Trading Signals: DVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 12, 2010

Trading Signals: DVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Feb. 19, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Dynavax Technologies Corporation)
DVAX latest price $18.8000 (3.87%) ($17.5000 - $18.8000) on Wed. May. 12, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.8% (three month average)
RSI   84
Latest Price   $18.8000(3.87%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DVAX advances 2.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DVAX advances 9.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DVAX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(17%)    EWG(14%)    PEJ(14%)    EEM(13%)    EWI(13%)
Factors Impacting DVAX price   DVAX will decline at least -1.9% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-11%)    SHY(-4%)    TIP(-3%)    LQD(-2%)    GLD(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.9% (StdDev 3.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $17.7(6.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $17.15(9.62%)
20 Day Moving Average   $15.96(17.79%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   48%
Market Cap   $2.059b

Dynavax Technologies Corp. operates as a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development and commercialization of novel vaccines and immuno-oncology therapeutics. The firm focuses on leveraging the body's innate and adaptive immune responses through toll-like receptor stimulation. It offers products for vaccines, cancer immunotherapy, and immune-mediated diseases. The company was founded by Lawrence M. Lichtenstein, Dennis A. Carson, and Eyal Raz on August 29, 1996 and is headquartered in Berkeley, CA.

July 7, 2020 DVAX is developing a vaccine candidate SCB-2019 with GlaxoSmithKline plc GSK which is in its phase 1 clinical trials. The vaccine is made up of S-Trimer protein that resembles the coronavirus spike protein and hence triggers the immune system to produce antibodies.

$. DVAX price fluctuates within 9.02% (three month std-dev: 3.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 16 Average positive next day return: 4.23%(44%) Average negative next day return: -2.61%(56%) Sample size 16 Average positive next three day return: 5.29%(69%) Average negative next three day return: -6.08%(31%) Sample size 16 Average positive next weekly return: 6%(63%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.35%(38%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100612

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_12_2010	14.95	15.96	17.15	17.7	17.46	18.06	18.8(3.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	56	200	22	159	0.09	59%	0.27	70.2	3.8%	0	2	84	0
2	May_11_2010	14.91	15.73	16.83	17.32	17.19	17.44	18.1(4.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	51	80	15	157	0.07	57%	0.27	73	3.77%	0	1.8	82	0
3	May_10_2010	14.87	15.54	16.54	17.16	16.91	16.85	17.4(2.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	41	-70	2	156	0.05	55%	0.2	78.3	3.76%	0	1.5	74	0
4	May_7_2010	14.84	15.36	16.25	17.08	16.84	16.94	16.9(-2.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	46	-0	9	158	0.07	55%	0.2	82.8	3.75%	0	1.3	71	0
5	May_6_2010	14.81	15.21	15.98	16.8	16.81	16.98	17.3(2.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	48	70	16	144	0.2	55%	0.14	79.3	3.77%	0	1.8	76	0

6	May_5_2010	14.79	15.01	15.66	16.5	16.39	16.75	16.9(-2.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	37	130	11	113	0.06	55%	0.14	78.6	3.79%	0	1.7	59	0
7	May_4_2010	14.77	14.84	15.38	16.26	16.17	16.65	17.3(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	45	190	25	103	0.07	55%	0.14	80.4	3.77%	0	2.3	69	0
8	May_3_2010	14.75	14.64	15.08	15.84	15.83	16.03	17(9.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	39	90	25	81	0.13	55%	0.07	78.4	3.79%	0	2.5	68	0
9	Apr_30_2010	14.74	14.44	14.82	15.32	15.53	15.69	15.5(-1.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	110	15	56	0.05	50%	-0.14	74.9	3.57%	0	1.4	65	0
10	Apr_29_2010	14.76	14.32	14.71	15.02	15.17	15.64	15.8(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	27	250	20	46	0.06	50%	-0.14	60	3.58%	0	1.9	69	0

11	Apr_28_2010	14.78	14.18	14.66	14.68	14.79	15.38	15.7(3.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	31	300	25	48	0.21	50%	0.27	45.8	3.61%	0	2.1	71	0
12	Apr_27_2010	14.74	14.04	14.52	14.36	14.42	14.7	15.2(5.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	19	150	14	33	0.13	50%	0.14	24.8	3.62%	0	1.7	66	0
13	Apr_26_2010	14.72	13.95	14.44	14.22	14.17	14.2	14.4(2.86%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	7	0	-1	29	0.07	52%	0.07	25.7	3.57%	0	0.7	62	0
14	Apr_23_2010	14.71	13.9	14.39	14.26	14.24	14.2	14(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	6	-50	-4	37	0.02	52%	0.07	29.3	3.7%	0	0.2	62	0
15	Apr_22_2010	14.7	13.88	14.38	14.34	14.33	14.14	14.1(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-90	-14	47	0.03	52%	0.14	25	3.72%	0	0.3	64	0

16	Apr_21_2010	14.68	13.86	14.33	14.62	14.48	14.35	14.1(-2.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	11	-90	-10	74	0.04	52%	0.07	29.4	3.72%	0	0.4	66	0
17	Apr_20_2010	14.67	13.87	14.29	14.7	15.03	14.53	14.5(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	23	-170	-0	93	0.03	52%	0.07	28.8	3.71%	0	1	72	0
18	Apr_19_2010	14.66	13.78	14.19	14.68	15.04	14.61	14.6(1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	18	-130	-7	93	0.04	52%	0.14	6.1	3.71%	0	1.2	63	0
19	Apr_16_2010	14.64	13.71	14.06	14.54	15	15.53	14.4(-7.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	28	340	7	90	0.1	52%	0	-16.4	3.71%	0	1	62	0
20	Apr_15_2010	14.64	13.72	13.93	14.42	14.79	15.46	15.5(6.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	49	390	35	91	0.49	57%	0.14	-32.1	3.63%	0	2.6	72	0

21	Apr_14_2010	14.62	13.67	13.67	14	14.13	14.48	14.5(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	23	200	14	48	0.15	52%	0.07	-58.3	3.55%	0	1.4	61	0
22	Apr_13_2010	14.61	13.68	13.51	13.82	13.87	14.13	14.4(3.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	15	140	14	18	0.1	52%	0.14	-61	3.55%	0	1.1	45	0
23	Apr_12_2010	14.59	13.74	13.4	13.64	13.64	13.78	13.9(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	70	9	11	0.02	50%	0.07	-50.5	3.53%	0	0.2	64	0
24	Apr_9_2010	14.58	13.82	13.34	13.5	13.5	13.61	13.8(2.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	60	9	3	0.02	50%	0.07	-44.8	3.55%	0	-0	57	0
25	Apr_8_2010	14.57	13.94	13.31	13.36	13.36	13.5	13.4(-1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-1	70	6	-20	0.02	50%		-36.1	3.56%	0	-0.5	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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