Trading Signals: DVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 16, 2015

Trading Signals: DVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Feb. 19, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Dynavax Technologies Corporation)
DVAX latest price $30.6300 (-1.76%) ($30.1900 - $31.6300) on Wed. Sep. 16, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.97% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $30.6300(-1.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DVAX advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DVAX advances 5.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DVAX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(10%)    XBI(10%)    TBT(7%)    JETS(6%)    ARKG(5%)
Factors Impacting DVAX price   DVAX will decline at least -1.985% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-6%)    BNDX(-6%)    UUP(-4%)    XLU(-3%)    VCIT(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.985% (StdDev 3.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.12(-1.57%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.09(1.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.89(6.02%)
To recent high   -3.3%
To recent low   50.4%
Market Cap   $3.354b

Dynavax Technologies Corp. operates as a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development and commercialization of novel vaccines and immuno-oncology therapeutics. The firm focuses on leveraging the body's innate and adaptive immune responses through toll-like receptor stimulation. It offers products for vaccines, cancer immunotherapy, and immune-mediated diseases. The company was founded by Lawrence M. Lichtenstein, Dennis A. Carson, and Eyal Raz on August 29, 1996 and is headquartered in Berkeley, CA.

July 7, 2020 DVAX is developing a vaccine candidate SCB-2019 with GlaxoSmithKline plc GSK which is in its phase 1 clinical trials. The vaccine is made up of S-Trimer protein that resembles the coronavirus spike protein and hence triggers the immune system to produce antibodies.

$. DVAX price fluctuates within 6.16% (three month std-dev: 3.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 1.29%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.14%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.84%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151016

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_16_2015	25.23	28.89	30.09	31.12	31.24	31.18	30.63(-1.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	21	-0	1	81	0.32	68%	0.36	28.6	3.97%	0	1	64	INF
2	Sep_15_2015	25.14	28.83	29.75	30.87	30.99	31.54	31.18(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	140	10	88	0.27	68%	0.36	26.7	3.96%	0	1.4	70	INF
3	Sep_14_2015	25.05	28.76	29.47	30.63	30.6	31.29	31.6(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	46	150	26	104	0.36	68%	0.36	22.1	3.96%	0	1.7	71	INF
4	Sep_11_2015	24.96	28.63	29.25	29.97	30.03	30.43	31.68(3.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	43	100	25	95	0.55	66%	0.32	18.7	3.99%	0	2	61	INF
5	Sep_10_2015	24.88	28.48	28.91	29.21	29.28	29.91	30.49(3.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	28	160	12	75	0.57	66%	0.28	10	3.98%	0	1.4	60	INF

6	Sep_9_2015	24.81	28.39	28.56	28.92	28.9	29.62	29.39(-2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	170	23	62	0.48	66%	0.24	2.4	3.96%	0	0.8	51	INF
7	Sep_8_2015	24.75	28.38	28.2	28.47	28.51	28.64	29.99(5.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	18	40	15	25	0.38	66%	0.32	-10.3	3.97%	0	1.2	50	INF
8	Sep_4_2015	24.67	28.39	27.75	28.14	28.06	28.19	28.31(1.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-12	20	-10	-18	0.2	64%	0.16	-14.8	3.88%	0	-0.1	45	INF
9	Sep_3_2015	24.63	28.39	27.69	28.43	28.36	28.38	27.86(-4.16%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-1	-0	3	-12	0.35	64%	0.2	-16.6	3.88%	0	-0.3	46	INF
10	Sep_2_2015	24.58	28.34	27.63	28.55	28.49	27.94	29.07(7.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	-140	3	-18	0.29	66%	0.24	-18.9	3.84%	0	0.5	50	INF

11	Sep_1_2015	24.52	28.36	27.6	28.15	28.42	28.34	27.1(-4.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-9	10	-1	-33	0.58	64%	0.2	-25.6	3.77%	0	-0.9	44	INF
12	Aug_31_2015	24.47	28.51	27.85	27.83	28.14	29.04	28.36(-4.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	10	260	24	-31	0.66	67%	0.2	-27.5	3.73%	0	-0.1	47	INF
13	Aug_28_2015	24.42	28.6	28	27.26	27.4	28.5	29.76(4.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	11	300	31	-50	0.44	70%	0.33	-33.5	3.67%	0	0.8	45	INF
14	Aug_27_2015	24.34	28.57	27.92	26.85	26.67	27.24	28.45(5.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	-0	130	19	-58	0.52	68%	0.21	-37	3.64%	0	-0.1	57	INF
15	Aug_26_2015	24.29	28.61	27.97	26.62	26.49	26.3	27.06(5.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-25	-60	-9	-72	0.45	67%	0.21	-40.1	3.59%	0	-1.1	50	INF

16	Aug_25_2015	24.24	28.74	28.18	27.03	26.93	26.1	25.53(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-43	-230	-32	-74	0.55	65%	0.12	-32.9	3.52%	0	-2.2	39	INF
17	Aug_24_2015	24.21	28.92	28.58	27.88	27.73	26.68	25.5(-8.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-46	-280	-42	-56	0.56	65%	0.04	-16	3.55%	0	-2.8	37	INF
18	Aug_21_2015	24.2	29.1	29.12	28.81	28.71	27.75	27.73(1.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-25	-240	-27	-18	0.61	70%	0.25	7.4	3.4%	0	-1.4	43	INF
19	Aug_20_2015	24.14	29.12	29.09	29.13	29.28	28.79	27.28(-6.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-21	-100	-22	-18	0.56	70%	0.21	12.9	3.41%	0	-1.9	45	INF
20	Aug_19_2015	24.09	29.21	29.17	29.49	29.57	29.66	29.11(-2.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-2	30	-1	-6	0.34	76%	0.25	24.8	3.31%	0	-0.1	51	INF

21	Aug_18_2015	24.03	29.22	29.23	29.48	29.55	29.77	29.8(-1.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	6	60	8	-2	0.35	77%	0.29	28.3	3.3%	0	0.6	52	INF
22	Aug_17_2015	23.96	29.12	29.25	29.39	29.38	29.47	30.15(2.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-1	20	-1	-2	0.37	77%	0.34	19.3	3.31%	0	1.1	57	INF
23	Aug_14_2015	23.88	29.03	29.25	29.51	29.48	29.34	29.31(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	13	-40	11	17	0.31	77%	0.29	24.1	3.31%	0	0.3	55	INF
24	Aug_13_2015	23.81	29	29.24	29.05	29.41	29.29	29.07(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	6	10	6	7	0.27	77%	0.21	13.9	3.31%	0	0.1	58	INF
25	Aug_12_2015	23.76	28.99	29.26	28.79	28.85	29.61	29.09(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-0	190	-0	-1	0.47	77%		18.2	3.31%	0	0.1	53	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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