Trading Signals: DVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 15, 2005

Trading Signals: DVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Feb. 19, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Dynavax Technologies Corporation)
DVAX latest price $41.4000 (0.49%) ($40.8000 - $41.5000) on Thu. Dec. 15, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.86% (three month average)
RSI   20
Latest Price   $41.4000(0.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DVAX advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DVAX declines -4.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DVAX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(3%)    SHY(2%)    TLT(2%)    XLP(-1%)    QQQ(-2%)
Factors Impacting DVAX price   DVAX will decline at least -1.43% in a week (0% probabilities).
EWP(-7%)    XLY(-6%)    VWO(-6%)    OIH(-6%)    GLD(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.43% (StdDev 2.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $31.24(-24.54%)
Resistance Level   $43.85
5 Day Moving Average   $41.28(0.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.83(-1.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.85(-5.59%)
To recent high   -40.3%
To recent low   2.2%
Market Cap   $4.533b

Dynavax Technologies Corp. operates as a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development and commercialization of novel vaccines and immuno-oncology therapeutics. The firm focuses on leveraging the body's innate and adaptive immune responses through toll-like receptor stimulation. It offers products for vaccines, cancer immunotherapy, and immune-mediated diseases. The company was founded by Lawrence M. Lichtenstein, Dennis A. Carson, and Eyal Raz on August 29, 1996 and is headquartered in Berkeley, CA.

July 7, 2020 DVAX is developing a vaccine candidate SCB-2019 with GlaxoSmithKline plc GSK which is in its phase 1 clinical trials. The vaccine is made up of S-Trimer protein that resembles the coronavirus spike protein and hence triggers the immune system to produce antibodies.

$. DVAX price fluctuates within 5.72% (three month std-dev: 2.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 2.44%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 2.44%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.8%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060115

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_15_2005	58.37	43.85	41.83	41.28	41.22	41.11	41.4(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-18	-20	4	-85	0.01	30%	-0.21	-84.4	2.86%	0	-1	20	NAN
2	Dec_14_2005	58.49	44.27	42.08	41.1	40.99	41.21	41.2(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-31	30	-7	-103	0	30%	-0.22	-85.8	2.85%	0	-1.1	25	NAN
3	Dec_13_2005	58.62	44.7	42.42	41.4	41.02	41.33	41.5(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-22	30	4	-100	0	30%	-0.2	-95.7	2.85%	0	-1.1	23	NAN
4	Dec_12_2005	58.74	45.12	42.72	41.58	41.28	40.78	41.5(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-33	-110	-8	-107	0.01	30%	-0.22	-105.5	2.88%	0	-1.2	27	NAN
5	Dec_9_2005	58.87	45.54	43.08	41.94	41.63	40.71	40.8(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-58	-180	-36	-124	0.01	30%	-0.24	-119.4	2.87%	0	-1.6	17	NAN

6	Dec_8_2005	59.01	46.08	43.64	42.48	42.41	41.79	40.5(-5.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-53	-110	-30	-121	0.01	30%	-0.24	-125.2	2.87%	0	-1.8	14	NAN
7	Dec_7_2005	59.15	46.76	44.18	43.18	42.99	42.54	42.7(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-45	-90	-20	-118	0.01	32%	-0.2	-121.6	2.84%	0	-1.3	15	NAN
8	Dec_6_2005	59.27	47.66	44.57	43.6	43.39	43.04	42.4(-2.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-46	-70	-20	-123	0.01	32%	-0.19	-86.6	2.84%	0	-1.2	13	NAN
9	Dec_5_2005	59.38	48.54	44.96	44.02	43.95	43.45	43.3(-0.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-43	-80	-15	-128	0.01	32%	-0.17	-73.6	2.83%	0	-1	14	NAN
10	Dec_2_2005	59.48	49.46	45.47	44.4	44.28	43.74	43.5(-1.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-53	-90	-27	-129	0.01	32%	-0.17	-63.9	2.85%	0	-1	18	NAN

11	Dec_1_2005	59.58	50.27	46.04	44.98	44.81	44.45	44(-1.79%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-42	-70	-16	-120	0.01	32%	-0.15	-61.8	2.88%	0	-1.1	15	NAN
12	Nov_30_2005	59.67	51.06	46.62	45.34	45.25	44.81	44.8(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-43	-70	-14	-129	0.01	32%	-0.07	-61.8	2.86%	0	-1	13	NAN
13	Nov_29_2005	59.71	51.82	47.13	45.7	45.5	45.16	44.5(-1.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-56	-70	-19	-165	0.01	32%	-0.08	-61.1	2.86%	0	-1.2	7	NAN
14	Nov_28_2005	59.76	52.56	47.71	46.04	45.93	45.69	45.2(-2.59%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-60	-40	-15	-193	0.01	32%	-0.05	-60.6	2.86%	0	-1.2	12	NAN
15	Nov_25_2005	59.79	53.39	48.18	46.7	46.16	45.84	46.4(1.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-71	-80	-20	-225	0.01	32%	0.17	-56.3	2.86%	0	-1.2	11	NAN

16	Nov_23_2005	59.69	54.21	48.7	47.28	46.66	46.18	45.8(-1.72%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-82	-110	-27	-245	0.01	32%	-0.03	-50.2	2.86%	0	-1.3	19	NAN
17	Nov_22_2005	59.71	55.1	49.53	48.12	47.59	46.48	46.6(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-84	-200	-29	-247	0.01	32%	-0.22	-46.5	2.88%	0	-1.4	20	NAN
18	Nov_21_2005	59.84	55.86	50.96	48.8	48.31	47.14	46.2(-4.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-93	-200	-46	-235	0	32%	-0.03	-45.8	2.87%	0	-1.7	19	NAN
19	Nov_18_2005	59.86	56.5	52.38	49.6	48.99	48.71	48.5(-1.62%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-67	-80	-21	-205	0.03	41%	0.02	-48.7	2.87%	0	-1.5	24	NAN
20	Nov_17_2005	59.85	57.03	53.74	49.86	49.37	49.49	49.3(-1.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-51	-10	-5	-187	0.01	46%	0.02	-51.3	2.94%	0	-1.6	22	NAN

21	Nov_16_2005	59.84	57.56	54.81	50.34	49.57	49.28	50(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-61	-90	-19	-187	0.02	46%	0.07	-52.2	3.04%	0	-1.6	21	NAN
22	Nov_15_2005	59.8	58.07	55.83	51.2	50.38	49.26	50(-0.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-93	-200	-58	-196	0.01	46%	0.13	-51	3.06%	0	-1.9	21	NAN
23	Nov_14_2005	59.72	58.61	56.86	53.54	52.4	49.86	50.2(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-104	-400	-82	-171	0.02	46%	0.17	-43.8	3.07%	0	-2.2	29	NAN
24	Nov_11_2005	59.62	59.19	57.84	55.66	55.47	51.5	49.8(-3.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-113	-510	-105	-136	0.01	48%	0.18	-39.4	3.27%	0	-2.8	38	NAN
25	Nov_10_2005	59.51	59.68	59.09	58.2	58.26	54.94	51.7(-4.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-99	-400	-104	-85	0.01	48%		-28.9	3.33%	0	-3	41	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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