Trading Signals: DVN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 14, 2016

Trading Signals: DVN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Devon Energy Corporation)
DVN latest price $38.3900 (-1.56%) ($38.2800 - $39.9000) on Thu. Jul. 14, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.2% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $38.3900(-1.56%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DVN advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DVN advances 3.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DVN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(84%)    XOP(84%)    XLE(81%)    IWN(61%)    IWD(59%)
Factors Impacting DVN price   DVN will decline at least -1.6% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-12%)    BNDX(-7%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.6% (StdDev 3.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $38.53(-0.36%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.69(1.86%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.12(3.42%)
To recent high   -4%
To recent low   27.8%
Market Cap   $14.473b

$. DVN price fluctuates within 3.88% (three month std-dev: 3.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 15 Average positive next day return: 0.99%(73%) Average negative next day return: -1.68%(27%) Sample size 15 Average positive next three day return: 1.51%(53%) Average negative next three day return: -1.93%(47%) Sample size 15 Average positive next weekly return: 3.59%(53%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.81%(47%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160814

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_14_2016	33.19	37.12	37.69	38.53	38.97	39.23	38.39(-1.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	80	7	65	6.36	56%	0.18	50.3	3.2%	0	0.9	49	0
2	Jul_13_2016	33.13	36.96	37.52	38.21	38.55	39.4	39(-2.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	31	180	22	57	6.59	56%	0.21	35.7	3.2%	0	1.4	53	0
3	Jul_12_2016	33.06	36.78	37.21	37.81	38.03	38.7	40.01(6.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	38	140	36	42	8.8	59%	0.24	18.9	3.17%	0	2.3	54	0
4	Jul_11_2016	32.98	36.56	36.58	37.04	37.26	37.7	37.67(0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	7	100	11	-6	5.61	57%	0.18	-2.1	3.19%	0	0.9	52	0
5	Jul_8_2016	32.92	36.43	36.4	36.99	36.82	37.35	37.58(2.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	9	90	14	-7	5.7	58%	0.18	-5.9	3.19%	0	0.9	56	0

6	Jul_7_2016	32.86	36.41	36.48	36.73	36.65	36.83	36.81(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	30	11	2	7.56	58%	0.15	-9.9	3.21%	0	0.3	58	0
7	Jul_6_2016	32.81	36.44	36.57	36.7	36.42	36.29	36.98(2.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	3	-50	-0	10	6.97	60%	0.15	-5.3	3.21%	0	0.4	57	0
8	Jul_5_2016	32.76	36.52	36.67	36.51	36.49	36.47	36.15(-3.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	12	-10	9	20	6.41	60%	0.15	-0.3	3.24%	0	-0.3	54	0
9	Jul_1_2016	32.71	36.58	36.79	36.03	36.32	36.54	37.45(3.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	13	70	12	15	7.26	62%	0.18	-4.7	3.2%	0	0.7	56	0
10	Jun_30_2016	32.65	36.51	36.64	35.71	35.7	36.52	36.25(-1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	-0	160	-2	5	6.25	62%	0.12	-11.3	3.23%	0	-0.2	56	0

11	Jun_29_2016	32.61	36.53	36.52	36.22	35.72	36.1	36.69(1.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	30	10	12	6.79	62%	0.18	0.6	3.22%	0	0.1	48	0
12	Jun_28_2016	32.55	36.51	36.38	36.47	36.18	34.89	35.99(6.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-17	-270	-21	-4	8.33	62%	0.15	11.6	3.21%	0	-0.4	46	0
13	Jun_27_2016	32.5	36.52	36.34	36.91	36.87	35.35	33.75(-5.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-45	-290	-54	-19	15.07	60%	0.03	25.9	3.14%	0	-2.1	34	0
14	Jun_24_2016	32.49	36.64	36.58	37.62	37.71	37.48	35.85(-7.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-11	-40	-17	8	18.76	64%	0.15	52.7	3.07%	0	-0.7	45	0
15	Jun_23_2016	32.44	36.66	36.53	37.65	37.89	38.39	38.8(2.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	29	110	30	25	5.84	63%	0.28	61.8	2.9%	0	1.8	61	0

16	Jun_22_2016	32.35	36.53	36.36	36.85	37.18	37.94	37.94(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	22	170	28	3	6.68	63%	0.25	57.4	3.09%	0	1.3	54	0
17	Jun_21_2016	32.27	36.36	36.29	36.28	36.3	37.39	38.19(2.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	22	210	31	-6	7.6	63%	0.25	41.2	3.09%	0	1.6	58	0
18	Jun_20_2016	32.19	36.17	36.29	35.75	35.71	36.43	37.32(3.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	20	140	30	-10	9.51	63%	0.25	31.6	3.08%	0	1	55	0
19	Jun_17_2016	32.11	36.02	36.29	35.44	35.31	35.2	35.98(3.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	0	-30	7	-21	13.33	62%	0.19	30.4	3.06%	0	-0	52	0
20	Jun_16_2016	32.05	35.93	36.3	35.27	35.25	34.99	34.8(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-24	-50	-19	-37	17.23	64%	0.12	29	3.08%	0	-0.9	47	0

21	Jun_15_2016	32.01	35.91	36.52	35.8	35.54	35.41	35.09(-1.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-15	-50	-14	-17	7	62%	0.16	46.3	3.24%	0	-0.6	45	0
22	Jun_14_2016	31.96	35.9	36.65	36.3	35.99	35.5	35.55(-0.64%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-15	-120	-20	2	7.38	62%	0.16	68.5	3.26%	0	-0.3	58	0
23	Jun_13_2016	31.91	35.82	36.72	36.94	36.71	35.66	35.78(1.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-13	-220	-25	25	8.01	62%	0.19	92.1	3.28%	0	-0	59	0
24	Jun_10_2016	31.85	35.68	36.75	37.29	37.45	36.48	35.12(-6.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-8	-170	-25	44	8.04	62%	0.19	93.3	3.3%	0	-0.4	58	0
25	Jun_9_2016	31.79	35.57	36.86	37.45	37.81	37.77	37.45(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	13	20	-6	69	5.82	66%		94.9	3.21%	0	1.1	72	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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