Trading Signals: DVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Oct. 18, 2010

Trading Signals: DVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Feb. 19, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Dynavax Technologies Corporation)
DVAX latest price $19.6000 (0%) ($19.3000 - $19.9000) on Mon. Oct. 18, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.95% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $19.6000(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DVAX advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DVAX advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DVAX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(16%)    EWG(13%)    PEJ(13%)    EEM(12%)    EWI(12%)
Factors Impacting DVAX price   DVAX will decline at least -1.475% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-10%)    SHY(-4%)    TIP(-3%)    LQD(-2%)    GLD(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.475% (StdDev 2.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $19.28(1.66%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.99(3.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.52(5.83%)
To recent high   -13.7%
To recent low   22.5%
Market Cap   $2.146b

Dynavax Technologies Corp. operates as a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development and commercialization of novel vaccines and immuno-oncology therapeutics. The firm focuses on leveraging the body's innate and adaptive immune responses through toll-like receptor stimulation. It offers products for vaccines, cancer immunotherapy, and immune-mediated diseases. The company was founded by Lawrence M. Lichtenstein, Dennis A. Carson, and Eyal Raz on August 29, 1996 and is headquartered in Berkeley, CA.

July 7, 2020 DVAX is developing a vaccine candidate SCB-2019 with GlaxoSmithKline plc GSK which is in its phase 1 clinical trials. The vaccine is made up of S-Trimer protein that resembles the coronavirus spike protein and hence triggers the immune system to produce antibodies.

$. DVAX price fluctuates within 3.78% (three month std-dev: 2.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 1.8%(60%) Average negative next day return: -2.79%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 4.28%(20%) Average negative next three day return: -2.51%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 3.47%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -4%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101118

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_18_2010	18.72	18.52	18.99	19.28	19.37	19.63	19.6(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	21	110	10	55	0.03	43%	0.11	101.9	2.95%	0	1.5	65	NAN
2	Oct_15_2010	18.7	18.39	18.85	19.16	19.19	19.39	19.6(2.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	80	10	54	0.06	43%	0.11	85.7	2.98%	0	1.5	73	NAN
3	Oct_14_2010	18.68	18.23	18.74	19.04	19.05	19.11	19.2(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	20	8	54	0.03	43%	0.16	71.9	2.97%	0	1.1	65	NAN
4	Oct_13_2010	18.65	18.07	18.65	18.9	18.94	19.11	19.1(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	20	8	55	0.04	43%	0.16	62.2	2.97%	0	1.2	68	NAN
5	Oct_12_2010	18.62	17.95	18.58	18.72	18.8	18.99	18.9(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	80	5	54	0.02	43%	0.11	54.7	2.98%	0	1.1	68	NAN

6	Oct_11_2010	18.6	17.84	18.53	18.66	18.66	18.9	19(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	25	90	13	62	0.05	43%	0.11	52.9	2.99%	0	1.3	64	NAN
7	Oct_8_2010	18.58	17.73	18.39	18.48	18.47	18.61	19(2.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	50	6	55	0.06	43%	0.05	49.1	3%	0	1.5	69	NAN
8	Oct_7_2010	18.57	17.62	18.28	18.4	18.41	18.43	18.5(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	10	3	69	0.04	43%	-0.05	47.4	2.98%	0	1.1	73	NAN
9	Oct_6_2010	18.58	17.54	18.19	18.36	18.39	18.33	18.2(-2.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	18	-20	-3	81	0.03	43%	-0.11	46	3%	0	0.8	73	NAN
10	Oct_5_2010	18.6	17.48	18.11	18.42	18.4	18.39	18.6(2.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-10	-0	97	0.06	43%	0	53.4	2.99%	0	1.4	66	NAN

11	Oct_4_2010	18.6	17.38	18.02	18.38	18.44	18.46	18.1(-2.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	33	20	6	112	0.06	43%	-0.05	52.6	3%	0	0.9	65	NAN
12	Oct_1_2010	18.61	17.33	17.92	18.28	18.3	18.42	18.6(1.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	50	7	109	0.02	43%	-0.11	47.5	3%	0	1.7	63	NAN
13	Sep_30_2010	18.63	17.25	17.69	18.14	18.13	18.43	18.3(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	110	12	97	0.03	43%	0	47.2	3%	0	1.6	62	NAN
14	Sep_29_2010	18.63	17.19	17.47	17.98	17.98	18.18	18.5(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	33	80	17	81	0.04	40%	0	43.2	3.01%	0	2.1	64	NAN
15	Sep_28_2010	18.63	17.07	17.28	17.76	17.73	17.83	18.4(4.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	21	30	7	61	0.06	40%	0.05	28.5	3.08%	0	2.3	64	NAN

16	Sep_27_2010	18.62	16.99	17.08	17.62	17.65	17.78	17.6(-1.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	17	60	6	50	0.01	36%	0.05	14.9	3.04%	0	1.2	59	NAN
17	Sep_24_2010	18.61	16.98	17.02	17.5	17.74	17.64	17.9(2.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	24	0	17	46	0.02	45%	0.05	-1.7	3.12%	0	1.9	59	NAN
18	Sep_23_2010	18.6	16.94	16.91	17.16	17.43	17.53	17.5(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	11	90	9	18	0.03	45%	0	-32.7	3.19%	0	1.3	52	NAN
19	Sep_22_2010	18.6	16.92	16.84	16.86	17.11	17.84	17.4(-1.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	12	340	16	-0	0.02	45%	0	-71.3	3.22%	0	1.1	51	NAN
20	Sep_21_2010	18.6	16.91	16.78	16.72	16.8	17.33	17.7(4.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	21	240	27	2	0.06	45%	0.05	-96	3.21%	0	1.9	67	NAN

21	Sep_20_2010	18.59	16.92	16.68	16.72	16.44	16.38	17(4.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-6	-30	1	-26	0.04	42%	0.11	-97.5	3.17%	0	0.2	50	NAN
22	Sep_17_2010	18.57	16.99	16.67	16.48	16.48	16.28	16.2(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-18	-80	-11	-37	0.04	38%	0	-69.7	3.11%	0	-1.3	37	NAN
23	Sep_16_2010	18.57	17.08	16.77	16.62	16.68	16.51	16(-4.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-16	-60	-11	-29	0.02	38%	0	-63.9	3.11%	0	-1.8	39	NAN
24	Sep_15_2010	18.57	17.23	16.9	16.8	16.82	16.69	16.7(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	-50	-5	-15	0.01	40%	0.11	-48.9	3.07%	0	-0.8	45	NAN
25	Sep_14_2010	18.55	17.32	16.86	16.84	16.89	16.85	16.5(-2.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-9	-10	-4	-23	0.03	40%		-55.3	3.12%	0	-1.1	42	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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