Trading Signals: DVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 25, 2009

Trading Signals: DVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Feb. 19, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Dynavax Technologies Corporation)
DVAX latest price $15.8000 (-3.07%) ($15.7000 - $16.5000) on Tue. Aug. 25, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.66% (three month average)
RSI   25
Latest Price   $15.8000(-3.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DVAX advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DVAX declines -3.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DVAX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(18%)    EWG(14%)    PEJ(14%)    QQQ(14%)    SPY(14%)
Factors Impacting DVAX price   DVAX will decline at least -3.83% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-10%)    SHY(-4%)    TIP(-3%)    LQD(-2%)    GLD(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.83% (StdDev 7.66%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.2%

Resistance Level   $17.03
5 Day Moving Average   $16.28(-2.95%)
10 Day Moving Average   $16.18(-2.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $17.03(-7.22%)
To recent high   -19%
To recent low   36.2%
Market Cap   $1.73b

Dynavax Technologies Corp. operates as a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development and commercialization of novel vaccines and immuno-oncology therapeutics. The firm focuses on leveraging the body's innate and adaptive immune responses through toll-like receptor stimulation. It offers products for vaccines, cancer immunotherapy, and immune-mediated diseases. The company was founded by Lawrence M. Lichtenstein, Dennis A. Carson, and Eyal Raz on August 29, 1996 and is headquartered in Berkeley, CA.

July 7, 2020 DVAX is developing a vaccine candidate SCB-2019 with GlaxoSmithKline plc GSK which is in its phase 1 clinical trials. The vaccine is made up of S-Trimer protein that resembles the coronavirus spike protein and hence triggers the immune system to produce antibodies.

$. DVAX price fluctuates within 6.64% (three month std-dev: 7.66%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 9.38%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.79%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 10.64%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -6.07%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 8.26%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_25_2009	13.56	17.03	16.18	16.28	16.41	16.34	15.8(-3.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-8	-10	-0	-30	0.04	75%	0.67	-42.6	7.66%	0	-1.1	25	0
2	Aug_24_2009	13.47	17.15	16.24	16.26	16.38	16.46	16.3(-1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-6	60	4	-37	0.06	75%	0.75	-28.1	7.7%	0	-0.7	38	0
3	Aug_21_2009	13.37	17.28	16.26	16.06	16.14	16.48	16.5(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-11	160	3	-51	0.02	75%	0.75	-17.6	7.7%	0	-0.7	38	0
4	Aug_20_2009	13.27	17.37	16.39	16.02	15.95	16.3	16.3(-1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-11	140	3	-54	0.04	75%	0.68	-0.9	7.7%	0	-0.9	39	0
5	Aug_19_2009	13.18	17.45	16.56	16.06	15.91	15.8	16.5(5.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-14	-80	-0	-54	0.03	75%	0.84	16	7.7%	0	-0.9	43	0

6	Aug_18_2009	13.07	17.52	16.83	16.1	16.08	15.6	15.7(2.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-17	-210	-6	-51	0.03	75%	0.69	32	7.68%	0	-1.4	36	0
7	Aug_17_2009	12.98	17.48	17.09	16.22	16.45	16.03	15.3(-6.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-18	-140	-8	-49	0.03	75%	0.7	37.6	7.7%	0	-1.6	32	0
8	Aug_14_2009	12.89	17.49	17.43	16.48	16.69	16.56	16.3(-1.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-17	-20	-8	-45	0.04	75%	0.78	46.6	7.65%	0	-0.8	32	0
9	Aug_13_2009	12.79	17.38	17.64	16.8	16.86	16.88	16.5(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-14	20	-6	-37	0.02	75%	0.79	53	7.68%	0	-0.5	41	0
10	Aug_12_2009	12.69	17.27	17.79	17.14	17.21	16.81	16.7(2.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15	-150	-10	-31	0.07	75%	0.71	57.3	7.68%	0	-0.3	46	0

11	Aug_11_2009	12.6	17.12	17.95	17.7	17.61	16.84	16.3(-1.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-16	-320	-15	-19	0.04	75%	0.72	64.8	7.7%	0	-0.4	42	0
12	Aug_10_2009	12.51	16.99	18.17	18.1	18.63	17.6	16.6(-7.26%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-7	-300	-12	7	0.06	75%	0.81	67.6	7.74%	0	-0.2	67	0
13	Aug_7_2009	12.41	16.81	18.42	18.5	18.93	18.39	17.9(-1.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-130	-10	34	0.05	78%	0.98	69	7.83%	0	0.4	70	0
14	Aug_6_2009	12.29	16.54	18.46	18.58	19.05	19.65	18.2(-6.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	300	3	62	0.1	78%	0.99	65.8	7.83%	0	0.6	76	0
15	Aug_5_2009	12.17	16.26	18.43	18.52	18.92	19.46	19.5(6.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	31	260	13	84	0.29	78%	1.08	61.8	7.77%	0	1.2	80	0

16	Aug_4_2009	12.04	15.89	18.26	18.52	18.31	18.45	18.3(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	24	60	0	96	0.06	78%	1.01	58.4	7.78%	0	0.9	80	0
17	Aug_3_2009	11.92	15.6	17.9	18.26	18.31	18.38	18.6(1.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	27	30	0	106	0.08	78%	1.02	57.2	7.82%	0	1.1	82	0
18	Jul_31_2009	11.8	15.29	17.55	18.34	18.33	18.16	18.3(2.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	30	-70	-2	124	0.05	78%	0.94	56.8	7.88%	0	1.2	83	0
19	Jul_30_2009	11.69	15.01	17.11	18.32	18.62	18.29	17.9(-1.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	34	-70	-1	139	0.07	78%	0.95	58.9	7.88%	0	1.1	83	0
20	Jul_29_2009	11.58	14.77	16.73	18.3	18.58	18.5	18.2(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	37	20	-2	154	0.05	78%	1.14	63.5	7.89%	0	1.4	83	0

21	Jul_28_2009	11.45	14.49	16.24	18.24	18.5	18.95	18.3(-3.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	56	210	16	176	0.06	78%	1.24	66.7	7.89%	0	1.6	84	0
22	Jul_27_2009	11.31	14.22	15.73	17.46	17.89	18.65	19(4.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	57	370	21	163	0.21	81%	1.25	59.3	7.87%	0	2.2	84	0
23	Jul_24_2009	11.17	13.93	15.07	16.62	16.7	18.05	18.2(2.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	51	580	23	134	0.06	81%	1.09	52.1	8.47%	0	2.3	84	0
24	Jul_23_2009	11.05	13.65	14.46	15.7	15.75	17.14	17.8(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	47	630	27	106	0.1	81%	1.1	38.2	8.5%	0	2.6	75	0
25	Jul_22_2009	10.93	13.35	13.9	14.92	14.63	15.35	17.9(24.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	38	290	24	79	0.15	81%		18.9	8.5%	0	3.5	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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