Trading Signals: DVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 12, 2006

Trading Signals: DVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Feb. 19, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Dynavax Technologies Corporation)
DVAX latest price $46.4000 (-6.07%) ($45.6000 - $49.4000) on Thu. Jan. 12, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.7% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $46.4000(-6.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DVAX advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DVAX advances 7.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DVAX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(3%)    SHY(2%)    TLT(2%)    XLP(-1%)    QQQ(-2%)
Factors Impacting DVAX price   DVAX will decline at least -1.85% in a week (0% probabilities).
EWP(-7%)    XLY(-6%)    VWO(-6%)    OIH(-6%)    GLD(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.85% (StdDev 3.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $47.76(-2.85%)
10 Day Moving Average   $45.3(2.43%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.87(5.77%)
To recent high   -26.8%
To recent low   15.4%
Market Cap   $5.081b

Dynavax Technologies Corp. operates as a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development and commercialization of novel vaccines and immuno-oncology therapeutics. The firm focuses on leveraging the body's innate and adaptive immune responses through toll-like receptor stimulation. It offers products for vaccines, cancer immunotherapy, and immune-mediated diseases. The company was founded by Lawrence M. Lichtenstein, Dennis A. Carson, and Eyal Raz on August 29, 1996 and is headquartered in Berkeley, CA.

July 7, 2020 DVAX is developing a vaccine candidate SCB-2019 with GlaxoSmithKline plc GSK which is in its phase 1 clinical trials. The vaccine is made up of S-Trimer protein that resembles the coronavirus spike protein and hence triggers the immune system to produce antibodies.

$. DVAX price fluctuates within 6.88% (three month std-dev: 3.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.35%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.99%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.77%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 6.73%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.46%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_12_2006	55.57	43.87	45.3	47.76	48.41	48.28	46.4(-6.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	34	20	2	129	0	40%	-0.39	58	3.7%	0	0.8	61	0
2	Jan_11_2006	55.79	43.62	44.74	47.22	47.68	48.99	49.4(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	54	220	33	116	0	41%	-0.34	51.7	3.69%	0	1.9	60	0
3	Jan_10_2006	55.98	43.2	43.8	45.98	46.21	48.54	49.4(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	60	370	56	72	0	44%	-0.3	41.4	3.72%	0	2.3	50	0
4	Jan_9_2006	56.15	42.75	42.99	44.68	44.78	46.38	48.6(8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	58	260	61	49	0.01	44%	-0.32	27.3	3.81%	0	2.5	66	0
5	Jan_6_2006	56.33	42.32	42.23	43.38	43.25	43.88	45(2.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	23	90	27	9	0	38%	-0.34	6	3.72%	0	1.4	60	0

6	Jan_5_2006	56.52	42.19	41.99	42.5	42.44	43.18	43.7(1.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	14	120	21	-6	0	38%	-0.3	-12.1	3.71%	0	0.8	58	0
7	Jan_4_2006	56.69	42.11	42.09	41.86	41.74	42.63	43.2(0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	18	140	26	-5	0.01	36%	-0.25	-27.3	3.72%	0	0.6	56	0
8	Jan_3_2006	56.83	42.1	42.49	41.26	41.01	41.7	42.9(1.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	13	100	17	1	0	35%	-0.33	-41.4	3.75%	0	0.4	56	0
9	Dec_30_2005	57.02	42.12	42.32	41.04	41.01	40.85	42.1(3.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	4	0	8	-7	0.01	35%	-0.23	-52.5	3.75%	0	-0	56	0
10	Dec_29_2005	57.15	42.21	42.26	40.92	40.68	40.33	40.6(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-13	-80	-12	-14	0.01	35%	-0.3	-57.6	3.71%	0	-0.9	54	0

11	Dec_28_2005	57.32	42.41	42.35	41.42	41.06	40.51	40.5(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-24	-120	-27	-15	0	35%	-0.35	-54	3.71%	0	-1	47	0
12	Dec_27_2005	57.52	42.61	42.49	42.36	42	41.03	40.2(-3.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-29	-190	-38	-2	0.01	35%	-0.35	-45.3	3.71%	0	-1.3	47	0
13	Dec_23_2005	57.72	42.87	42.65	43.9	43.39	41.61	41.8(0.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-12	-320	-26	31	0	37%	-0.31	-29.6	3.66%	0	-0.5	48	0
14	Dec_22_2005	57.9	43.08	42.58	43.76	44.53	42.98	41.5(-3.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-17	-190	-28	18	0.01	37%	-0.22	-37.9	3.66%	0	-0.8	46	0
15	Dec_21_2005	58.03	43.29	42.51	43.74	44.37	45.18	43.1(-4.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	170	-2	16	0.02	38%	-0.17	-46.7	3.64%	0	-0.1	48	0

16	Dec_20_2005	58.13	43.45	42.46	43.36	43.66	46.09	45.2(-5.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	48	410	56	24	0.01	40%	-0.09	-55.9	3.6%	0	0.8	51	0
17	Dec_19_2005	58.18	43.48	42.15	42.62	42.34	43.56	47.9(16.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	46	180	60	2	0.04	42%	-0.1	-71.7	3.55%	0	2	59	0
18	Dec_16_2005	58.24	43.46	41.61	41.34	42.34	41.23	41.1(-0.72%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-16	-10	3	-71	0.01	30%	-0.22	-87.4	2.85%	0	-1	23	0
19	Dec_15_2005	58.37	43.85	41.83	41.28	41.22	41.11	41.4(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-18	-20	4	-85	0.01	30%	-0.21	-84.4	2.86%	0	-1	20	0
20	Dec_14_2005	58.49	44.27	42.08	41.1	40.99	41.21	41.2(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-31	30	-7	-103	0	30%	-0.22	-85.8	2.85%	0	-1.1	25	0

21	Dec_13_2005	58.62	44.7	42.42	41.4	41.02	41.33	41.5(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-22	30	4	-100	0	30%	-0.2	-95.7	2.85%	0	-1.1	23	0
22	Dec_12_2005	58.74	45.12	42.72	41.58	41.28	40.78	41.5(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-33	-110	-8	-107	0.01	30%	-0.22	-105.5	2.88%	0	-1.2	27	0
23	Dec_9_2005	58.87	45.54	43.08	41.94	41.63	40.71	40.8(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-58	-180	-36	-124	0.01	30%	-0.24	-119.4	2.87%	0	-1.6	17	0
24	Dec_8_2005	59.01	46.08	43.64	42.48	42.41	41.79	40.5(-5.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-53	-110	-30	-121	0.01	30%	-0.24	-125.2	2.87%	0	-1.8	14	0
25	Dec_7_2005	59.15	46.76	44.18	43.18	42.99	42.54	42.7(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-45	-90	-20	-118	0.01	32%		-121.6	2.84%	0	-1.3	15	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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