	1.9	70	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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