Trading Signals: DVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 17, 2015

Trading Signals: DVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Feb. 19, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Dynavax Technologies Corporation)
DVAX latest price $27.2700 (1.83%) ($26.3700 - $27.9300) on Thu. Dec. 17, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.36% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $27.2700(1.83%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DVAX advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DVAX declines -2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DVAX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(8%)    XBI(8%)    TBT(7%)    JETS(6%)    EWP(5%)
Factors Impacting DVAX price   DVAX will decline at least -1.68% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-6%)    BNDX(-6%)    XLU(-4%)    UUP(-4%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.68% (StdDev 3.36%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.92(5.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.15(4.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.29(3.73%)
To recent high   -11.6%
To recent low   23.5%
Market Cap   $2.986b

Dynavax Technologies Corp. operates as a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development and commercialization of novel vaccines and immuno-oncology therapeutics. The firm focuses on leveraging the body's innate and adaptive immune responses through toll-like receptor stimulation. It offers products for vaccines, cancer immunotherapy, and immune-mediated diseases. The company was founded by Lawrence M. Lichtenstein, Dennis A. Carson, and Eyal Raz on August 29, 1996 and is headquartered in Berkeley, CA.

July 7, 2020 DVAX is developing a vaccine candidate SCB-2019 with GlaxoSmithKline plc GSK which is in its phase 1 clinical trials. The vaccine is made up of S-Trimer protein that resembles the coronavirus spike protein and hence triggers the immune system to produce antibodies.

$. DVAX price fluctuates within 3.84% (three month std-dev: 3.36%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 2.47%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: 0%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 7.12%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_17_2015	26.61	26.29	26.15	25.92	25.93	26.71	27.27(1.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	8	210	23	-39	0.49	62%	-0.11	32.3	3.36%	0	1	56	0
2	Dec_16_2015	26.64	26.21	26.14	25.62	25.46	25.9	26.78(3.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	1	100	17	-47	0.4	62%	-0.08	25.4	3.35%	0	0.6	53	0
3	Dec_15_2015	26.66	26.08	26.23	25.44	25.31	25.15	25.87(5.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-14	-60	-3	-48	0.43	60%	-0.07	14	3.33%	0	-0.2	56	0
4	Dec_14_2015	26.68	25.99	26.39	25.6	25.48	25.02	24.58(-2.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-23	-140	-19	-35	0.49	58%	-0.15	9.3	3.26%	0	-1.2	51	0
5	Dec_11_2015	26.72	25.98	26.73	25.98	25.87	25.46	25.11(-2.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-17	-120	-21	-4	0.44	58%	-0.11	14.8	3.25%	0	-0.7	55	0

6	Dec_10_2015	26.75	25.97	26.87	26.38	26.29	25.95	25.78(-0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-8	-100	-17	20	0.42	58%	-0.15	23.5	3.28%	0	-0.2	58	0
7	Dec_9_2015	26.79	25.96	26.95	26.72	26.72	26.29	25.84(-3.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-4	-110	-18	38	0.35	58%	-0.07	33	3.31%	0	-0.1	54	0
8	Dec_8_2015	26.81	25.93	26.93	27.13	27.09	26.64	26.71(0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	-120	-15	65	0.32	61%	-0.07	41.8	3.3%	0	0.6	70	0
9	Dec_7_2015	26.83	25.88	26.79	27.31	27.47	27.15	26.46(-2.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	11	-60	-13	82	0.39	61%	-0.07	52.2	3.38%	0	0.5	70	0
10	Dec_4_2015	26.85	25.8	26.67	27.59	27.65	27.54	27.11(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	27	-20	-0	108	0.43	61%	-0.07	66.4	3.39%	0	1	75	0

11	Dec_3_2015	26.87	25.68	26.48	27.42	27.68	27.79	27.47(-1.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	34	60	8	110	0.58	58%	-0.04	74.7	3.4%	0	1.5	69	0
12	Dec_2_2015	26.88	25.55	26.29	27.2	27.36	27.76	27.9(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	41	120	18	109	0.46	61%	-0.04	85	3.43%	0	2	64	0
13	Dec_1_2015	26.89	25.41	25.91	26.69	26.89	27.57	27.59(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	40	200	25	84	0.72	59%	0	95.5	3.55%	0	2.1	64	0
14	Nov_30_2015	26.89	25.25	25.54	26.2	26.27	26.95	27.89(6.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	34	190	27	55	0.82	56%	-0.04	104.5	3.61%	0	2.9	59	0
15	Nov_27_2015	26.9	24.99	25.13	25.63	25.68	26.22	26.23(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	150	16	25	0.13	57%	0.11	91.4	3.57%	0	1.5	60	0

16	Nov_25_2015	26.87	24.79	24.97	25.41	25.38	25.58	26.4(4.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	11	50	10	14	0.51	59%	0.04	61	3.67%	0	1.5	60	0
17	Nov_24_2015	26.86	24.6	24.85	25.26	25.24	25.15	25.35(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	-30	6	9	0.62	54%	0	59	3.64%	0	0.7	52	0
18	Nov_23_2015	26.86	24.47	24.82	25	25.18	25.18	25.14(0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	4	20	6	-1	0.4	54%	-0.07	48.1	3.77%	0	0.6	48	0
19	Nov_20_2015	26.88	24.35	24.89	24.76	24.87	25.32	25.03(-0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	7	140	9	-1	0.39	52%	0.04	34.2	3.77%	0	0.6	54	0
20	Nov_19_2015	26.87	24.25	24.86	24.54	24.56	25.18	25.15(-1.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	180	15	5	0.29	52%	0.07	25.3	3.85%	0	0.8	66	0

21	Nov_18_2015	26.85	24.15	24.81	24.44	24.2	24.43	25.62(6.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	9	40	7	14	0.51	52%	0.11	18	3.86%	0	1.2	71	0
22	Nov_17_2015	26.82	23.98	24.75	24.41	24.23	23.93	24.07(0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-1	-110	-8	22	0.41	49%	0.07	13.2	3.77%	0	0.1	62	0
23	Nov_16_2015	26.8	23.93	24.88	24.64	24.58	23.98	23.92(-0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-4	-180	-19	42	0.37	49%	0.04	20.7	3.79%	0	-0	60	0
24	Nov_13_2015	26.79	23.95	24.96	25.04	24.98	24.54	23.93(-3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	8	-130	-14	74	0.4	49%	0.07	32.3	3.79%	0	-0	62	0
25	Nov_12_2015	26.77	23.96	24.87	25.19	25.3	25.18	24.67(-3.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	19	-20	-3	86	0.41	49%		36.6	3.77%	0	0.6	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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