Trading Signals: DVN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 10, 2017

Trading Signals: DVN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Devon Energy Corporation)
DVN latest price $43.0600 (1.22%) ($42.7400 - $43.2200) on Mon. Apr. 10, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.88% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $43.0600(1.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DVN advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DVN advances 4.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DVN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(84%)    XOP(84%)    XLE(81%)    IWN(62%)    PAVE(60%)
Factors Impacting DVN price   DVN will decline at least -0.94% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    VIXM(-13%)    UUP(-13%)    BNDX(-7%)    IPO(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.94% (StdDev 1.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $42.5(1.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.9(2.77%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.93(5.2%)
To recent high   -9.2%
To recent low   11%
Market Cap   $16.234b

$. DVN price fluctuates within 3.15% (three month std-dev: 1.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 16 Average positive next day return: 1.18%(63%) Average negative next day return: -1.68%(38%) Sample size 16 Average positive next three day return: 1.72%(56%) Average negative next three day return: -2.75%(44%) Sample size 16 Average positive next weekly return: 3.31%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.27%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170510

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_10_2017	44.61	40.93	41.9	42.5	42.62	42.86	43.06(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	46	50	16	137	3.18	33%	-0.02	29.8	1.88%	0	1.7	70	0
2	Apr_7_2017	44.62	40.81	41.5	42.29	42.42	42.58	42.54(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	40	12	115	3.71	31%	-0.02	16.1	1.93%	0	1.5	61	0
3	Apr_6_2017	44.63	40.69	41.14	42.13	42.19	42.39	42.88(3.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	35	40	14	99	6.99	31%	-0.02	0.7	1.94%	0	2	63	0
4	Apr_5_2017	44.64	40.57	40.76	41.84	41.95	42.25	41.52(-2.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	28	60	11	78	5.68	30%	-0.07	-18.9	1.89%	0	0.9	55	0
5	Apr_4_2017	44.67	40.52	40.54	41.78	41.76	41.99	42.49(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	40	40	30	70	3.85	32%	-0.02	-32.6	1.92%	0	1.7	58	0

6	Apr_3_2017	44.68	40.55	40.26	41.21	41.33	41.66	42.03(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	33	60	29	44	4.3	36%	0	-40.5	1.92%	0	1.1	63	0
7	Mar_31_2017	44.68	40.62	40.08	40.58	40.72	41.53	41.72(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	35	150	40	18	4.81	36%	-0.02	-47.8	1.96%	0	0.8	53	0
8	Mar_30_2017	44.69	40.68	39.94	39.99	39.99	41.01	41.45(0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	37	180	50	-1	6.67	36%	-0.04	-54.2	1.97%	0	0.5	56	0
9	Mar_29_2017	44.71	40.76	39.84	39.52	39.35	39.91	41.22(4.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	22	90	38	-26	5.82	36%	-0.02	-56.9	1.97%	0	0.3	51	0
10	Mar_28_2017	44.72	40.91	39.8	39.15	39.04	38.96	39.62(1.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-12	-20	3	-56	4.89	30%	-0.04	-58.9	1.89%	0	-0.7	42	0

11	Mar_27_2017	44.74	41.09	39.84	39.18	39.07	38.79	38.88(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-42	-60	-25	-92	4.05	27%	-0.04	-62.6	1.88%	0	-1.2	23	0
12	Mar_24_2017	44.76	41.3	40.05	39.51	39.48	39.13	38.8(-0.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-39	-60	-20	-97	4.15	27%	-0.04	-62.9	1.88%	0	-1.4	22	0
13	Mar_23_2017	44.78	41.51	40.21	39.86	39.79	39.35	39.09(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-47	-80	-27	-107	4.05	27%	0	-62.4	1.9%	0	-1.4	28	0
14	Mar_22_2017	44.78	41.76	40.39	40.19	40.18	39.83	39.34(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-47	-60	-25	-112	4.56	27%	0.04	-60.8	1.9%	0	-1.5	28	0
15	Mar_21_2017	44.76	41.98	40.54	40.54	40.53	40.23	39.8(-1.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-38	-50	-11	-120	3.96	27%	0.04	-60.6	1.9%	0	-1.3	25	0

16	Mar_20_2017	44.74	42.24	40.89	40.59	40.67	40.53	40.54(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-36	-20	-8	-118	3.3	27%	0.02	-63	1.89%	0	-1	37	0
17	Mar_17_2017	44.73	42.43	41.21	40.67	40.56	40.83	40.54(-0.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-25	40	3	-107	5.18	27%	0	-65.4	1.87%	0	-1.2	39	0
18	Mar_16_2017	44.73	42.61	41.48	40.62	40.5	40.81	40.72(-0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-15	40	14	-102	2.9	27%	0.02	-70.2	1.89%	0	-1.2	41	0
19	Mar_15_2017	44.72	42.79	41.74	40.63	40.46	40.29	41.12(2.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-23	-40	6	-109	3.5	27%	0	-72.1	1.89%	0	-1.1	38	0
20	Mar_14_2017	44.72	43.02	42.07	40.55	40.37	40.2	40.02(-2.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-61	-40	-38	-129	5.86	23%	-0.04	-66	1.85%	0	-1.8	34	0

21	Mar_13_2017	44.74	43.29	42.42	41.25	40.88	40.62	40.96(1.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-46	-70	-26	-107	4.37	24%	-0.02	-58.1	1.86%	0	-1.5	32	0
22	Mar_10_2017	44.75	43.52	42.64	41.85	41.7	40.54	40.26(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-58	-210	-44	-101	5.04	24%	-0.07	-54.1	1.82%	0	-2.2	34	0
23	Mar_9_2017	44.78	43.75	42.93	42.47	42.42	41.13	40.77(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-80	-220	-74	-97	8.7	24%	-0.04	-52.9	1.83%	0	-2.3	36	0
24	Mar_8_2017	44.8	43.93	43.27	43.01	43.21	42.87	40.72(-6.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-54	-40	-50	-67	7.77	24%	-0.04	-56	1.84%	0	-2.9	35	0
25	Mar_7_2017	44.82	44.12	43.6	43.79	43.68	43.71	43.56(-0.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-5	-0	4	-32	2.84	29%		-58.6	1.65%	0	-0.7	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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