Trading Signals: EBAY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 17, 2014

Trading Signals: EBAY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(eBay Inc)
EBAY latest price $22.9887 (0.86%) ($22.7979 - $23.1040) on Mon. Nov. 17, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.84% (three month average)
RSI   90
Latest Price   $22.9887(0.86%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EBAY advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EBAY advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EBAY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(54%)    SPY(53%)    XLK(50%)    IWM(48%)    VT(48%)
Factors Impacting EBAY price   EBAY will decline at least -0.92% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    TLT(-10%)    IGOV(-8%)    SHY(-6%)    UUP(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.92% (StdDev 1.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.79(0.87%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.63(1.59%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.11(3.97%)
To recent high   -3.2%
To recent low   14.5%
Market Cap   $16.207b

eBay, Inc. operates as a commerce company, which engages in the provision of investments and acquisitions to help enable commerce on platforms for buyers and sellers online or on mobile devices. It operates throught the following platforms: Marketplace; Classifieds; StubHub, Corporate, and Others. The Marketplace platform include online marketplace located at www.ebay.com, its localized counterparts and the eBay mobile apps. The Classified platform focuses in collection of brands such as mobile.de, Kijiji, Gumtree, Marktplaats, eBay Kleinanzeigen and others. The StubHub platform gives online ticket platform located at www.stubhub.com, its localized counterparts and the StubHub mobile apps. The company was founded by Pierre M. Omidyar in September 1995 and is headquartered in San Jose, CA.

$. EBAY price fluctuates within 2.99% (three month std-dev: 1.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 17 Average positive next day return: 0.75%(59%) Average negative next day return: -1.33%(41%) Sample size 17 Average positive next three day return: 1.56%(59%) Average negative next three day return: -2%(41%) Sample size 17 Average positive next weekly return: 3.56%(65%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.93%(35%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141217

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_17_2014	22.07	22.11	22.63	22.79	22.76	22.85	22.99(0.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	25	20	7	78	7.77	53%	0.09	83.9	1.84%	0	1.3	90	0
2	Nov_14_2014	22.05	21.99	22.54	22.72	22.7	22.76	22.79(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	20	8	83	4.97	53%	0.09	69.1	1.84%	0	1.1	89	0
3	Nov_13_2014	22.03	21.86	22.46	22.64	22.62	22.67	22.8(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	27	10	7	87	7.81	53%	0.09	52.7	1.84%	0	1.2	90	0
4	Nov_12_2014	22.01	21.73	22.35	22.55	22.54	22.63	22.67(-0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	24	30	4	84	6.06	53%	0.09	38.7	1.84%	0	1.2	90	0
5	Nov_11_2014	21.99	21.65	22.24	22.51	22.48	22.58	22.72(0.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	29	30	8	91	7.12	53%	0.09	28.3	1.85%	0	1.4	94	0

6	Nov_10_2014	21.97	21.57	22.11	22.43	22.43	22.45	22.6(0.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	28	10	8	89	5.28	53%	0.09	20.7	1.85%	0	1.5	78	0
7	Nov_7_2014	21.95	21.49	22	22.33	22.35	22.39	22.44(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	27	20	5	93	5.42	54%	0.09	9	1.85%	0	1.4	84	0
8	Nov_6_2014	21.93	21.45	21.9	22.25	22.26	22.41	22.33(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	36	50	11	109	5.89	54%	0.05	-1.7	1.85%	0	1.4	86	0
9	Nov_5_2014	21.92	21.43	21.8	22.11	22.17	22.31	22.47(0.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	44	50	19	120	10.76	54%	0.09	-12.7	1.85%	0	1.5	89	0
10	Nov_4_2014	21.9	21.44	21.65	21.92	21.94	22.11	22.34(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	37	60	14	104	7.73	55%	0.09	-23.7	1.85%	0	1.3	64	0

11	Nov_3_2014	21.88	21.42	21.54	21.74	21.75	22.02	22.1(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	35	90	15	94	6.99	55%	0.05	-40.7	1.84%	0	1	60	0
12	Oct_31_2014	21.87	21.43	21.4	21.62	21.61	21.77	22.01(1.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	31	50	16	77	8.3	55%	0.09	-40.8	1.85%	0	0.8	60	0
13	Oct_30_2014	21.85	21.46	21.21	21.5	21.47	21.48	21.62(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	-0	5	42	6.92	55%	0.05	-38.9	1.83%	0	0.2	47	0
14	Oct_29_2014	21.84	21.52	21.06	21.44	21.43	21.45	21.52(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	10	5	8	7.32	55%	0.05	-31.9	1.83%	0	0	41	0
15	Oct_28_2014	21.83	21.6	21.01	21.34	21.39	21.47	21.47(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-4	30	4	-27	8.11	55%	0.05	-26.7	1.83%	0	-0.1	34	0

16	Oct_27_2014	21.82	21.7	20.98	21.31	21.34	21.41	21.46(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-0	30	13	-40	6.96	55%	0.05	-20.6	1.83%	0	-0.2	43	0
17	Oct_24_2014	21.81	21.73	20.94	21.14	21.24	21.31	21.44(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	40	19	-70	6.39	55%	0	-25.1	1.84%	0	-0.3	40	0
18	Oct_23_2014	21.81	21.77	20.96	20.88	21	21.27	21.3(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-12	110	20	-108	10.8	55%	0	-31.8	1.84%	0	-0.5	36	0
19	Oct_22_2014	21.81	21.8	21.03	20.63	20.73	21.17	21.02(-1.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-24	160	16	-142	13.56	55%	0	-40.2	1.84%	0	-0.8	33	0
20	Oct_21_2014	21.81	21.86	21.19	20.64	20.43	20.73	21.33(3.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-27	70	14	-150	13.96	55%	0	-39	1.83%	0	-0.6	33	0

21	Oct_20_2014	21.81	21.91	21.27	20.62	20.39	20.29	20.63(2.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-50	-70	-5	-186	12.5	52%	0	-38.2	1.78%	0	-1.3	22	0
22	Oct_17_2014	21.81	21.98	21.45	20.72	20.63	20.13	20.11(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-72	-180	-33	-188	13.94	50%	-0.05	-34.5	1.76%	0	-2.1	38	0
23	Oct_16_2014	21.82	22.09	21.73	21.05	20.93	20.49	20.08(-4.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-76	-160	-48	-161	38.14	50%	-0.05	-27.9	1.76%	0	-2.5	38	0
24	Oct_15_2014	21.83	22.2	22.03	21.47	21.4	21.12	21.07(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-54	-100	-34	-114	16.8	55%	-0.05	-10.6	1.66%	0	-1.7	47	0
25	Oct_14_2014	21.84	22.24	22.25	21.83	21.78	21.37	21.21(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-36	-140	-26	-66	12.41	55%		7.5	1.66%	0	-1.7	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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