Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 4, 2018

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $1076.2500 (8.33%) ($1030.0700 - $1086.2500) on Tue. Sep. 4, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.3% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $1076.2500(8.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TBT(11%)    UUP(7%)    VXX(6%)    VIXM(-0%)    DRIV(-1%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -2.15% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDX(-96%)    SIL(-89%)    GLD(-70%)    SLV(-60%)    XME(-39%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.15% (StdDev 4.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $981.5(9.65%)
10 Day Moving Average   $963.38(11.72%)
20 Day Moving Average   $921.52(16.79%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   88%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 11.15% (three month std-dev: 4.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 13 Average positive next day return: 4.35%(31%) Average negative next day return: -6.13%(69%) Sample size 13 Average positive next three day return: 20.55%(46%) Average negative next three day return: -5.7%(54%) Sample size 13 Average positive next weekly return: 26.94%(38%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.12%(62%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20181004

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_4_2018	676.41	921.52	963.38	981.5	981.85	1018.13	1076.25(8.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	703	260	825	336	0.09	72%	0.93	69.8	4.3%	0	1.5	66	0.5
2	Aug_31_2018	670.2	904.05	950.98	943.55	943.91	971.56	993.5(2.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	385	210	455	175	0.08	71%	0.6	56.6	4.17%	0	0.8	65	0.1
3	Aug_30_2018	666.22	889.99	949.03	931.65	924.83	945.56	971.75(4.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	328	130	382	165	0.09	69%	0.6	53.3	4.16%	0	0.7	68	0.8
4	Aug_29_2018	662.26	877.83	958.23	940.05	920.14	916.25	930(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	43	-90	31	80	0.06	68%	0.48	56.5	4.17%	0	0.4	68	1.3
5	Aug_28_2018	659.11	867.04	966.04	939.85	936.08	904.09	936(5.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-219	-250	-290	-7	0.19	68%	0.45	57.3	4.17%	0	0.6	68	1

6	Aug_27_2018	656.14	855.03	959.38	942.1	942.94	924.03	886.5(-5.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-510	-140	-639	-123	0.12	66%	0.39	58.3	4.16%	0	0.3	65	0.9
7	Aug_24_2018	653.59	845.86	955.8	958.1	957.08	968.07	934(-7.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	69	80	31	184	0.14	68%	0.45	61.7	4.12%	0	0.7	71	1
8	Aug_23_2018	650.67	833.67	940.82	967.75	962.57	961.84	1013.75(9.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	181	-20	152	267	0.11	72%	0.56	65.7	4.02%	0	1.4	79	1
9	Aug_22_2018	647.03	816.58	915.05	980.85	967.59	946.09	929(-1.93%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-275	-200	-396	87	0.08	70%	0.44	72.2	3.91%	0	0.9	73	1.2
10	Aug_21_2018	644.19	802.6	897.69	996.9	989.45	963.31	947.25(-1.99%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-197	-210	-316	161	0.09	70%	0.51	77.8	3.9%	0	1.1	76	0.7

11	Aug_20_2018	640.92	788.05	878.81	978.3	988.83	989.09	966.5(-1.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	8	30	-76	261	0.12	70%	0.52	76.8	3.9%	0	1.4	79	1.1
12	Aug_17_2018	637.6	773.37	854.99	950.75	956.49	1015.59	982.25(-8.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	715	450	759	581	0.16	70%	0.55	75	3.89%	0	1.7	79	0.9
13	Aug_16_2018	634.14	756.05	826.83	906.85	906.36	988.56	1079.25(6.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	1607	630	1817	977	0.18	76%	0.66	69.5	3.69%	0	2.9	91	0.2
14	Aug_15_2018	629.99	733.82	788.9	840.3	840.16	897.38	1009.25(18.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2	1330	480	1510	789	0.23	76%	0.6	69.7	3.61%	0	3.3	90	-1.4
15	Aug_14_2018	626.25	714.16	756.36	786.6	785.03	824.16	854.25(3.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	837	340	938	535	0.09	71%	0.4	75.3	2.98%	0	2.5	87	0.4

16	Aug_13_2018	623.74	702.87	739.01	766	762.33	782.94	828.75(8.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	750	170	841	476	0.13	70%	0.32	82.2	2.97%	0	2.6	81	-1
17	Aug_10_2018	621.76	692.97	724.58	745.3	742.66	745.91	762.75(2.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	180	20	177	189	0.07	63%	0.12	90.9	2.79%	0	1.7	66	0.6
18	Aug_9_2018	621.04	686.32	716.7	733.25	734.3	741.73	746.5(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	136	80	128	160	0.07	63%	0.14	90.5	2.85%	0	1.5	70	1.8
19	Aug_8_2018	620.18	679.63	709.86	728.25	726.46	739.41	740.75(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	291	120	310	232	0.08	63%	0.03	95.4	2.85%	0	1.6	65	2.3
20	Aug_7_2018	619.98	673.72	700.62	720.7	718.63	726.88	751.25(3.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	311	70	336	234	0.08	63%	0.08	90.8	2.84%	0	1.9	71	2.3

21	Aug_6_2018	619.47	665.28	691.22	707.7	710.33	713.51	725.25(3.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	149	40	150	147	0.06	61%	0.03	78.2	2.82%	0	1.5	68	1.9
22	Aug_3_2018	619.29	658.22	686.75	700.85	702.1	710.38	702.5(-2.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	109	90	101	131	0.09	60%	-0	70	2.79%	0	1.1	65	1.1
23	Aug_2_2018	619.3	652.22	681.5	697.35	698.44	707.16	721.5(2.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	312	90	340	227	0.09	60%	0.07	58.8	2.81%	0	1.7	71	0.8
24	Aug_1_2018	618.87	644.76	675.39	688.7	689.66	693.81	703(2.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	162	50	163	159	0.07	60%	0.04	47.5	2.79%	0	1.5	73	0.7
25	Jul_31_2018	618.65	638.97	668.99	677.3	682.47	689.72	686.25(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	176	100	184	153	0.06	60%		35.3	2.8%	0	1.2	66	0.6
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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