Trading Signals: DVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 12, 2012

Trading Signals: DVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Feb. 19, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Dynavax Technologies Corporation)
DVAX latest price $40.8000 (-2.39%) ($39.8000 - $41.6000) on Thu. Jul. 12, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.07% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $40.8000(-2.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DVAX declines -1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DVAX declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DVAX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(10%)    EWG(8%)    EWI(8%)    EWP(8%)    PEJ(8%)
Factors Impacting DVAX price   DVAX will decline at least -2.035% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-7%)    SHY(-4%)    LQD(-3%)    TIP(-2%)    XLU(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.035% (StdDev 4.07%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.7%

Resistance Level   $42.28
5 Day Moving Average   $42.66(-4.36%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.87(-4.83%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.28(-3.5%)
To recent high   -22.4%
To recent low   15.9%
Market Cap   $4.468b

Dynavax Technologies Corp. operates as a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development and commercialization of novel vaccines and immuno-oncology therapeutics. The firm focuses on leveraging the body's innate and adaptive immune responses through toll-like receptor stimulation. It offers products for vaccines, cancer immunotherapy, and immune-mediated diseases. The company was founded by Lawrence M. Lichtenstein, Dennis A. Carson, and Eyal Raz on August 29, 1996 and is headquartered in Berkeley, CA.

July 7, 2020 DVAX is developing a vaccine candidate SCB-2019 with GlaxoSmithKline plc GSK which is in its phase 1 clinical trials. The vaccine is made up of S-Trimer protein that resembles the coronavirus spike protein and hence triggers the immune system to produce antibodies.

$. DVAX price fluctuates within 3.6% (three month std-dev: 4.07%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.57%(67%) Average negative next day return: -1.35%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0.81%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -5.05%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.03%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120812

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_12_2012	43.1	42.28	42.87	42.66	42.67	41.68	40.8(-2.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-26	-160	-30	-13	0.14	44%	0	76.9	4.07%	0	-1	49	0
2	Jul_11_2012	43.1	42.18	43.16	43.38	43.43	43.03	41.8(-3.02%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-8	-60	-14	12	0.13	46%	0.02	85.6	4.06%	0	-0.2	52	0
3	Jul_10_2012	43.09	42.02	43.36	43.72	43.43	43.66	43.1(-1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	-20	-4	29	0.08	43%	0	87.1	4.07%	0	0.6	58	0
4	Jul_9_2012	43.09	41.77	43.22	43.86	43.79	43.83	43.7(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	10	0	1	38	0.1	42%	0.05	86.3	4.12%	0	0.9	64	0
5	Jul_6_2012	43.07	41.51	43.1	43.76	43.7	43.91	43.9(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	30	12	51	0.05	42%	0.05	88.3	4.16%	0	1.1	67	0

6	Jul_5_2012	43.05	41.14	42.91	43.1	43.24	43.76	44.4(2.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	90	9	47	0.15	45%	0.14	71.3	4.19%	0	1.4	71	0
7	Jul_3_2012	42.99	40.75	42.66	42.92	42.71	43.48	43.5(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	110	8	55	0.08	44%	0.02	64.9	4.29%	0	1.1	72	0
8	Jul_2_2012	42.98	40.41	42.47	42.96	42.7	42.73	43.8(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	-10	15	71	0.14	44%	0.07	67.2	4.29%	0	1.3	73	0
9	Jun_29_2012	42.95	40.03	42.12	42.5	42.6	41.93	43.2(6.4%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	11	-100	-7	64	0.23	44%	0.05	62.5	4.27%	0	1.2	73	0
10	Jun_28_2012	42.93	39.67	41.77	42.36	42.52	42.67	40.6(-6.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	9	40	-11	67	0.17	41%	-0.05	63.1	4.2%	0	0.4	64	0

11	Jun_27_2012	42.95	39.53	41.66	42.64	42.59	43.26	43.5(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	37	110	17	97	0.08	43%	0.02	69.3	4.13%	0	1.6	85	0
12	Jun_26_2012	42.94	39.19	41.14	42.34	42.19	42.36	43.7(5.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	33	20	12	97	0.33	43%	0.02	69.6	4.13%	0	1.8	84	0
13	Jun_25_2012	42.93	38.75	40.58	41.92	41.94	41.91	41.5(-2.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	26	-0	3	95	0.09	40%	-0.02	67.8	4.08%	0	1.2	80	0
14	Jun_22_2012	42.94	38.49	40.23	41.68	41.8	42.01	42.5(1.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	34	40	11	102	0.23	40%	0.02	67.8	4.07%	0	1.8	89	0
15	Jun_21_2012	42.93	38.18	39.8	41.1	41.24	41.98	42(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	38	140	17	102	0.25	40%	0.14	63.3	4.07%	0	1.9	88	0

16	Jun_20_2012	42.87	37.87	39.23	40.5	40.61	41.59	42(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	45	180	29	91	0.14	40%	0.16	55.6	4.07%	0	2.2	70	0
17	Jun_19_2012	42.8	37.54	38.67	39.74	39.71	40.51	41.6(3.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	37	140	25	73	0.28	40%	0.14	38	4.07%	0	2.5	73	0
18	Jun_18_2012	42.74	37.28	38.16	39.06	38.94	39.63	40.3(1.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	30	110	19	63	0.17	40%	0.12	21	4.05%	0	2.3	75	0
19	Jun_15_2012	42.69	37.05	37.74	38.56	38.43	38.9	39.6(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	22	80	13	50	0.54	40%	0.12	-7.4	4.06%	0	2.2	64	0
20	Jun_14_2012	42.64	36.93	37.38	38.3	38.15	38.26	39(2.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	21	10	13	44	0.13	40%	0.09	-21.8	4.06%	0	2.1	62	0

21	Jun_13_2012	42.6	36.87	37.23	37.76	37.87	37.96	38.2(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	13	30	6	35	0.12	43%	0.09	-46	4.06%	0	1.4	61	0
22	Jun_12_2012	42.56	36.94	37.08	37.42	37.48	38.04	38.2(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	16	110	10	34	0.11	43%	0.09	-89.3	4.1%	0	1.1	63	0
23	Jun_11_2012	42.52	37.01	36.78	37.1	37.18	37.77	37.8(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	120	19	25	0.13	43%	0.09	-110.4	4.1%	0	0.6	54	0
24	Jun_8_2012	42.48	37.14	36.63	36.78	36.63	36.93	38.3(5.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	13	50	12	17	0.17	44%	0.05	-115.5	4.1%	0	0.8	61	0
25	Jun_7_2012	42.46	37.15	36.43	36.34	36.34	36.59	36.3(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-1	50	-0	-2	0.11	42%		-149	4.06%	0	-0.5	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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