Trading Signals: DVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 15, 2005

Trading Signals: DVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Feb. 19, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Dynavax Technologies Corporation)
DVAX latest price $69.4000 (-0.6%) ($54.2000 - $69.4000) on Thu. Sep. 15, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.3% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $69.4000(-0.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DVAX advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DVAX advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DVAX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(3%)    SHY(2%)    TLT(2%)    XLP(-1%)    QQQ(-2%)
Factors Impacting DVAX price   DVAX will decline at least -1.65% in a week (0% probabilities).
EWP(-7%)    XLY(-6%)    VWO(-6%)    OIH(-6%)    GLD(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.65% (StdDev 3.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 23.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $69.32(0.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $68.45(1.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $67.73(2.47%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   80.3%
Market Cap   $7.6b

Dynavax Technologies Corp. operates as a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development and commercialization of novel vaccines and immuno-oncology therapeutics. The firm focuses on leveraging the body's innate and adaptive immune responses through toll-like receptor stimulation. It offers products for vaccines, cancer immunotherapy, and immune-mediated diseases. The company was founded by Lawrence M. Lichtenstein, Dennis A. Carson, and Eyal Raz on August 29, 1996 and is headquartered in Berkeley, CA.

July 7, 2020 DVAX is developing a vaccine candidate SCB-2019 with GlaxoSmithKline plc GSK which is in its phase 1 clinical trials. The vaccine is made up of S-Trimer protein that resembles the coronavirus spike protein and hence triggers the immune system to produce antibodies.

$. DVAX price fluctuates within 2.21% (three month std-dev: 3.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_15_2005	50.25	67.73	68.45	69.32	67.6	66.05	69.4(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-52	-230	-68	-2	0.01	74%	0.64	187.3	3.3%	0	1.1	63	NAN
2	Sep_14_2005	49.93	67.31	68.25	69.16	69.08	69.72	69.82(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	60	18	27	0	75%	0.67	136.7	3.44%	0	1.2	54	NAN
3	Sep_13_2005	49.6	66.7	68.04	68.6	68.51	69.14	70(2.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	60	19	20	0	75%	0.63	87.1	3.45%	0	1.1	58	NAN
4	Sep_12_2005	49.29	66.15	67.84	68.06	68.04	68.44	68.2(-1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	14	40	13	16	0	75%	0.61	72.8	3.48%	0	0.6	59	NAN
5	Sep_9_2005	48.99	65.73	67.8	68.02	67.53	67.88	69.2(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	10	12	19	0	76%	0.62	70.4	3.49%	0	1	63	NAN

6	Sep_8_2005	48.69	65.03	67.53	67.44	67.14	67.65	68.6(2.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	40	13	19	0	76%	0.62	51.1	3.49%	0	0.8	69	NAN
7	Sep_7_2005	48.39	64.52	67.5	67.22	66.66	67.19	67(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	30	7	32	0.01	76%	0.64	52.1	3.52%	0	0.6	74	NAN
8	Sep_6_2005	48.08	64.17	67.54	67.4	66.56	66.64	67.3(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	16	-30	2	59	0.01	76%	0.9	60.7	3.52%	0	0.7	80	NAN
9	Sep_2_2005	47.65	63.77	67.43	67.58	66.94	66.13	68(2.56%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	14	-110	-7	77	0	73%	0.61	71	3.56%	0	0.9	75	NAN
10	Sep_1_2005	47.36	63.28	67.23	67.56	67.23	66.49	66.3(-1.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	-90	-23	89	0	73%	0.59	78.2	3.55%	0	0.7	69	NAN

11	Aug_31_2005	47.08	62.94	66.99	67.6	67.74	67.76	67.5(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	29	10	-3	124	0	73%	0.58	80.8	3.54%	0	1	79	NAN
12	Aug_30_2005	46.81	62.31	66.34	67.8	67.49	67.98	67.9(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	39	40	5	141	0	73%	0.6	80.6	3.56%	0	1.1	68	NAN
13	Aug_29_2005	46.53	61.59	65.31	67.7	67.48	67.71	68.2(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	46	10	15	140	0	73%	0.61	75	3.58%	0	1.3	63	NAN
14	Aug_26_2005	46.25	60.72	64.37	67.26	67.29	67	67.9(2.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	-30	2	130	0	73%	0.54	71	3.58%	0	1.4	64	NAN
15	Aug_25_2005	46	59.97	63.53	66.86	67.1	67.24	66.5(-2.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	38	30	6	134	0.02	73%	0.55	70.2	3.58%	0	1.3	65	NAN

16	Aug_24_2005	45.75	59.34	62.38	66.25	66.48	67.58	68.5(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	59	130	36	128	0.01	73%	0.62	68.6	3.55%	0	1.8	64	NAN
17	Aug_23_2005	45.47	58.57	61.29	64.63	64.97	66.96	67.4(2.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	74	230	58	122	0	73%	0.55	63.2	3.56%	0	1.9	70	NAN
18	Aug_22_2005	45.22	57.87	60.49	62.53	63	65.38	66(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	78	290	67	112	0	73%	0.53	54	3.56%	0	1.9	71	NAN
19	Aug_19_2005	44.98	57.2	59.75	61.03	60.69	62.97	65.9(3.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	69	250	55	109	0	73%	0.42	48.4	3.56%	0	2.3	74	NAN
20	Aug_18_2005	44.79	56.59	58.9	59.75	59.45	60.63	63.47(5.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	71	120	59	105	0	73%	0.36	47.8	3.57%	0	2.1	65	NAN

21	Aug_17_2005	44.63	56.1	58.44	57.96	58.16	58.41	60.4(6.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	28	40	13	73	0	71%	0.29	37.7	3.55%	0	1.5	60	NAN
22	Aug_16_2005	44.5	55.81	57.88	57.48	57.39	58.28	56.9(-2.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	14	100	-3	65	0	69%	0.16	39.3	3.48%	0	0.4	58	NAN
23	Aug_15_2005	44.43	55.69	57.57	58.1	57.59	57.91	58.5(-1.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	10	16	84	0	69%	0.34	55.9	3.46%	0	1.1	59	NAN
24	Aug_12_2005	44.28	55.43	56.82	58.24	57.94	56.5	59.5(9.17%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	8	-190	-13	69	0	71%	0.27	67.2	3.49%	0	1.6	62	NAN
25	Aug_11_2005	44.16	55.09	56.17	57.94	58.56	57.26	54.5(-6.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-23	-120	-48	51	0	68%		78.7	3.34%	0	-0.2	52	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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