Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 18, 2019

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $520.0000 (4.84%) ($492.0000 - $529.7500) on Thu. Apr. 18, 2019.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.16% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $520.0000(4.84%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 2.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TBT(10%)    VXX(7%)    UUP(4%)    IDRV(2%)    VIXM(1%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -2.08% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDX(-96%)    GDXJ(-94%)    SIL(-89%)    GLD(-70%)    SLV(-60%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.08% (StdDev 4.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4%

5 Day Moving Average   $484.85(7.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $464.46(11.96%)
20 Day Moving Average   $454.17(14.49%)
To recent high   -18.7%
To recent low   29.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 6.23% (three month std-dev: 4.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 18 Average positive next day return: 2.14%(50%) Average negative next day return: -3.39%(50%) Sample size 18 Average positive next three day return: 4.62%(61%) Average negative next three day return: -3.18%(39%) Sample size 18 Average positive next weekly return: 7.44%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.15%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20190518

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_18_2019	533.4	454.17	464.46	484.85	488.52	501.58	520(4.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	243	210	274	151	0.25	49%	-0.54	27.9	4.16%	0	2.3	66	1.9
2	Apr_17_2019	536.31	449.67	456.41	472.55	476.01	487.3	496(2.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	192	190	220	106	0.24	47%	-0.7	12.6	4.19%	0	1.9	62	1.8
3	Apr_16_2019	540.11	446.74	453.24	460.75	466.73	475.47	486(5.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	200	170	232	105	0.26	47%	-0.63	0.4	4.18%	0	1.8	69	2.1
4	Apr_15_2019	543.53	445.74	451.11	448.9	454.04	464.72	459.75(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	141	200	162	76	0.21	44%	-0.65	-8.4	4.11%	0	0.6	69	2.1
5	Apr_12_2019	547.1	446.49	452.66	443.6	443.87	458	462.5(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	200	220	228	114	0.19	44%	-0.16	-12.4	4.14%	0	0.7	67	2.4

6	Apr_11_2019	547.99	446.42	451.51	440.9	437.16	443.36	458.5(4.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	154	70	174	93	0.27	44%	-0.56	-15.4	4.17%	0	0.5	57	1.6
7	Apr_10_2019	551.06	446.67	450.76	438.1	436.09	429.73	437(2.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-66	-120	-85	-10	0.26	41%	-0.71	-26.2	4.12%	0	-0.4	52	1.3
8	Apr_9_2019	555.01	446.64	449.36	444.85	444.75	430.97	426.75(-1.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-180	-220	-220	-58	0.17	41%	-0.71	-35.4	4.14%	0	-0.9	48	0.6
9	Apr_8_2019	558.96	447.56	447.66	453.6	454.72	442.44	433.25(-3.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-227	-180	-275	-84	0.19	41%	-0.69	-35	4.16%	0	-0.7	41	1.2
10	Apr_5_2019	562.87	449.21	445.66	462.75	464.78	458.53	449(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-103	-80	-128	-29	0.21	41%	-0.73	-30.9	4.14%	0	-0	42	1.3

11	Apr_4_2019	567	449.86	444.15	463.35	468.3	467	444.5(-5.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-8	10	-13	9	0.33	41%	-0.8	-34.9	4.17%	0	-0.2	46	1.2
12	Apr_3_2019	571.59	452.54	443.35	464.8	463.2	471.03	470.75(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	62	110	71	36	0.17	41%	-0.86	-24.9	4.13%	0	0.6	50	1
13	Apr_2_2019	576.53	454.57	440.15	454.25	457.39	469.59	470.5(-1.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	249	210	296	109	0.17	41%	-0.8	-26.4	4.19%	0	0.5	59	1.2
14	Apr_1_2019	581.16	455.4	439.73	440.6	441.77	455.38	479(5.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	195	220	237	70	0.32	41%	-0.68	-31.1	4.19%	0	0.8	58	1.2
15	Mar_29_2019	585.14	456.08	438.96	426.35	427.92	445.19	452(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	208	290	258	57	0.2	35%	-0.64	-34.2	4.21%	0	-0.1	47	1

16	Mar_28_2019	588.91	458.63	439.86	422.6	420.75	428.16	451.75(8.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	176	110	222	36	0.35	35%	-0.65	-26.9	4.24%	0	-0.2	48	0.7
17	Mar_27_2019	592.78	459.77	441	419.45	419.11	410.66	418(3.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-96	-140	-92	-106	0.25	30%	-0.69	-23.8	4.17%	0	-1.3	32	0.2
18	Mar_26_2019	596.87	462.49	442.95	424.3	426.74	413.34	402.25(-1.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-256	-200	-276	-196	0.28	34%	-0.67	-12.6	4.17%	0	-1.9	25	0.4
19	Mar_25_2019	600.92	465.1	447.5	438.55	439.22	427.56	407.75(-5.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-232	-180	-251	-175	0.33	34%	-0.65	3.8	4.26%	0	-2	34	-0.9
20	Mar_22_2019	604.87	467.35	453.68	453	451.73	440.13	433.25(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-171	-190	-184	-133	0.25	33%	-0.62	15.3	4.34%	0	-1.3	37	-1

21	Mar_21_2019	608.64	467.49	456.86	459.35	459.5	450.88	436(-1.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-169	-130	-181	-134	0.28	33%	-0.76	12.2	4.38%	0	-1.2	36	1.4
22	Mar_20_2019	613.3	467.56	463.36	465.55	464.23	463.33	442.25(-6.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-60	-20	-57	-68	0.31	30%	-0.69	6.7	4.41%	0	-0.9	46	1.3
23	Mar_19_2019	617.57	466.41	470.88	463.85	464.82	468.11	473.5(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	68	60	90	2	0.19	40%	-0.66	-6.9	4.6%	0	0.2	53	1.7
24	Mar_18_2019	621.67	464.05	472.57	457.65	456.94	465.13	480(3.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	46	120	63	-4	0.12	38%	-0.64	-22.2	5.05%	0	0.5	59	1.8
25	Mar_15_2019	625.65	463.32	474.21	454.95	452.75	461.53	465(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	93	120	115	25	0.17	36%		-25.4	5.12%	0	0.1	58	2.2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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