Trading Signals: DVN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 14, 2017

Trading Signals: DVN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Devon Energy Corporation)
DVN latest price $33.9000 (1.16%) ($33.6500 - $34.6000) on Thu. Sep. 14, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.91% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $33.9000(1.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DVN advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DVN advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DVN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(84%)    XOP(83%)    XLE(81%)    IWN(62%)    PAVE(60%)
Factors Impacting DVN price   DVN will decline at least -0.955% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    UUP(-14%)    VIXM(-13%)    BNDX(-6%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.955% (StdDev 1.91%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $32.57(4.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.39(4.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.61(7.24%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   14.8%
Market Cap   $12.78b

$. DVN price fluctuates within 3.16% (three month std-dev: 1.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 15 Average positive next day return: 2.12%(67%) Average negative next day return: -2.5%(33%) Sample size 15 Average positive next three day return: 2.77%(80%) Average negative next three day return: -5.78%(20%) Sample size 15 Average positive next weekly return: 3.35%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.9%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171014

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_14_2017	33.2	31.61	32.39	32.57	32.68	33.44	33.9(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	56	170	43	93	5.58	48%	-0.18	38	1.91%	0	2.3	74	0
2	Sep_13_2017	33.26	31.44	32.09	32.27	32.13	32.51	33.51(4.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	35	70	23	69	6	50%	-0.24	27	1.97%	0	2.4	73	0
3	Sep_12_2017	33.34	31.3	31.83	32.27	32	31.91	32.17(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-30	2	60	3.62	47%	-0.21	18.7	1.92%	0	1.2	71	0
4	Sep_11_2017	33.41	31.24	31.71	32.1	32.13	31.74	31.81(1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	-80	-13	60	3.86	47%	-0.27	10.4	1.91%	0	0.8	69	0
5	Sep_8_2017	33.5	31.22	31.65	32.16	32.13	32.09	31.47(-2.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	11	-30	-10	72	4.44	50%	-0.24	-0.5	1.96%	0	0.4	66	0

6	Sep_7_2017	33.58	31.23	31.62	32.14	32.26	32.52	32.39(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	70	15	93	2.9	47%	-0.21	-4.5	1.93%	0	1.7	83	0
7	Sep_6_2017	33.65	31.21	31.48	31.86	32	32.43	32.68(1.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	41	110	27	81	3.81	50%	-0.24	-25.1	2.06%	0	2.2	75	0
8	Sep_5_2017	33.73	31.21	31.24	31.52	31.56	32	32.13(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	32	100	23	59	3.84	50%	-0.27	-49.5	2.08%	0	1.6	65	0
9	Sep_1_2017	33.82	31.17	31.06	31.28	31.19	31.58	32.11(2.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	25	80	20	39	3.82	47%	-0.27	-50.2	2.1%	0	1.1	62	0
10	Aug_31_2017	33.91	31.23	30.89	31.09	30.99	31.12	31.4(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	20	10	16	5.33	45%	-0.29	-54.4	2.08%	0	0.2	44	0

11	Aug_30_2017	34.01	31.26	30.76	31.03	30.97	30.79	30.96(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-3	-50	-2	-5	3.21	43%	-0.35	-55.1	2.08%	0	-0.3	35	0
12	Aug_29_2017	34.13	31.38	30.73	31.04	30.97	30.86	30.99(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	-30	-3	-17	3.44	43%	-0.38	-51.4	2.13%	0	-0.4	31	0
13	Aug_28_2017	34.26	31.47	30.72	30.92	30.99	31.14	30.93(-0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-3	40	6	-30	2.97	43%	-0.32	-51.8	2.14%	0	-0.5	30	0
14	Aug_25_2017	34.37	31.58	30.73	30.8	30.84	31.13	31.16(0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	70	15	-43	3.25	41%	-0.35	-47.2	2.14%	0	-0.4	29	0
15	Aug_24_2017	34.49	31.68	30.76	30.65	30.59	30.83	31.12(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-6	50	14	-66	3.82	41%	-0.32	-44.1	2.19%	0	-0.5	20	0

16	Aug_23_2017	34.6	31.79	30.81	30.46	30.42	30.55	30.98(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-16	30	7	-84	3.32	41%	-0.35	-43	2.19%	0	-0.7	39	0
17	Aug_22_2017	34.72	31.89	30.9	30.4	30.37	30.35	30.4(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-29	-10	-4	-103	3.93	41%	-0.34	-43.1	2.18%	0	-1.3	27	0
18	Aug_21_2017	34.84	32.03	31.07	30.5	30.51	30.29	30.34(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-34	-50	-9	-108	2.92	41%	-0.31	-36.6	2.18%	0	-1.5	32	0
19	Aug_18_2017	34.95	32.11	31.28	30.65	30.65	30.4	30.4(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-41	-60	-18	-110	4.2	44%	-0.31	-34	2.24%	0	-1.6	30	0
20	Aug_17_2017	35.06	32.2	31.59	30.89	30.94	30.73	30.18(-1.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-37	-40	-17	-97	3.8	44%	-0.34	-28.9	2.24%	0	-2.1	30	0

21	Aug_16_2017	35.18	32.3	31.81	31.2	31.22	30.91	30.66(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-36	-70	-17	-93	3.84	44%	-0.26	-18.6	2.24%	0	-1.9	30	0
22	Aug_15_2017	35.27	32.4	32.08	31.49	31.51	31.14	30.92(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-35	-80	-20	-80	4	44%	-0.23	-0.8	2.24%	0	-1.9	37	0
23	Aug_14_2017	35.35	32.44	32.3	31.73	31.85	31.53	31.07(-1.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-31	-60	-18	-69	3.09	44%	-0.23	13.2	2.25%	0	-1.8	38	0
24	Aug_11_2017	35.43	32.47	32.53	32	32.08	31.87	31.61(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-30	-40	-23	-49	3.59	44%	-0.2	34.7	2.24%	0	-1.2	52	0
25	Aug_10_2017	35.5	32.48	32.69	32.41	32.41	32.18	31.76(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-10	-50	-8	-16	4.01	44%		62.3	2.24%	0	-1	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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