Trading Signals: DVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Feb. 1, 2013

Trading Signals: DVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Feb. 19, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Dynavax Technologies Corporation)
DVAX latest price $31.1000 (0.65%) ($30.7000 - $31.4000) on Fri. Feb. 1, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $31.1000(0.65%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DVAX advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DVAX declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DVAX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(10%)    EWP(8%)    PEJ(8%)    EWG(7%)    EWI(7%)
Factors Impacting DVAX price   DVAX will decline at least -3.5% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-7%)    SHY(-4%)    TIP(-2%)    LQD(-2%)    XLU(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.5% (StdDev 7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.82(0.91%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.72(1.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.97(0.42%)
To recent high   -34.4%
To recent low   27.5%
Market Cap   $3.406b

Dynavax Technologies Corp. operates as a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development and commercialization of novel vaccines and immuno-oncology therapeutics. The firm focuses on leveraging the body's innate and adaptive immune responses through toll-like receptor stimulation. It offers products for vaccines, cancer immunotherapy, and immune-mediated diseases. The company was founded by Lawrence M. Lichtenstein, Dennis A. Carson, and Eyal Raz on August 29, 1996 and is headquartered in Berkeley, CA.

July 7, 2020 DVAX is developing a vaccine candidate SCB-2019 with GlaxoSmithKline plc GSK which is in its phase 1 clinical trials. The vaccine is made up of S-Trimer protein that resembles the coronavirus spike protein and hence triggers the immune system to produce antibodies.

$. DVAX price fluctuates within 3.62% (three month std-dev: 7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_1_2013	36.54	30.97	30.72	30.82	31.03	31.04	31.1(0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-0	20	2	-7	0.12	44%	-0.41	52.8	7%	0	0.1	37	0
2	Jan_31_2013	36.69	30.85	30.69	30.68	30.85	31	30.9(2.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-3	50	1	-16	0.12	44%	-0.35	45.4	7%	0	0	34	0
3	Jan_30_2013	36.82	30.77	30.71	30.6	30.7	31.01	30.2(-4.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-4	80	2	-21	0.28	44%	-0.35	47.2	7%	0	-0.4	31	0
4	Jan_29_2013	36.95	30.7	30.74	30.68	30.59	30.7	31.5(3.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-2	20	4	-20	0.61	44%	-0.27	48.7	7.03%	0	0.6	57	0
5	Jan_28_2013	37.05	30.51	30.77	30.54	30.51	30.39	30.4(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-6	-30	-2	-19	0.11	44%	-0.32	40.5	7.08%	0	-0.1	60	0

6	Jan_25_2013	37.17	30.39	31.01	30.6	30.62	30.49	30.4(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-4	-30	-2	-8	0.12	44%	-0.32	34.4	7.08%	0	0	63	0
7	Jan_24_2013	37.29	30.29	31.29	30.7	30.73	30.63	30.5(-0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-1	-20	-3	5	0.19	44%	-0.29	33.2	7.08%	0	0.1	65	0
8	Jan_23_2013	37.4	30.17	31.53	30.84	30.73	30.74	30.6(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	5	-30	-0	18	0.1	44%	-0.27	34.2	7.08%	0	0.2	59	0
9	Jan_22_2013	37.5	30.07	31.55	30.8	30.87	30.84	30.8(0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	3	0	-4	22	0.09	43%	-0.24	38.2	7.08%	0	0.4	64	0
10	Jan_18_2013	37.59	29.95	31.44	31.04	30.97	30.99	30.7(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	4	-0	-5	31	0.11	41%	-0.24	47.5	7.05%	0	0.4	68	0

11	Jan_17_2013	37.68	29.85	31.27	31.5	31.37	30.9	30.9(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	-120	-7	42	0.11	41%	-0.21	59.4	7.06%	0	0.6	66	0
12	Jan_16_2013	37.76	29.73	31.05	31.98	31.88	30.96	31.2(2.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	4	-210	-12	50	0.14	38%	-0.21	74.5	7.06%	0	0.8	64	0
13	Jan_15_2013	37.84	29.57	30.87	32.34	32.51	31.83	30.4(-5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	10	-130	-8	63	0.35	40%	-0.18	88.4	7.1%	0	0.4	64	0
14	Jan_14_2013	37.91	29.39	30.71	32.38	32.73	32.8	32(-3.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	22	50	5	71	0.19	40%	-0.08	93.1	7.09%	0	1.4	67	0
15	Jan_11_2013	37.94	29.09	30.26	31.84	32.08	33.19	33(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	28	260	16	65	0.14	40%	-0.08	84.3	7.08%	0	2.1	73	0

16	Jan_10_2013	37.97	28.77	29.72	30.98	31.01	32.65	33.3(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	33	370	26	54	0.34	40%	-0.08	75.4	7.08%	0	2.5	72	0
17	Jan_9_2013	38	28.4	29.18	30	29.88	30.98	33(7.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	25	250	22	35	0.51	40%	-0.08	66.4	7.08%	0	3.1	71	0
18	Jan_8_2013	38.03	28.02	28.63	29.24	29.04	29.38	30.6(4.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	11	60	9	18	0.22	36%	-0.16	56.8	7%	0	2.3	67	0
19	Jan_7_2013	38.09	27.74	28.39	28.82	28.92	28.79	29.3(2.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	-20	6	15	0.16	36%	-0.21	33.7	6.98%	0	1.5	70	0
20	Jan_4_2013	38.17	27.58	28.29	28.44	28.64	28.71	28.7(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	4	40	1	13	0.12	36%	-0.21	12.1	6.97%	0	0.9	71	0

21	Jan_3_2013	38.25	27.49	28.28	28.24	28.25	29.05	28.4(-2.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	200	5	17	0.14	36%	-0.29	0.5	6.97%	0	0.8	61	0
22	Jan_2_2013	38.36	27.45	28.3	28.2	28.02	28.56	29.2(2.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	16	120	12	27	0.2	36%	-0.16	-1.9	6.96%	0	1.5	70	0
23	Dec_31_2012	38.42	27.4	28.17	27.94	27.7	27.45	28.5(4.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	6	-90	-0	25	0.28	36%	-0.23	-10.2	6.96%	0	1	69	0
24	Dec_28_2012	38.51	27.38	27.98	27.92	27.8	27.48	27.4(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	2	-90	-6	27	0.15	36%	-0.28	-7.5	6.93%	0	0	70	0
25	Dec_27_2012	38.62	27.44	27.87	28.12	28.03	27.95	27.7(-1.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	-30	-4	32	0.16	36%		-4.6	6.93%	0	0.2	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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