Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 18, 2020

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $32.1400 (2.45%) ($31.0100 - $32.3900) on Thu. Jun. 18, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   9.28% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $32.1400(2.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UUP(38%)    VIXM(25%)    VXX(12%)    TBT(10%)    IYT(-1%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -4.64% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDXJ(-97%)    SIL(-93%)    GLD(-80%)    SLV(-76%)    BWX(-47%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.64% (StdDev 9.28%)
Hourly BBV 1.6 ()
Intraday Trend 1.5%

Inflection Point   Yes
5 Day Moving Average   $31.45(2.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.39(2.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.6(5.03%)
To recent high   -77.8%
To recent low   26.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.09%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.09% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 5.07% (three month std-dev: 9.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 25 Average positive next day return: 1.61%(52%) Average negative next day return: -1.82%(48%) Sample size 25 Average positive next three day return: 3.45%(64%) Average negative next three day return: -4.43%(36%) Sample size 25 Average positive next weekly return: 3.87%(56%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.96%(44%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200718

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_18_2020	80.63	30.6	31.39	31.45	31.56	31.6	32.14(2.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	7	20	4	15	1.88	34%	-1.39	74.4	9.28%	1.6	1	58	-0.7
2	Jun_17_2020	81.77	30.32	31.31	31.32	31.36	31.2	31.37(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	6	-30	3	14	2.33	26%	-1.48	51.4	10.16%	0.6	0.6	54	-0.9
3	Jun_16_2020	83	30.04	31.37	30.8	31.06	31.53	31.74(5.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	3	130	1	9	3.32	21%	-1.33	24.6	11.44%	0.4	0.8	54	-1
4	Jun_15_2020	84.12	29.83	31.18	30.76	30.87	31.52	30.16(-5.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	4	160	2	8	3.27	21%	-1.29	16.1	12.6%	-0.9	0.2	52	-1.3
5	Jun_12_2020	85.22	29.66	30.99	31.14	30.74	30.6	31.84(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	3	-70	-0	10	4.05	41%	-1.37	14	13.94%	0.6	1	63	-1.4

6	Jun_11_2020	86.4	29.49	30.76	31.14	31.1	30.21	31.48(9.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	0	-220	-4	12	4.28	45%	-1.32	16.3	14.66%	0.7	0.9	63	-2.6
7	Jun_10_2020	87.56	29.44	30.63	31.34	31.93	30.88	28.77(-8.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-1	-170	-7	16	4.17	45%	-1.32	14.6	14.9%	-3	-0.3	62	0.9
8	Jun_9_2020	88.73	29.55	30.84	32	32.17	31.98	31.57(-1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-30	-2	31	2.99	48%	-0.66	26.4	14.87%	-1	1	73	1
9	Jun_8_2020	89.32	29.5	30.69	31.62	32.21	32.99	32.02(-2.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	230	8	36	2.39	48%	-1.36	20.9	15.13%	-0.4	1.2	64	1.6
10	Jun_5_2020	90.55	29.35	30.28	30.77	31.26	32.36	32.88(4.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	15	290	9	32	3.95	47%	-1.29	3.1	15.14%	0.6	1.8	69	2

11	Jun_4_2020	91.73	29.15	29.75	30.1	30	31.43	31.46(-1.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	11	320	6	25	3.26	47%	-1.27	-20.3	15.14%	0.7	1.3	57	1.6
12	Jun_3_2020	92.91	29.13	29.23	29.85	29.53	30.16	32.06(8.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	10	120	7	18	4.48	46%	-1.34	-24.1	15.15%	1.3	1.6	52	1.7
13	Jun_2_2020	94.17	29	28.57	29.57	29.1	28.58	29.68(6.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-1	-170	-3	5	4.83	44%	-1.44	-36	15.2%	1.2	0.4	46	1.3
14	Jun_1_2020	95.55	29.06	28.34	29.57	29.8	28.9	27.76(-6.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-2	-200	-3	1	3.76	44%	-1.32	-35.5	15.22%	-1.8	-0.7	41	1
15	May_29_2020	96.83	29.29	28.23	29.66	29.96	29.61	29.54(-2.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1	-50	-1	-1	3.81	44%	-1.36	-32.2	15.33%	-0.6	0.1	51	1.3

16	May_28_2020	98.17	29.53	28.23	29.28	29.46	30.7	30.23(-1.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	310	6	-2	4.23	47%	-1.28	-28.2	15.45%	-0.1	0.3	54	0.9
17	May_27_2020	99.44	29.59	28.13	28.47	28.87	30.31	30.64(1.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	9	390	14	-6	4.34	49%	-1.1	-42.4	15.71%	0.7	0.5	47	1.5
18	May_26_2020	100.55	29.64	28.12	27.43	27.44	28.21	30.12(8.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	2	200	7	-15	9.93	49%	-1.55	-67.1	15.87%	1.7	0.2	51	1.3
19	May_22_2020	102.13	29.72	28.15	26.89	26.63	27.43	27.79(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	180	4	-21	2.98	50%	-1.11	-84.6	15.64%	0.6	-0.8	41	1.2
20	May_21_2020	103.28	29.92	28.31	26.61	26.44	26.66	27.63(5.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-5	40	2	-27	4.26	49%	-0.75	-102.4	15.76%	1.1	-1	38	1.1

21	May_20_2020	104.06	30.18	28.47	26.84	26.31	25.82	26.18(2.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	-190	-7	-35	6.68	49%	-1.12	-106.7	15.77%	0	-1.6	29	1.5
22	May_19_2020	105.24	30.6	29.02	27.75	27.29	26.23	25.43(-7.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-14	-320	-9	-30	4.77	49%	-1.1	-90.2	15.77%	-1.3	-1.7	38	0.9
23	May_18_2020	106.41	31.31	29.49	28.89	28.46	26.8	27.4(3.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	-450	-10	-26	5.58	48%	-1.14	-77.6	15.76%	-0.3	-1.2	41	1.4
24	May_15_2020	107.64	31.89	29.89	29.6	29.44	28.35	26.43(-8.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-13	-280	-10	-22	5.39	48%	-1.12	-64.6	15.78%	-1.4	-1.5	38	1
25	May_14_2020	108.86	32.61	30.52	30.21	30.24	30.13	28.77(-6.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-4	-20	-1	-14	3.35	48%		-66.4	15.88%	-1.4	-1.1	43	0.8
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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