Trading Signals: EBAY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 11, 2015

Trading Signals: EBAY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(eBay Inc)
EBAY latest price $25.0223 (0.79%) ($24.8735 - $25.2425) on Wed. Mar. 11, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.5% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $25.0223(0.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EBAY advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EBAY advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EBAY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(54%)    SPY(53%)    XLK(49%)    IWM(48%)    VT(48%)
Factors Impacting EBAY price   EBAY will decline at least -0.75% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-9%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    UUP(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.75% (StdDev 1.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.04(-0.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.76(1.06%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.36(2.72%)
To recent high   -1.9%
To recent low   12.6%
Market Cap   $17.641b

eBay, Inc. operates as a commerce company, which engages in the provision of investments and acquisitions to help enable commerce on platforms for buyers and sellers online or on mobile devices. It operates throught the following platforms: Marketplace; Classifieds; StubHub, Corporate, and Others. The Marketplace platform include online marketplace located at www.ebay.com, its localized counterparts and the eBay mobile apps. The Classified platform focuses in collection of brands such as mobile.de, Kijiji, Gumtree, Marktplaats, eBay Kleinanzeigen and others. The StubHub platform gives online ticket platform located at www.stubhub.com, its localized counterparts and the StubHub mobile apps. The company was founded by Pierre M. Omidyar in September 1995 and is headquartered in San Jose, CA.

$. EBAY price fluctuates within 2.5% (three month std-dev: 1.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 1.98%(71%) Average negative next day return: -2.93%(29%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 1.94%(71%) Average negative next three day return: -3.24%(29%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 3.09%(43%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.79%(57%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150411

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_11_2015	23.2	24.36	24.76	25.04	25.08	25.02	25.02(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	17	-10	3	60	10.8	56%	0.17	92.4	1.5%	0	1.1	66	0
2	Mar_10_2015	23.16	24.27	24.7	24.93	24.99	25.17	24.83(-2.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	21	60	8	60	15.74	56%	0.17	86.7	1.54%	0	0.9	69	0
3	Mar_9_2015	23.12	24.17	24.67	24.85	24.83	25.15	25.5(1.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	39	90	27	75	13.77	60%	0.26	78.6	1.5%	0	1.9	87	0
4	Mar_6_2015	23.06	24.04	24.55	24.65	24.61	24.81	25.1(1.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	34	50	23	68	13.8	58%	0.22	77.4	1.47%	0	1.6	83	0
5	Mar_5_2015	23.01	23.92	24.46	24.48	24.45	24.5	24.77(1.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	21	10	6	67	6.88	58%	0.17	72.5	1.48%	0	1.3	87	0

6	Mar_4_2015	22.97	23.81	24.4	24.48	24.4	24.42	24.45(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	20	0	0	79	5.79	58%	0.13	68.7	1.47%	0	0.9	79	0
7	Mar_3_2015	22.94	23.73	24.35	24.44	24.43	24.39	24.43(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	23	-10	-0	92	4.9	58%	0.17	66.7	1.47%	0	1	77	0
8	Mar_2_2015	22.9	23.63	24.28	24.45	24.44	24.38	24.48(0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	26	-20	-2	109	6.49	58%	0.13	59.7	1.47%	0	1.1	82	0
9	Feb_27_2015	22.87	23.52	24.2	24.43	24.46	24.47	24.28(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	31	10	-1	125	6.27	58%	0.09	47.7	1.45%	0	1	78	0
10	Feb_26_2015	22.85	23.44	24.08	24.44	24.44	24.49	24.55(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	40	10	8	136	5.71	58%	0.09	40.5	1.45%	0	1.4	86	0

11	Feb_25_2015	22.83	23.34	23.94	24.36	24.36	24.44	24.47(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	44	20	11	143	7.68	58%	0.09	41	1.45%	0	1.5	87	0
12	Feb_24_2015	22.81	23.26	23.81	24.24	24.24	24.38	24.49(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	49	40	17	144	5.04	58%	0.09	42.1	1.45%	0	1.8	79	0
13	Feb_23_2015	22.79	23.2	23.64	24.07	24.07	24.28	24.35(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	47	60	18	135	8.12	58%	0.09	46.3	1.45%	0	1.8	80	0
14	Feb_20_2015	22.77	23.16	23.49	23.94	23.88	24.1	24.33(0.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	57	60	29	140	7.01	58%	0.04	55.7	1.45%	0	2	82	0
15	Feb_19_2015	22.76	23.13	23.33	23.66	23.67	23.87	24.17(1.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	47	60	24	116	7.79	58%	0.04	56.7	1.45%	0	1.9	70	0

16	Feb_18_2015	22.75	23.04	23.16	23.45	23.46	23.66	23.86(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	36	60	17	93	5.92	58%	0	42.9	1.45%	0	1.6	69	0
17	Feb_17_2015	22.75	22.97	23.05	23.32	23.31	23.48	23.66(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	36	50	21	79	7.45	58%	0.09	31.2	1.45%	0	1.4	59	0
18	Feb_13_2015	22.73	22.91	22.93	23.14	23.16	23.26	23.68(3.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	25	30	18	46	10.29	58%	0.09	14.8	1.44%	0	1.6	49	0
19	Feb_12_2015	22.71	22.84	22.78	22.98	23	23.13	22.95(-0.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	5	40	7	-1	8.95	54%	0.04	-7.8	1.39%	0	0.2	36	0
20	Feb_11_2015	22.7	22.84	22.75	22.94	22.92	23.05	23.12(-0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	7	40	17	-25	6.23	54%	0.04	-13.6	1.38%	0	0.6	36	0

21	Feb_10_2015	22.69	22.82	22.69	22.82	22.81	22.87	23.18(1.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-1	20	11	-37	10.93	54%	0.04	-20.4	1.38%	0	0.8	59	0
22	Feb_9_2015	22.68	22.81	22.66	22.73	22.72	22.79	22.78(-0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-7	20	5	-43	4.3	52%	0.04	-28.2	1.37%	0	-0.1	54	0
23	Feb_6_2015	22.67	22.84	22.72	22.68	22.7	22.75	22.85(0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	3	20	14	-29	8	52%	0.04	-32.9	1.37%	0	0	55	0
24	Feb_5_2015	22.66	22.87	22.8	22.56	22.59	22.65	22.76(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-3	20	3	-20	6.17	52%	0.04	-37.2	1.37%	0	-0.2	57	0
25	Feb_4_2015	22.65	22.89	22.91	22.53	22.52	22.66	22.52(-1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	3	40	4	-0	6.84	52%		-47.1	1.37%	0	-0.7	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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