Trading Signals: DWT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ DWT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Feb. 5, 2020

Trading Signals: DWT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 9, 2016 - Thu. Apr. 2, 2020)

(Crude oil bear 3x)
DWT latest price $5.7600 (-7.99%) ($5.4300 - $5.9700) on Wed. Feb. 5, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.65% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $5.7600(-7.99%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DWT advances 2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DWT advances 19.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DWT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
BNDX(54%)    PCY(47%)    BND(46%)    EMHY(44%)    BWX(35%)
Factors Impacting DWT price   DWT will decline at least -2.325% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-37%)    GLD(-14%)    SLV(-12%)    UNG(-9%)    DRIV(-9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility

Market Trend Strength   -2.325% (StdDev 4.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

Inflection Point   Yes
5 Day Moving Average   $5.8(-0.69%)
10 Day Moving Average   $5.41(6.47%)
20 Day Moving Average   $4.7(22.55%)
To recent high   -8%
To recent low   14.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. DWT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. DWT price fluctuates within 17.66% (three month std-dev: 4.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.86%(100%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 2.17%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -7%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 3.82%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -13%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200305

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_5_2020	5.6	4.7	5.41	5.8	5.84	5.87	5.76(-7.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	71	60	8	258	19.92	76%	0.18	87.5	4.65%	0	1.3	78	0.1
2	Feb_4_2020	5.59	4.57	5.27	5.68	5.78	6.04	6.26(1.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	86	370	23	273	15.83	100%	0.36	81.1	4.54%	0	2	87	-0.7
3	Feb_3_2020	5.57	4.42	5.04	5.44	5.54	5.82	6.15(9.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	76	410	21	241	18.09	100%	-0.18	75	4.56%	0	2.2	84	-1.4
4	Jan_31_2020	5.58	4.27	4.81	5.25	5.31	5.52	5.6(6.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	67	310	16	219	23.34	100%	-0.53	72.6	4.61%	0	1.8	83	-2.4
5	Jan_30_2020	5.61	4.16	4.64	5.1	5.2	5.26	5.25(1.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	64	140	15	209	26.9	100%	-0.53	71.8	4.57%	0	1.7	82	-0.4

6	Jan_29_2020	5.64	4.07	4.52	4.96	5.07	5.09	5.15(2.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	64	90	16	206	15.99	100%	-0.35	69.1	4.58%	0	1.7	83	-0.7
7	Jan_28_2020	5.66	3.98	4.39	4.79	4.93	5.14	5.04(-3.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	68	390	22	206	11.69	100%	-0.35	63.9	4.58%	0	1.9	86	-0.7
8	Jan_27_2020	5.68	3.9	4.29	4.58	4.73	5.04	5.23(8.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	76	560	34	200	24.89	100%	-12.48	56.1	4.6%	0	2.6	90	-1.9
9	Oct_31_2019	6.49	5.49	4.29	5.11	4.73	5.04	5.47(4.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-5	-10000	6	-36	17.14	56%	-0.76	-38.6	7.5%	0	-0	53	1.2
10	Oct_30_2019	6.54	5.52	5.21	4.99	4.73	5.04	5.23(2.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-11	-10000	2	-49	18.32	56%	-0.61	-32.2	7.48%	0	-0.7	42	1.4

11	Oct_29_2019	6.58	5.56	5.25	4.95	4.73	5.04	5.08(1.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-18	-10000	-4	-59	21.54	56%	-0.75	-24.5	7.51%	0	-1.1	34	1.3
12	Oct_28_2019	6.63	5.6	5.33	5.02	4.73	5.04	5(5.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-20	-10000	-7	-59	15.32	56%	-1.34	-10.7	7.53%	0	-1.5	31	1.3
13	Oct_23_2019	6.72	5.66	5.55	5.45	4.73	5.04	5.01(-7.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-17	-10000	-7	-45	28.16	56%	-0.74	47.1	7.52%	0	-1.7	32	1.5
14	Oct_22_2019	6.77	5.67	5.66	5.59	4.73	5.04	5.44(-3.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-11	-10000	-4	-33	18.48	61%	-0.59	60.3	7.47%	0	-0.6	40	1.5
15	Oct_21_2019	6.81	5.64	5.73	5.68	4.73	5.04	5.65(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-5	-10000	-0	-20	11.36	61%	-0.44	62.2	7.46%	0	0	50	1.8

16	Oct_18_2019	6.84	5.59	5.76	5.69	4.73	5.04	5.61(1.45%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-2	-10000	2	-14	14.16	61%	-0.44	63	7.46%	0	0	54	1.7
17	Oct_17_2019	6.87	5.54	5.8	5.64	4.73	5.04	5.53(-3.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-3	-10000	-1	-9	26.05	63%	-0.15	38	7.48%	0	-0	61	1.8
18	Oct_16_2019	6.88	5.49	5.86	5.67	4.73	5.04	5.73(-2.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-0	-10000	-3	8	18.62	63%	-0.15	23	7.53%	0	0.4	67	1.9
19	Oct_15_2019	6.89	5.44	5.89	5.74	4.73	5.04	5.89(3.15%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	5	-10000	-3	28	14.59	63%	-0.14	13.6	7.55%	0	0.7	70	1.9
20	Oct_14_2019	6.9	5.36	5.88	5.8	4.73	5.04	5.71(6.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-10000	-2	47	15.28	63%	-0.29	6.1	7.56%	0	0.5	70	1.6

21	Oct_11_2019	6.92	5.28	5.87	5.85	4.73	5.04	5.35(-5.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	13	-10000	-5	66	22.3	63%	-0.29	-2.3	7.52%	0	0.1	72	1.1
22	Oct_10_2019	6.94	5.33	5.86	5.97	4.73	5.04	5.69(-6.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	20	-10000	-4	90	17.75	57%	0	5.1	7.48%	0	0.5	79	-0.2
23	Oct_9_2019	6.94	5.36	5.79	6.07	4.73	5.04	6.06(-1.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	28	-10000	0	110	25.09	57%	0	10.4	7.61%	0	0.9	88	-1.1
24	Oct_8_2019	6.94	5.35	5.68	6.06	4.73	5.04	6.18(3.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	34	-10000	4	122	17.48	57%	0.14	10.6	7.61%	0	1.1	86	-2.1
25	Oct_7_2019	6.93	5.32	5.55	5.98	4.73	5.04	5.96(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	35	-10000	4	126	14.49	57%		-0.2	7.6%	0	0.9	87	-0.3
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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