Trading Signals: DVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ DVAX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Aug. 16, 2004

Trading Signals: DVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Feb. 19, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Dynavax Technologies Corporation)
DVAX latest price $62.5000 (-3.7%) ($61.7000 - $68.3000) on Mon. Aug. 16, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.74% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $62.5000(-3.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DVAX advances 4.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DVAX advances 15.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DVAX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(3%)    SHY(2%)    TLT(2%)    XLP(-0%)    QQQ(-1%)
Factors Impacting DVAX price   DVAX will decline at least -2.87% in a week (0% probabilities).
EWP(-7%)    OIH(-6%)    EEM(-6%)    XLY(-5%)    LQD(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.87% (StdDev 5.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -6.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $62.96(-0.73%)
10 Day Moving Average   $54.89(13.86%)
20 Day Moving Average   $52.08(20.01%)
To recent high   -32.8%
To recent low   49.5%
Market Cap   $6.844b

Dynavax Technologies Corp. operates as a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development and commercialization of novel vaccines and immuno-oncology therapeutics. The firm focuses on leveraging the body's innate and adaptive immune responses through toll-like receptor stimulation. It offers products for vaccines, cancer immunotherapy, and immune-mediated diseases. The company was founded by Lawrence M. Lichtenstein, Dennis A. Carson, and Eyal Raz on August 29, 1996 and is headquartered in Berkeley, CA.

July 7, 2020 DVAX is developing a vaccine candidate SCB-2019 with GlaxoSmithKline plc GSK which is in its phase 1 clinical trials. The vaccine is made up of S-Trimer protein that resembles the coronavirus spike protein and hence triggers the immune system to produce antibodies.

$. DVAX price fluctuates within 13.63% (three month std-dev: 5.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040916

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_16_2004	69.91	52.08	54.89	62.96	64.45	65.14	62.5(-3.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	64	150	29	170	0	48%	-0.17	29	5.74%	0	1.5	74	NAN
2	Aug_13_2004	70.03	51.78	53.59	60.22	61.79	65.18	64.9(0.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	84	460	58	163	0	50%	-0.1	16	5.99%	0	1.9	81	NAN
3	Aug_12_2004	70.1	51.19	52	56.26	57.17	63.77	64.39(2.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	106	860	95	140	0	54%	-0.11	-0.7	6.06%	0	2.1	71	NAN
4	Aug_11_2004	70.18	50.72	50.59	52.38	51.93	58.4	63(5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	104	850	104	102	0	55%	-0.17	-18.5	6.39%	0	2.2	64	NAN
5	Aug_10_2004	70.3	50.24	49.14	48.82	47.71	50.58	60(22.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	66	350	72	46	0	55%	-0.2	-43.9	6.38%	0	1.9	57	NAN

6	Aug_9_2004	70.44	50.1	47.69	45.82	45.28	45.45	48.8(8.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-6	-10	3	-32	0	50%	-0.38	-60	5.68%	0	-0.2	42	NAN
7	Aug_6_2004	70.71	50.72	47.03	46.06	45.33	44.84	45.1(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-32	-120	-19	-70	0	46%	-0.49	-61.5	5.61%	0	-1	32	NAN
8	Aug_5_2004	71.06	51.23	47.15	47.08	46.98	45.11	45(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-38	-290	-24	-78	0	46%	-0.5	-66	5.62%	0	-1.2	39	NAN
9	Aug_4_2004	71.42	51.78	47.55	48.44	48.36	45.81	45.2(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-53	-370	-42	-86	0	46%	-0.46	-65	5.62%	0	-1.2	37	NAN
10	Aug_3_2004	71.75	52.65	48.24	49.4	49.96	48.84	45(-10%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-38	-120	-25	-75	0	44%	-0.51	-63.7	5.62%	0	-1.3	40	NAN

11	Aug_2_2004	72.12	53.6	49.21	49.7	50.81	50.91	50(-0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-1	80	20	-62	0	47%	-0.43	-72.6	5.55%	0	-0.6	40	NAN
12	Jul_30_2004	72.43	54.35	49.96	48.06	49.01	51.08	50.2(-3.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-8	350	18	-86	0	49%	-0.43	-83.4	5.59%	0	-0.7	37	NAN
13	Jul_29_2004	72.74	55.07	50.39	47.2	47.48	50.7	51.8(3.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	9	490	40	-85	0	49%	-0.41	-96	5.67%	0	-0.5	48	NAN
14	Jul_28_2004	73.04	55.77	50.86	46.64	46.98	46.94	50(7.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-10	20	20	-98	0	49%	-0.42	-105.1	5.64%	0	-0.8	46	NAN
15	Jul_27_2004	73.35	56.75	51.34	47.08	47.08	44.25	46.5(11.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-74	-420	-53	-137	0.02	47%	-0.5	-105.7	5.57%	0	-1.4	36	NAN

16	Jul_26_2004	73.72	58.18	52.61	48.78	50.04	47.03	41.8(-8.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-85	-340	-67	-138	0	43%	-0.57	-99.8	5.38%	0	-2	28	NAN
17	Jul_23_2004	74.14	60.13	54.7	52.12	53	49.9	45.9(-6.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-67	-360	-54	-106	0	46%	-0.59	-89.9	5.28%	0	-1.7	30	NAN
18	Jul_22_2004	74.58	62.19	55.73	53.94	54.95	53.05	49(-6.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-63	-190	-49	-103	0	49%	-0.44	-75.6	5.24%	0	-1.4	33	NAN
19	Jul_21_2004	74.91	64.16	56.47	55.6	56.41	56.1	52.2(-5.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-34	10	-15	-91	0	49%	-0.41	-64.9	5.23%	0	-1.1	34	NAN
20	Jul_20_2004	75.22	65.86	57.54	56.18	57.08	56.85	55(-5.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-28	20	-6	-93	0	48%	-0.37	-62.2	5.25%	0	-0.9	33	NAN

21	Jul_19_2004	75.5	67.5	58.44	57.04	57.3	56.71	58.5(6.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-36	-60	-12	-106	0	50%	-0.34	-58.2	5.22%	0	-0.7	32	NAN
22	Jul_16_2004	75.76	68.9	59.1	57.8	57.57	57.3	55(-4.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-38	-40	-9	-123	0	48%	-0.45	-55.8	5.15%	0	-1.1	23	NAN
23	Jul_15_2004	76.1	70.56	60.1	57.82	58.11	57.89	57.3(3.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-33	-10	6	-149	0	48%	-0.39	-55.9	5.13%	0	-1	22	NAN
24	Jul_14_2004	76.4	72.07	61	57.48	57.6	57.84	55.1(-7.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-61	40	-17	-192	0	49%	-0.4	-57.1	5.1%	0	-1.3	17	NAN
25	Jul_13_2004	76.71	73.85	62.51	59.06	57.88	58.34	59.3(-4.82%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0	-54	-0	-6	-198	0	50%		-55.4	5.05%	0	-1.1	23	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.