Trading Signals: EBAY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 4, 2014

Trading Signals: EBAY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(eBay Inc)
EBAY latest price $22.2486 (1.01%) ($21.9048 - $22.2780) on Mon. Aug. 4, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.97% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $22.2486(1.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EBAY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EBAY advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EBAY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(54%)    SPY(53%)    XLK(50%)    VT(48%)    XLY(48%)
Factors Impacting EBAY price   EBAY will decline at least -0.485% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    TLT(-10%)    IGOV(-8%)    SHY(-6%)    UUP(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.485% (StdDev 0.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.21(0.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.16(0.4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.79(2.1%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   10%
Market Cap   $15.685b

eBay, Inc. operates as a commerce company, which engages in the provision of investments and acquisitions to help enable commerce on platforms for buyers and sellers online or on mobile devices. It operates throught the following platforms: Marketplace; Classifieds; StubHub, Corporate, and Others. The Marketplace platform include online marketplace located at www.ebay.com, its localized counterparts and the eBay mobile apps. The Classified platform focuses in collection of brands such as mobile.de, Kijiji, Gumtree, Marktplaats, eBay Kleinanzeigen and others. The StubHub platform gives online ticket platform located at www.stubhub.com, its localized counterparts and the StubHub mobile apps. The company was founded by Pierre M. Omidyar in September 1995 and is headquartered in San Jose, CA.

$. EBAY price fluctuates within 1.97% (three month std-dev: 0.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.17%(75%) Average negative next day return: -0.07%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 1.49%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -1.58%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 0.84%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.99%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140904

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_4_2014	21.92	21.79	22.16	22.21	22.16	22.08	22.25(1.01%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	24	-30	-2	102	12	38%	-0.05	60.4	0.97%	0	1.1	75	0
2	Aug_1_2014	21.93	21.74	22.11	22.2	22.2	22.11	22.03(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	20	-30	-9	108	12.84	34%	0	63.1	0.96%	0	0.7	66	0
3	Jul_31_2014	21.93	21.71	22.07	22.22	22.22	22.24	22.15(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	25	10	-5	114	11.52	34%	0	71.7	0.97%	0	1	64	0
4	Jul_30_2014	21.93	21.66	22	22.25	22.21	22.29	22.32(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	41	20	9	137	9.11	26%	0	79.9	0.96%	0	1.5	76	0
5	Jul_29_2014	21.93	21.6	21.9	22.21	22.19	22.2	22.31(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	0	13	111	12.02	32%	0.05	89.5	1.15%	0	1.7	68	0

6	Jul_28_2014	21.92	21.54	21.8	22.11	22.1	22.14	22.19(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	10	9	103	9.4	32%	0	91.2	1.17%	0	1.7	71	0
7	Jul_25_2014	21.92	21.48	21.72	22	22.02	22.17	22.12(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	37	50	16	98	11.25	29%	0	93	1.17%	0	1.7	64	0
8	Jul_24_2014	21.92	21.41	21.67	21.9	21.88	22.07	22.32(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	45	60	28	94	16.26	29%	0.05	85	1.19%	0	2.5	65	0
9	Jul_23_2014	21.91	21.32	21.54	21.71	21.69	21.87	22.08(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	34	60	23	68	13.88	29%	0	76.7	1.18%	0	2.2	65	0
10	Jul_22_2014	21.91	21.24	21.46	21.55	21.57	21.69	21.83(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	26	40	18	49	10.42	29%	0	63.9	1.18%	0	1.8	62	0

11	Jul_21_2014	21.91	21.19	21.39	21.45	21.46	21.52	21.68(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	14	20	8	33	9.92	29%	-0.05	59.6	1.18%	0	1.5	64	0
12	Jul_18_2014	21.92	21.14	21.34	21.45	21.46	21.46	21.59(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	10	20	3	32	12.95	29%	0	59.9	1.18%	0	1.5	62	0
13	Jul_17_2014	21.92	21.1	21.32	21.4	21.41	21.4	21.4(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	16	-0	6	47	21.71	29%	-0.05	69.7	1.18%	0	1	65	0
14	Jul_16_2014	21.93	21.07	21.3	21.34	21.42	21.37	21.26(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	11	-10	-2	49	13.82	33%	0	70.4	1.18%	0	0.6	64	0
15	Jul_15_2014	21.93	21.03	21.29	21.36	21.35	21.42	21.31(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	19	20	3	68	9.44	33%	-0.05	75.5	1.2%	0	0.9	69	0

16	Jul_14_2014	21.94	21	21.26	21.31	21.3	21.47	21.45(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	50	13	73	9.4	33%	-0.05	65.8	1.19%	0	1.4	65	0
17	Jul_11_2014	21.95	20.95	21.22	21.27	21.22	21.29	21.59(2.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	28	20	12	76	13.89	33%	0	61.5	1.2%	0	2.1	68	0
18	Jul_10_2014	21.95	20.89	21.13	21.23	21.17	21.12	21.11(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	13	-30	-5	65	8.33	23%	-0.05	46.5	1.17%	0	0.7	58	0
19	Jul_9_2014	21.96	20.86	21.09	21.25	21.24	21.16	21.36(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	-30	0	65	8.43	30%	-0.05	38.9	1.22%	0	1.7	63	0
20	Jul_8_2014	21.97	20.8	21.01	21.21	21.25	21.22	21.04(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	12	-0	-3	58	13.08	34%	-0.05	21.5	1.24%	0	0.8	64	0

21	Jul_7_2014	21.98	20.79	20.98	21.2	21.24	21.33	21.28(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	40	8	63	7.22	32%	-0.05	15.3	1.31%	0	1.6	72	0
22	Jul_3_2014	21.99	20.76	20.92	21.14	21.17	21.28	21.36(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	28	40	16	62	4.61	30%	-0.05	4.3	1.33%	0	2.1	74	0
23	Jul_2_2014	22	20.75	20.86	21.02	21.05	21.16	21.2(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	25	40	14	56	9.35	29%	-0.05	-5.4	1.34%	0	1.7	76	0
24	Jul_1_2014	22.01	20.75	20.82	20.92	20.93	21.05	21.18(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	26	40	17	52	8.81	32%	-0.05	-15.4	1.34%	0	1.6	70	0
25	Jun_30_2014	22.02	20.74	20.75	20.78	20.79	20.94	20.99(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	50	11	41	10.61	32%		-39.2	1.34%	0	0.9	72	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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