Trading Signals: DVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jun. 28, 2013

Trading Signals: DVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Feb. 19, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Dynavax Technologies Corporation)
DVAX latest price $11.0000 (1.85%) ($10.1000 - $11.0000) on Fri. Jun. 28, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.59% (three month average)
RSI   32
Latest Price   $11.0000(1.85%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DVAX advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DVAX declines -10.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DVAX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(10%)    PEJ(8%)    EWG(7%)    EWP(7%)    XOP(7%)
Factors Impacting DVAX price   DVAX will decline at least -3.295% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-7%)    BNDX(-6%)    SHY(-4%)    XLU(-2%)    TIP(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.295% (StdDev 6.59%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $-64.04(-682.18%)
Resistance Level   $14.54
5 Day Moving Average   $10.54(4.36%)
10 Day Moving Average   $10.69(2.9%)
20 Day Moving Average   $14.54(-24.35%)
To recent high   -58.3%
To recent low   8.9%
Market Cap   $1.205b

Dynavax Technologies Corp. operates as a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development and commercialization of novel vaccines and immuno-oncology therapeutics. The firm focuses on leveraging the body's innate and adaptive immune responses through toll-like receptor stimulation. It offers products for vaccines, cancer immunotherapy, and immune-mediated diseases. The company was founded by Lawrence M. Lichtenstein, Dennis A. Carson, and Eyal Raz on August 29, 1996 and is headquartered in Berkeley, CA.

July 7, 2020 DVAX is developing a vaccine candidate SCB-2019 with GlaxoSmithKline plc GSK which is in its phase 1 clinical trials. The vaccine is made up of S-Trimer protein that resembles the coronavirus spike protein and hence triggers the immune system to produce antibodies.

$. DVAX price fluctuates within 42.85% (three month std-dev: 6.59%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -3.6%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 72.66%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 30.94%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130728

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_28_2013	21.94	14.54	10.69	10.54	10.47	10.53	11(1.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-22	20	2	-95	0.73	37%	-0.95	-48.1	6.59%	0	-0.6	32	0
2	Jun_27_2013	22.15	15.26	10.73	10.54	10.46	10.36	10.8(6.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-44	-80	-1	-172	1.09	37%	-0.89	-46.2	6.59%	0	-0.7	17	0
3	Jun_26_2013	22.35	16.01	10.84	10.5	10.58	10.41	10.1(-2.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-67	-90	-9	-241	0.24	34%	-0.97	-45.4	6.52%	0	-0.9	13	0
4	Jun_25_2013	22.57	16.77	11.19	10.5	10.73	10.56	10.4(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-69	-110	-2	-271	0.16	34%	-0.88	-44.5	6.52%	0	-0.9	18	0
5	Jun_24_2013	22.77	17.56	11.6	10.74	10.8	10.74	10.4(-3.7%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-79	-20	-5	-302	0.22	34%	-0.91	-44.8	6.53%	0	-1	18	0

6	Jun_21_2013	22.98	18.32	11.95	10.86	10.82	10.9	10.8(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-86	40	-4	-330	0.51	37%	-0.86	-45.3	6.58%	0	-1.1	17	0
7	Jun_20_2013	23.18	19.05	13.23	11	10.97	10.87	10.8(-4.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-84	-70	-7	-316	0.48	37%	-0.86	-46.2	6.58%	0	-1.2	17	0
8	Jun_19_2013	23.38	19.79	14.61	11.24	11.19	10.74	11.3(8.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-90	-290	-18	-304	0.68	37%	-0.89	-47.3	6.58%	0	-1.3	17	0
9	Jun_18_2013	23.59	20.51	15.84	11.74	11.7	11.06	10.4(-5.45%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-97	-390	-30	-297	0.66	32%	-0.84	-48.1	6.47%	0	-1.6	15	0
10	Jun_17_2013	23.79	21.27	17.23	12.6	12.63	11.64	11(-4.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-86	-540	-23	-275	0.45	32%	-0.83	-48.4	6.45%	0	-1.8	15	0

11	Jun_14_2013	23.99	22.02	18.68	13.2	13.44	12.34	11.5(-4.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-118	-520	-67	-272	0.56	35%	-0.79	-49.7	6.44%	0	-2	20	0
12	Jun_13_2013	24.18	22.74	20.16	15.84	14.51	13.63	12(-13.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-104	-680	-66	-218	0.97	35%	-0.78	-41.8	6.48%	0	-2.3	21	0
13	Jun_12_2013	24.37	23.42	21.65	18.54	17.61	14.55	13.8(-6.12%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-79	-1370	-51	-162	0.41	44%	-0.73	-31.1	6.28%	0	-2.4	24	0
14	Jun_11_2013	24.55	24.02	22.88	20.6	20.18	15.4	14.7(5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-93	-1720	-80	-130	0.82	44%	-0.41	-18.6	6.35%	0	-2.8	26	0
15	Jun_10_2013	24.65	24.51	24.12	22.54	22.56	20.68	14(-43.32%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-3.4	-77	-580	-74	-84	2.79	44%	-0.68	-2.6	6.32%	0	-4.2	23	0

16	Jun_7_2013	24.82	25.01	25.37	24.84	24.78	24.97	24.7(-3.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-3	50	1	-13	0.16	70%	-0.24	62.8	3.25%	0	-0.3	49	0
17	Jun_6_2013	24.88	24.89	25.44	25.12	24.85	24.44	25.5(5.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-9	-150	-10	-4	0.3	70%	-0.24	59.4	3.25%	0	0.5	55	0
18	Jun_5_2013	24.94	24.74	25.41	25.3	25.21	24.6	24.1(-1.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-15	-180	-21	3	0.29	68%	-0.28	59.4	3.19%	0	-0.5	48	0
19	Jun_4_2013	25.01	24.65	25.53	25.58	25.66	25.26	24.4(-4.31%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-11	-100	-21	18	0.17	61%	-0.32	54.5	3.18%	0	-0.2	51	0
20	Jun_3_2013	25.09	24.57	25.59	25.98	25.89	25.83	25.5(-2.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	-30	-4	52	0.24	65%	-0.28	56.7	3.26%	0	0.7	71	0

21	May_31_2013	25.16	24.45	25.56	25.96	26.02	26.05	26.1(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	20	7	74	0.09	65%	-0.32	53.5	3.27%	0	1.1	80	0
22	May_30_2013	25.24	24.25	25.44	25.8	25.82	25.95	26.4(3.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	28	40	7	89	0.1	65%	-0.28	39.5	3.29%	0	1.5	85	0
23	May_29_2013	25.31	24.03	25.26	25.56	25.55	26	25.5(-3.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	31	120	8	98	0.2	63%	-0.2	27.4	3.29%	0	1	78	0
24	May_28_2013	25.36	23.92	25.17	25.48	25.38	25.69	26.39(3.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	46	70	20	122	0.11	67%	-0.24	22.2	3.29%	0	1.8	89	0
25	May_24_2013	25.42	23.79	24.87	25.16	25.08	25.09	25.4(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	-10	2	69	0.05	42%		17.1	5.23%	0	1.3	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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