Trading Signals: DVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 22, 2004

Trading Signals: DVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Feb. 19, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Dynavax Technologies Corporation)
DVAX latest price $64.5000 (8.4%) ($56.5000 - $64.5000) on Wed. Sep. 22, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.13% (three month average)
RSI   82
Latest Price   $64.5000(8.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DVAX advances 4.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DVAX advances 11.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DVAX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(3%)    SHY(2%)    TLT(2%)    XLP(-0%)    QQQ(-1%)
Factors Impacting DVAX price   DVAX will decline at least -3.065% in a week (0% probabilities).
EWP(-7%)    OIH(-6%)    EEM(-6%)    XLY(-5%)    EWY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.065% (StdDev 6.13%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 8.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $58.1(11.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $54.69(17.94%)
20 Day Moving Average   $50.84(26.87%)
To recent high   -28%
To recent low   54.3%
Market Cap   $7.063b

Dynavax Technologies Corp. operates as a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development and commercialization of novel vaccines and immuno-oncology therapeutics. The firm focuses on leveraging the body's innate and adaptive immune responses through toll-like receptor stimulation. It offers products for vaccines, cancer immunotherapy, and immune-mediated diseases. The company was founded by Lawrence M. Lichtenstein, Dennis A. Carson, and Eyal Raz on August 29, 1996 and is headquartered in Berkeley, CA.

July 7, 2020 DVAX is developing a vaccine candidate SCB-2019 with GlaxoSmithKline plc GSK which is in its phase 1 clinical trials. The vaccine is made up of S-Trimer protein that resembles the coronavirus spike protein and hence triggers the immune system to produce antibodies.

$. DVAX price fluctuates within 10.56% (three month std-dev: 6.13%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20041022

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_22_2004	64.91	50.84	54.69	58.1	57.93	59.99	64.5(8.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	63	240	42	125	0	42%	-0.02	33.5	6.13%	0	2.5	82	0
2	Sep_21_2004	64.92	50.09	52.81	55.7	56.02	57.7	59.5(4.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	50	230	33	100	0	39%	-0.08	16.2	6.04%	0	2.2	81	0
3	Sep_20_2004	64.97	49.6	51.45	54.2	54.35	55.86	57.1(2.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	39	200	23	86	0	39%	-0.2	-6.4	6.02%	0	2	82	0
4	Sep_17_2004	65.1	49.36	50.63	53.2	53.58	54.34	55.5(2.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	42	120	25	91	0.01	39%	-0.15	-29.5	6%	0	1.8	82	0
5	Sep_16_2004	65.2	49.14	49.89	51.9	52.69	52.83	53.9(2.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	60	14	79	0	39%	-0.18	-59.2	5.99%	0	1.5	67	0

6	Sep_15_2004	65.32	49.1	49.25	50.72	51.39	52.82	52.5(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	28	230	17	62	0	39%	-0.23	-79.7	5.98%	0	1.1	52	0
7	Sep_14_2004	65.47	49.4	48.58	49.42	50.13	52.55	52(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	41	380	39	45	0	39%	-0.21	-73.9	5.98%	0	0.7	50	0
8	Sep_13_2004	65.61	49.84	47.78	48.24	48.24	49.96	52.1(6.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	24	250	27	14	0.01	39%	-0.2	-55.8	5.99%	0	0.5	51	0
9	Sep_10_2004	65.74	50.39	46.82	47.72	47.33	47.7	49(2.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	30	8	-21	0	37%	-0.27	-35.4	5.97%	0	-0.2	41	0
10	Sep_9_2004	65.92	51.1	46.48	47.62	47.86	46.51	48(4.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-15	-180	-6	-40	0.01	37%	-0.24	-19.9	5.96%	0	-0.5	42	0

11	Sep_8_2004	66.08	51.81	46.7	47.58	48.34	46.95	46(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-29	-150	-21	-54	0.01	37%	-0.33	-8	5.93%	0	-0.8	35	0
12	Sep_7_2004	66.3	52.5	47.19	47.56	48.74	49.21	46.1(-6.87%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-14	140	2	-61	0	37%	-0.44	1.4	5.93%	0	-0.9	29	0
13	Sep_3_2004	66.59	52.7	47.65	47.14	48.09	49.73	49.5(2.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	5	300	31	-74	0	39%	-0.34	-0.9	5.84%	0	-0.5	29	0
14	Sep_2_2004	66.82	52.54	47.97	45.74	46.51	48.26	48.51(1.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-9	310	25	-109	0.01	39%	-0.34	-9.5	5.83%	0	-0.6	25	0
15	Sep_1_2004	67.05	52.43	48.29	45.2	45.49	46.45	47.8(4.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-27	170	11	-140	0	39%	-0.33	-15.5	5.83%	0	-0.6	25	0

16	Aug_31_2004	67.27	52.37	48.89	45.8	45.31	44.76	45.9(4.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-49	-120	-13	-158	0	39%	-0.39	-16	5.79%	0	-0.9	23	0
17	Aug_30_2004	67.53	52.4	50.23	46.86	46.64	44.54	44(3.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-61	-330	-30	-155	0	39%	-0.35	-13.3	5.8%	0	-1.2	26	0
18	Aug_27_2004	67.77	52.76	52.04	48.26	48.28	45.85	42.5(-7.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-70	-350	-50	-131	0	39%	-0.38	-3.3	5.79%	0	-1.5	48	0
19	Aug_26_2004	68.03	53.22	54.27	50.46	50.16	48.74	45.8(-9.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-43	-220	-33	-74	0.01	40%	-0.35	8.9	5.74%	0	-1.1	58	0
20	Aug_25_2004	68.27	53.57	56.14	51.72	51.58	50.7	50.8(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-17	-130	-15	-24	0	43%	-0.38	16.9	5.65%	0	-0.4	65	0

21	Aug_24_2004	68.53	53.56	57.37	52.42	52.04	51.58	51.2(0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-16	-80	-24	10	0.01	43%	-0.39	18.3	5.65%	0	-0.4	65	0
22	Aug_23_2004	68.8	53.38	58.3	54.18	52.85	52.46	51(-4.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-5	-130	-25	56	0	43%	-0.36	19.1	5.65%	0	-0.3	65	0
23	Aug_20_2004	69.05	52.99	58.27	56.48	54.86	52.5	53.5(2.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-8	-390	-36	77	0	48%	-0.32	17.4	5.76%	0	0.1	58	0
24	Aug_19_2004	69.27	52.64	57.62	58.76	57.92	53.24	52.1(-4.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-28	-610	-65	85	0	46%	-0.35	20.9	5.82%	0	-0.1	57	0
25	Aug_18_2004	69.51	52.5	57.1	61.22	61.17	57.21	54.3(-9.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-26	-460	-69	104	0	46%		25.7	5.87%	0	0.3	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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