Trading Signals: DVN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. May. 2, 2016

Trading Signals: DVN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Devon Energy Corporation)
DVN latest price $34.5600 (-0.35%) ($33.5000 - $34.8400) on Mon. May. 2, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.49% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $34.5600(-0.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DVN advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DVN advances 6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DVN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(84%)    XOP(84%)    XLE(81%)    IWN(61%)    IWD(59%)
Factors Impacting DVN price   DVN will decline at least -1.745% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    VIXM(-15%)    UUP(-13%)    BNDX(-7%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.745% (StdDev 3.49%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $35.38(-2.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.86(-0.86%)
20 Day Moving Average   $32.4(6.67%)
To recent high   -6.4%
To recent low   43.5%
Market Cap   $13.029b

$. DVN price fluctuates within 9.94% (three month std-dev: 3.49%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 2.41%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.91%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 7.45%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -1.71%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 5.58%(17%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.57%(83%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160602

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_2_2016	29.74	32.4	34.86	35.38	35.58	34.92	34.56(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	14	-110	-14	97	9.93	71%	0.47	73.7	3.49%	0	0.7	68	INF
2	Apr_29_2016	29.6	31.99	34.64	35.25	35.62	36.02	34.68(-3.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	26	110	-3	114	17.33	71%	0.54	71	3.53%	0	0.8	74	INF
3	Apr_28_2016	29.44	31.6	34.34	35.36	35.35	36.25	36.11(-2.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	57	180	26	149	12.08	75%	0.68	72.4	3.47%	0	1.3	81	INF
4	Apr_27_2016	29.24	31.16	33.87	34.92	34.92	35.22	36.91(6.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	56	60	22	158	14.92	75%	0.86	72.3	3.47%	0	1.7	87	INF
5	Apr_26_2016	28.99	30.61	33.26	34.49	34.54	34.44	34.62(1.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	43	-20	2	165	10.97	72%	0.66	69.8	3.39%	0	1.3	85	INF

6	Apr_25_2016	28.8	30.19	32.9	34.29	34.41	34.62	33.95(-3.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	54	50	9	190	11.13	72%	0.63	66.1	3.44%	0	1.2	86	INF
7	Apr_22_2016	28.62	29.78	32.43	33.9	34.11	34.64	35.2(3.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	74	130	28	212	11.29	78%	0.81	61.4	3.39%	0	1.7	94	INF
8	Apr_21_2016	28.39	29.33	31.79	33.14	33.16	34.2	33.93(-2.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	70	220	26	203	14.1	76%	0.75	56.9	3.42%	0	1.6	87	INF
9	Apr_20_2016	28.18	28.91	31.17	32.62	32.32	33.58	34.75(3.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	81	250	41	200	12.9	76%	0.9	53.5	3.41%	0	2.1	83	INF
10	Apr_19_2016	27.93	28.54	30.44	31.87	31.62	32.11	33.62(5.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	69	80	31	182	11.77	76%	0.83	60.9	3.45%	0	2.1	84	INF

11	Apr_18_2016	27.7	28.23	29.72	31.33	31	31.06	32(1.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	50	-20	12	165	10.88	73%	0.65	70.9	3.43%	0	1.8	82	INF
12	Apr_15_2016	27.52	27.99	29.13	30.74	30.84	31.13	31.4(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	50	80	17	149	10.89	73%	0.58	0	3.5%	0	1.8	82	INF
13	Apr_14_2016	27.36	27.77	28.65	30.22	30.35	30.95	31.35(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	53	150	25	136	10.44	73%	0.7	0	3.57%	0	2.1	75	INF
14	Apr_13_2016	27.17	27.5	28.23	29.47	29.76	30.55	30.96(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1	53	220	30	122	13.27	73%	0.67	0	3.66%	0	2.3	77	INF
15	Apr_12_2016	26.99	27.16	27.74	28.79	28.97	29.75	30.96(6.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	48	210	34	90	16.47	73%	0.71	0	3.74%	0	2.6	60	INF

16	Apr_11_2016	26.8	26.84	27.23	27.87	28.18	28.98	29.05(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	34	230	29	49	8.34	67%	0.45	0	3.62%	0	1.8	53	INF
17	Apr_8_2016	26.68	26.84	26.9	27.27	27.41	28.19	28.77(4.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	21	210	24	10	9.89	67%	0.45	0	3.72%	0	25.2	55	INF
18	Apr_7_2016	26.56	26.84	26.65	26.84	26.84	27.38	27.6(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	11	140	13	5	10.61	62%	0.23	0	3.74%	0	26.3	51	INF
19	Apr_6_2016	26.5	26.84	26.46	26.81	26.53	26.64	27.56(4.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	9	-0	11	4	12.19	62%	0.26	0	3.85%	0	26.2	58	INF
20	Apr_5_2016	26.43	26.84	26.48	26.54	26.42	26.3	26.39(1.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-1	-50	-1	-0	10.04	56%	-0.04	0	3.85%	0	25.1	64	INF

21	Apr_4_2016	26.44	26.84	26.63	26.48	26.48	26.43	26.05(-2.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	1	-10	1	0	8.82	56%	-0.08	0	3.98%	0	24.1	59	INF
22	Apr_1_2016	26.46	26.84	26.77	26.44	26.24	26.54	26.61(-3.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	60	1	0	15.2	56%	0.04	0	4.07%	0	23.8	50	INF
23	Mar_31_2016	26.45	26.84	26.85	26.41	26.16	26.53	27.44(4.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	14	70	16	6	11.42	56%	0.3	0	4.09%	0	23.7	50	INF
24	Mar_30_2016	26.37	26.84	26.73	26.07	25.89	25.94	26.2(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-4	-10	-5	-2	10.61	45%	-0.04	0	4.1%	0	22.4	50	INF
25	Mar_29_2016	26.38	26.84	26.55	26.43	25.97	25.79	26.09(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-10	-100	-12	-5	12.58	45%		0	4.3%	0	21.4	50	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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