Trading Signals: DVN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 7, 2016

Trading Signals: DVN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Devon Energy Corporation)
DVN latest price $41.8200 (4.06%) ($40.9700 - $41.8400) on Mon. Nov. 7, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.46% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $41.8200(4.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DVN advances 2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DVN declines -2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DVN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(84%)    XOP(84%)    XLE(81%)    IWN(61%)    IWD(59%)
Factors Impacting DVN price   DVN will decline at least -1.23% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-12%)    IPO(-7%)    BNDX(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.23% (StdDev 2.46%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.95(4.68%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.83(5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.3(1.26%)
To recent high   -7.6%
To recent low   11%
Market Cap   $15.766b

$. DVN price fluctuates within 4.77% (three month std-dev: 2.46%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 1.14%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.68%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.21%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161207

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_7_2016	40.59	41.3	39.83	39.95	40.12	40.86	41.82(4.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	15	140	38	-53	5.34	59%	0.15	-45.5	2.46%	0	0.3	49	0
2	Nov_4_2016	40.53	41.41	39.78	39.17	39.24	40.3	40.19(-0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	0	190	29	-85	5.99	56%	0.12	-55.7	2.43%	0	-0.6	42	0
3	Nov_3_2016	40.48	41.54	39.99	38.96	38.78	39.39	40.51(2.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-4	100	27	-95	7.93	59%	0.15	-61.2	2.43%	0	-0.5	38	0
4	Nov_2_2016	40.42	41.68	40.2	38.95	38.66	38.18	39.55(4.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-35	-110	-9	-114	12.16	58%	0.1	-59.8	2.5%	0	-1	30	0
5	Nov_1_2016	40.38	41.92	40.53	39.08	39.19	38.17	37.69(-0.53%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-63	-170	-39	-134	6.47	49%	0.05	-54.7	2.43%	0	-2.1	15	0

6	Oct_31_2016	40.36	42.21	40.97	39.68	39.74	39.13	37.89(-3.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-64	-100	-44	-125	6.9	49%	0.05	-41	2.55%	0	-2.4	20	0
7	Oct_28_2016	40.34	42.55	41.39	40.45	40.42	40.2	39.18(-3.16%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-43	-40	-22	-105	5.87	56%	0.05	-22.3	2.61%	0	-2.2	22	0
8	Oct_27_2016	40.32	42.8	41.79	41.15	40.96	40.35	40.46(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-37	-120	-21	-85	4.3	56%	0.07	4.7	2.58%	0	-1.8	40	0
9	Oct_26_2016	40.29	42.95	42.13	41.64	41.46	40.64	40.2(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-45	-150	-35	-74	6.91	58%	0.05	20.9	2.62%	0	-2.3	35	0
10	Oct_25_2016	40.27	43.04	42.57	42.2	42.09	41.57	40.67(-2.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-29	-90	-22	-51	3.67	55%	0.07	26.9	2.66%	0	-1.6	34	0

11	Oct_24_2016	40.24	42.96	42.92	42.44	42.45	42.29	41.72(-2.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	-30	-7	-35	4.41	55%	0.15	23.3	2.7%	0	-0.8	44	0
12	Oct_21_2016	40.18	42.88	43.19	42.45	42.51	42.6	42.69(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-9	20	-1	-32	3.17	55%	0.12	18.8	2.68%	0	-0.1	43	0
13	Oct_20_2016	40.13	42.74	43.21	42.53	42.44	42.62	42.94(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-12	20	-3	-37	4.26	55%	0.17	16	2.69%	0	0.1	44	0
14	Oct_19_2016	40.06	42.69	43.27	42.72	42.71	42.42	42.96(2.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-12	-50	-6	-31	5.66	55%	0.18	22.1	2.69%	0	0.2	51	0
15	Oct_18_2016	39.99	42.66	43.39	43.04	43.05	42.26	41.9(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-25	-130	-27	-19	5.13	55%	0.05	32.3	2.68%	0	-0.4	55	0

16	Oct_17_2016	39.97	42.61	43.54	43.49	43.52	43.01	41.77(-3.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-18	-80	-29	16	6.84	55%	0.15	38.3	2.68%	0	-0.5	67	0
17	Oct_14_2016	39.91	42.57	43.8	44.01	43.97	43.84	43.08(-1.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	13	-20	-4	65	3.26	57%	0.2	40.7	2.65%	0	0.3	65	0
18	Oct_13_2016	39.83	42.47	43.91	43.96	44.02	44.04	43.9(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	25	10	3	90	4.64	57%	0.18	33.7	2.64%	0	0.8	68	0
19	Oct_12_2016	39.76	42.32	43.83	43.88	43.83	44.09	44.56(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	40	3	95	6.76	60%	0.25	21.4	2.66%	0	1.2	59	0
20	Oct_11_2016	39.66	42.1	43.55	43.8	43.81	44	44.14(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	30	10	92	4.44	60%	0.25	10.8	2.76%	0	1.2	57	0

21	Oct_10_2016	39.56	41.94	43.02	43.63	43.84	43.57	44.39(3.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-30	0	75	4.89	60%	0.28	0.2	2.76%	0	1.4	62	0
22	Oct_7_2016	39.45	41.86	42.56	43.59	43.8	43.62	42.81(-1.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	5	-10	-15	65	4.91	58%	0.23	-3.6	2.73%	0	0.6	58	0
23	Oct_6_2016	39.36	41.88	42.25	43.85	43.99	44.11	43.48(-1.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	23	30	5	76	5.45	58%	0.23	0	2.72%	0	0.9	59	0
24	Oct_5_2016	39.27	41.94	42.08	43.76	43.91	43.98	44.18(2.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	20	15	84	6.38	56%	0.26	3.2	2.73%	0	1.2	62	0
25	Oct_4_2016	39.17	41.91	41.85	43.24	43.5	43.86	43.28(-2.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	41	80	27	84	3.92	56%		-5.3	2.76%	0	0.7	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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