Trading Signals: DVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 5, 2012

Trading Signals: DVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Feb. 19, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Dynavax Technologies Corporation)
DVAX latest price $42.5000 (4.68%) ($40.8000 - $43.0000) on Mon. Nov. 5, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.38% (three month average)
RSI   30
Latest Price   $42.5000(4.68%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DVAX advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DVAX declines -6.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DVAX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(10%)    EWG(8%)    EWI(8%)    EWP(8%)    PEJ(8%)
Factors Impacting DVAX price   DVAX will decline at least -1.19% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-7%)    SHY(-4%)    TIP(-2%)    LQD(-2%)    XLU(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.19% (StdDev 2.38%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $28.71(-32.45%)
Resistance Level   $44.88
5 Day Moving Average   $41.7(1.92%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.98(1.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.88(-5.3%)
To recent high   -16%
To recent low   20.1%
Market Cap   $4.654b

Dynavax Technologies Corp. operates as a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development and commercialization of novel vaccines and immuno-oncology therapeutics. The firm focuses on leveraging the body's innate and adaptive immune responses through toll-like receptor stimulation. It offers products for vaccines, cancer immunotherapy, and immune-mediated diseases. The company was founded by Lawrence M. Lichtenstein, Dennis A. Carson, and Eyal Raz on August 29, 1996 and is headquartered in Berkeley, CA.

July 7, 2020 DVAX is developing a vaccine candidate SCB-2019 with GlaxoSmithKline plc GSK which is in its phase 1 clinical trials. The vaccine is made up of S-Trimer protein that resembles the coronavirus spike protein and hence triggers the immune system to produce antibodies.

$. DVAX price fluctuates within 7.17% (three month std-dev: 2.38%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.8%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.62%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 75.47%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -4.58%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 60.87%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.26%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121205

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_5_2012	42.35	44.88	41.98	41.7	41.81	41.7	42.5(4.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-42	-10	-1	-164	0.25	53%	0.07	-49.5	2.38%	0	-0.7	30	NAN
2	Nov_2_2012	42.32	45.19	42.24	41.62	41.8	41.81	40.6(-4.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-55	10	-9	-192	0.2	54%	0.02	-48.8	2.32%	0	-1.4	23	NAN
3	Nov_1_2012	42.31	45.59	42.86	41.78	42.03	41.93	42.3(2.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-42	0	6	-186	0.23	50%	0.12	-48.9	2.35%	0	-1	29	NAN
4	Oct_31_2012	42.26	45.89	43.3	41.66	41.95	41.79	41.4(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-55	-10	-12	-185	0.21	50%	0.26	-50.6	2.6%	0	-1.4	25	NAN
5	Oct_26_2012	42.15	46.22	44.17	41.9	42.06	42.13	41.7(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-51	20	-13	-165	0.13	47%	0.14	-55.3	2.68%	0	-1.6	25	NAN

6	Oct_25_2012	42.09	46.53	44.89	42.32	42.58	42.12	42.1(1.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-49	-60	-14	-153	0.34	47%	0.14	-57.7	2.69%	0	-1.7	25	NAN
7	Oct_24_2012	42.03	46.85	45.56	43	43.04	41.98	41.4(-0.72%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-77	-170	-51	-153	0.15	47%	0.1	-55.2	2.69%	0	-2.2	21	NAN
8	Oct_23_2012	41.99	47.2	46.27	44.12	44.16	43.04	41.7(-2.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-70	-170	-51	-127	0.28	47%	0.14	-50.6	2.69%	0	-2.6	25	NAN
9	Oct_22_2012	41.93	47.53	46.95	45.18	45.39	44.1	42.6(-2.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-71	-180	-59	-105	0.29	47%	0.14	-49.2	2.68%	0	-2.8	29	NAN
10	Oct_19_2012	41.87	47.85	47.56	46.78	46.39	45.28	43.8(-3.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-61	-190	-60	-64	0.38	46%	0.17	-28.8	2.65%	0	-3	36	NAN

11	Oct_18_2012	41.8	48.12	48.08	47.84	47.84	46.69	45.5(-3.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-30	-170	-33	-22	0.23	48%	0.19	5.9	2.66%	0	-2.7	42	NAN
12	Oct_17_2012	41.72	48.25	48.44	48.5	48.52	47.5	47(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1.9	-28	-150	-36	-2	0.44	50%	0.29	45.7	2.63%	0	-1.6	46	NAN
13	Oct_16_2012	41.6	48.3	48.59	48.74	48.87	49	47(-7.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.4	-7	30	-14	15	0.62	50%	0.14	88.7	2.63%	0	-1.8	47	NAN
14	Oct_15_2012	41.54	48.39	48.72	48.96	48.94	49.54	50.6(3.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.4	33	80	29	43	0.33	56%	0.34	146.2	2.47%	0	3.2	77	NAN
15	Oct_12_2012	41.4	48.24	48.41	48.5	48.49	48.74	49.1(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	13	40	11	19	0.25	54%	0.31	160.1	2.45%	0	1.2	53	NAN

16	Oct_11_2012	41.27	48.07	48.26	48.4	48.38	48.35	48.8(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	2	-10	0	6	0.14	54%	0.32	144	2.47%	0	0.8	47	NAN
17	Oct_10_2012	41.14	47.9	48.18	48.41	48.51	48.25	48.2(0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-3	-30	-5	5	0.11	54%	0.32	111.5	2.5%	0	0.2	56	NAN
18	Oct_9_2012	41.01	47.66	48.15	48.41	48.62	48.41	48.1(-0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-5	-20	-8	5	0.15	54%	0.27	95.1	2.51%	0	0.3	54	NAN
19	Oct_8_2012	40.9	47.4	48.11	48.43	48.66	48.77	48.3(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	4	30	3	5	0.17	54%	0.32	82.5	2.51%	0	0.4	46	NAN
20	Oct_5_2012	40.77	47.08	48.13	48.29	48.52	48.83	48.6(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	60	10	8	0.14	54%	0.27	78	2.51%	0	0.6	57	NAN

21	Oct_4_2012	40.66	46.76	48.15	48.09	48.42	48.55	48.85(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	40	12	19	0.12	54%	0.27	74.8	2.52%	0	0.8	70	NAN
22	Oct_3_2012	40.55	46.41	48.03	47.92	48.18	48.22	48.3(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	20	1	21	0.11	54%	0.22	73.5	2.54%	0	0.7	70	NAN
23	Oct_2_2012	40.46	46.04	47.98	47.85	48.04	48.29	48.1(1.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	14	50	4	42	0.07	54%	0.2	73.3	2.54%	0	0.7	77	NAN
24	Oct_1_2012	40.38	45.68	48.03	47.75	48.07	48.14	47.6(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	21	30	4	70	0.09	54%	0.17	78.5	2.54%	0	0.6	78	NAN
25	Sep_28_2012	40.31	45.28	48.05	47.95	48.02	47.8	47.6(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	17	-30	-10	97	0.13	53%		80.5	2.66%	0	0.7	80	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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