Trading Signals: DVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Apr. 30, 2008

Trading Signals: DVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Feb. 19, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Dynavax Technologies Corporation)
DVAX latest price $19.5000 (6.56%) ($18.3000 - $20.4000) on Wed. Apr. 30, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.55% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $19.5000(6.56%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DVAX advances 4.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DVAX declines -4.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DVAX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(3%)    TLT(3%)    SHY(2%)    XLP(-1%)    QQQ(-2%)
Factors Impacting DVAX price   DVAX will decline at least -4.275% in a week (0% probabilities).
PCY(-8%)    GLD(-8%)    OIH(-7%)    EWP(-7%)    EEM(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.275% (StdDev 8.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $-0.69(-103.54%)
5 Day Moving Average   $16.88(15.52%)
10 Day Moving Average   $16.99(14.77%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.08(7.85%)
To recent high   -70.2%
To recent low   28.3%
Market Cap   $2.135b

Dynavax Technologies Corp. operates as a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development and commercialization of novel vaccines and immuno-oncology therapeutics. The firm focuses on leveraging the body's innate and adaptive immune responses through toll-like receptor stimulation. It offers products for vaccines, cancer immunotherapy, and immune-mediated diseases. The company was founded by Lawrence M. Lichtenstein, Dennis A. Carson, and Eyal Raz on August 29, 1996 and is headquartered in Berkeley, CA.

July 7, 2020 DVAX is developing a vaccine candidate SCB-2019 with GlaxoSmithKline plc GSK which is in its phase 1 clinical trials. The vaccine is made up of S-Trimer protein that resembles the coronavirus spike protein and hence triggers the immune system to produce antibodies.

$. DVAX price fluctuates within 9.4% (three month std-dev: 8.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_30_2008	42.8	18.08	16.99	16.88	16.95	18.26	19.5(6.56%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.5	13	550	25	-22	0.08	38%	-0.6	-46.5	8.55%	0	0.8	47	0
2	Apr_29_2008	43.06	18.11	16.74	16.14	15.98	16.41	18.3(15.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-4	160	12	-52	0.05	38%	-0.58	-57	8.5%	0	0.1	42	0
3	Apr_28_2008	43.31	18.21	16.65	15.72	15.67	15.64	15.8(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-23	-20	-5	-78	0.02	35%	-0.69	-63.1	8.22%	0	-1.4	20	0
4	Apr_25_2008	43.61	18.4	16.96	16.04	15.94	15.55	15.6(2.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-190	-10	-76	0.11	35%	-0.71	-63.6	8.31%	0	-1.6	18	0
5	Apr_24_2008	43.92	18.64	17.35	16.54	16.49	15.7	15.2(-3.8%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-28	-340	-14	-70	0.03	35%	-0.68	-63.1	8.3%	0	-2.1	13	0

6	Apr_23_2008	44.22	18.9	17.8	17.1	17.2	16.33	15.8(-2.47%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-23	-340	-11	-59	0.05	35%	-0.65	-66.5	8.29%	0	-2.2	14	0
7	Apr_22_2008	44.51	19.16	18.2	17.4	17.63	17.29	16.2(-6.9%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-22	-100	-10	-56	0.05	35%	-0.65	-72.3	8.3%	0	-2.3	14	0
8	Apr_21_2008	44.8	19.39	18.58	17.7	17.84	18.08	17.4(-3.87%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-15	120	-4	-49	0.03	35%	-0.67	-188	8.27%	0	-1.8	17	0
9	Apr_18_2008	45.1	19.56	18.85	18.02	17.94	17.98	18.1(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-12	0	-2	-41	0.03	35%	-0.64	-325.3	8.33%	0	-1.4	37	0
10	Apr_17_2008	45.39	19.72	19.05	18.3	18.18	17.6	18(4.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-16	-240	-8	-39	0.04	35%	-0.63	-430.1	8.32%	0	-1.7	31	0

11	Apr_16_2008	45.68	19.91	19.27	18.64	18.64	17.91	17.3(-2.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-19	-270	-13	-35	0.03	37%	-0.61	-498.3	8.3%	0	-2.5	22	0
12	Apr_15_2008	45.96	20.14	19.6	19.12	19.22	18.75	17.7(-6.84%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.6	-15	-160	-11	-26	0.01	37%	-0.63	-659.7	8.33%	0	-2.7	20	0
13	Apr_14_2008	46.25	21.71	19.89	19.58	19.61	19.36	19(-2.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	-80	-5	-15	0.01	39%	-0.67	-87.8	8.31%	0	-0.4	31	0
14	Apr_11_2008	46.56	23.55	19.97	19.8	19.77	19.69	19.5(-1.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-6	-30	-3	-13	0.01	38%	-0.62	-58.6	8.35%	0	-0.4	35	0
15	Apr_10_2008	46.85	25.28	20.04	19.92	19.96	19.86	19.7(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-4	-30	-1	-13	0.01	39%	-0.59	-50	8.36%	0	-0.4	30	0

16	Apr_9_2008	47.13	26.91	20.09	20	20.06	19.85	19.7(-1.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-7	-60	-3	-19	0.02	39%	-0.63	-47.2	8.38%	0	-0.5	25	0
17	Apr_8_2008	47.43	28.56	20.2	20.16	20.15	20.06	20(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-7	-30	-3	-18	0.02	39%	-0.67	-46.2	8.38%	0	-0.6	33	0
18	Apr_7_2008	47.75	30.24	20.26	20.26	20.29	20.28	20.1(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0	-24	0	1	-100	0.05	39%	-0.69	-46.3	8.39%	0	-0.6	8	0
19	Apr_4_2008	48.08	32.11	20.31	20.16	20.28	20.24	20.1(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0	-46	0	-0	-182	0.04	39%	-0.64	-45.4	8.39%	0	-0.7	7	0
20	Apr_3_2008	48.39	33.91	20.41	20.18	20.18	20.24	20.1(-1.95%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-60	50	-0	-240	0.01	39%	-0.66	-45.7	8.4%	0	-0.8	11	0

21	Apr_2_2008	48.71	35.86	20.59	20.2	20.19	20.31	20.5(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-70	40	1	-282	0.01	39%	-0.67	-45.5	8.4%	0	-0.9	16	0
22	Apr_1_2008	49.04	37.89	20.69	20.26	20.25	20.05	20.5(4.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-81	-70	-1	-320	0.02	39%	-0.71	-45.4	8.41%	0	-0.9	16	0
23	Mar_31_2008	49.39	40.11	23.56	20.28	20.43	20.08	19.6(-2.97%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-80	-100	-5	-304	0.07	39%	-0.7	-44.4	8.45%	0	-1.1	13	0
24	Mar_28_2008	49.74	42.26	27.25	20.48	20.68	20.45	20.2(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-74	-50	-5	-281	0.02	39%	-0.62	-44	8.45%	0	-1.2	12	0
25	Mar_27_2008	50.05	44.36	30.74	20.68	20.91	20.78	20.2(-2.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-70	-10	-5	-264	0.03	39%		-43.7	8.45%	0	-1.3	16	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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