Trading Signals: DVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 28, 2012

Trading Signals: DVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Feb. 19, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Dynavax Technologies Corporation)
DVAX latest price $48.2000 (2.55%) ($47.2000 - $48.9000) on Wed. Mar. 28, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.82% (three month average)
RSI   82
Latest Price   $48.2000(2.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DVAX advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DVAX advances 5.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DVAX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(11%)    EWP(9%)    PEJ(9%)    EWG(8%)    EWI(8%)
Factors Impacting DVAX price   DVAX will decline at least -1.41% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-7%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(-2%)    LQD(-2%)    XLU(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.41% (StdDev 2.82%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $47.06(2.42%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.25(4.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.22(9%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   47.9%
Market Cap   $5.278b

Dynavax Technologies Corp. operates as a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development and commercialization of novel vaccines and immuno-oncology therapeutics. The firm focuses on leveraging the body's innate and adaptive immune responses through toll-like receptor stimulation. It offers products for vaccines, cancer immunotherapy, and immune-mediated diseases. The company was founded by Lawrence M. Lichtenstein, Dennis A. Carson, and Eyal Raz on August 29, 1996 and is headquartered in Berkeley, CA.

July 7, 2020 DVAX is developing a vaccine candidate SCB-2019 with GlaxoSmithKline plc GSK which is in its phase 1 clinical trials. The vaccine is made up of S-Trimer protein that resembles the coronavirus spike protein and hence triggers the immune system to produce antibodies.

$. DVAX price fluctuates within 5.34% (three month std-dev: 2.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 16 Average positive next day return: 1.83%(31%) Average negative next day return: -1.27%(69%) Sample size 16 Average positive next three day return: 1.92%(44%) Average negative next three day return: -4.26%(56%) Sample size 16 Average positive next weekly return: 1.48%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.94%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120428

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_28_2012	36.59	44.22	46.25	47.06	47.01	47.55	48.2(2.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	45	80	20	119	0.32	79%	0.55	69.7	2.82%	0	1.7	82	0
2	Mar_27_2012	36.39	43.9	45.73	46.68	46.61	46.98	47(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	42	50	15	122	0.15	79%	0.55	71.5	2.82%	0	1.4	83	0
3	Mar_26_2012	36.19	43.57	45.38	46.46	46.4	46.46	46.8(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	40	10	11	127	0.12	79%	0.5	69.2	2.82%	0	1.5	73	0
4	Mar_23_2012	36.01	43.26	44.88	46.2	46.13	46.24	46.4(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	10	4	123	0.1	79%	0.56	66.9	2.84%	0	1.5	74	0
5	Mar_22_2012	35.81	42.95	44.47	45.9	46	46.34	46.9(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	47	60	19	129	0.1	79%	0.62	61.8	2.84%	0	1.9	74	0

6	Mar_21_2012	35.59	42.64	43.95	45.3	45.6	46.02	46.3(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	46	80	25	108	0.09	79%	0.62	57.1	2.84%	0	1.9	57	0
7	Mar_20_2012	35.37	42.33	43.36	44.62	44.85	45.65	45.9(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	38	140	23	82	0.12	81%	0.54	52.5	2.86%	0	2.1	62	0
8	Mar_19_2012	35.18	42.08	42.91	44.14	44.19	45.19	45.5(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	49	160	39	80	0.21	81%	0.49	47.5	2.97%	0	2.2	66	0
9	Mar_16_2012	35.01	41.86	42.44	43.36	43.48	44.04	44.9(2.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	37	100	30	57	0.57	81%	0.49	42.5	2.98%	0	2.3	63	0
10	Mar_15_2012	34.84	41.71	42.05	42.82	42.76	43.2	43.9(2.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	22	70	15	41	0.12	81%	0.49	40.2	2.98%	0	2	62	0

11	Mar_14_2012	34.67	41.57	42.01	42.4	42.41	42.91	42.9(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	80	22	47	0.07	81%	0.43	28.6	2.99%	0	1.3	58	0
12	Mar_13_2012	34.52	41.45	41.9	41.9	41.95	42.33	43.5(4.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	23	70	18	39	0.11	81%	0.44	5.6	2.98%	0	2.1	62	0
13	Mar_12_2012	34.37	41.36	41.59	41.5	41.47	41.9	41.6(-1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	70	9	22	0.13	79%	0.44	-10.2	2.94%	0	0.3	52	0
14	Mar_9_2012	34.22	41.31	41.51	41.36	41.3	41.58	42.2(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	16	40	15	17	0.11	81%	0.44	-27.5	2.94%	0	1	53	0
15	Mar_8_2012	34.07	41.27	41.33	41.16	41.06	41.04	41.8(3.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-9	-10	-10	-6	0.07	81%	0.53	-31.9	3.01%	0	0.6	48	0

16	Mar_7_2012	33.89	41.29	41.23	41.58	41.36	41.03	40.4(-2.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-8	-70	-11	3	0.15	75%	0.5	10.9	3.02%	0	-1	48	0
17	Mar_6_2012	33.72	41.4	41.25	41.9	41.91	41.08	41.5(1.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	-140	-7	12	0.16	75%	0.57	60.9	3.08%	0	0.1	55	0
18	Mar_5_2012	33.53	41.45	41.22	41.68	41.92	41.7	40.9(-0.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-11	-20	-15	0	0.1	75%	0.54	88.8	3.08%	0	-0.6	46	0
19	Mar_2_2012	33.35	41.55	41.28	41.64	41.77	42.74	41.2(-6.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	17	170	17	16	0.16	75%	0.54	118.2	3.1%	0	-0.4	54	0
20	Mar_1_2012	33.17	41.54	41.38	41.48	41.3	42.14	43.9(4.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	35	130	38	24	0.39	81%	0.67	142.4	2.98%	0	2.4	58	0

21	Feb_29_2012	32.95	41.19	41.09	40.86	40.75	40.79	42(3.96%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	8	-0	13	-8	0.33	80%	0.64	100.9	2.97%	0	0.6	47	0
22	Feb_28_2012	32.74	40.86	40.94	40.54	40.56	40.46	40.4(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-20	-7	-34	0.09	79%	0.65	66.5	2.94%	0	-0.2	39	0
23	Feb_27_2012	32.53	40.64	41.1	40.72	40.57	40.71	40.7(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-10	10	-3	-31	0.05	79%	0.74	63	2.95%	0	0	40	0
24	Feb_24_2012	32.29	40.42	41.09	40.86	40.7	40.65	40.4(-0.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-14	-20	-5	-39	0.07	79%	0.69	62.5	2.96%	0	-0	37	0
25	Feb_23_2012	32.07	40.18	41.2	41.24	40.98	40.43	40.8(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15	-110	-10	-29	0.06	79%		59.4	2.98%	0	0.2	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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