Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ DUST: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jul. 31, 2018

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $686.2500 (-0.69%) ($672.0000 - $700.0000) on Tue. Jul. 31, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.8% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $686.2500(-0.69%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 3.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TBT(11%)    UUP(8%)    VXX(6%)    IFRA(5%)    VIXM(-0%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -1.4% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDX(-96%)    SIL(-89%)    GLD(-71%)    SLV(-61%)    XME(-39%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.4% (StdDev 2.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2%

5 Day Moving Average   $677.3(1.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $668.99(2.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $638.97(7.4%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   22.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 6.01% (three month std-dev: 2.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 1.19%(38%) Average negative next day return: -1.57%(63%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 2.6%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.45%(50%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 7.49%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.69%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180831

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_31_2018	618.65	638.97	668.99	677.3	682.47	689.72	686.25(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	176	100	184	153	0.06	60%	0.02	35.3	2.8%	0	1.2	66	0.6
2	Jul_30_2018	618.53	635.72	664.2	672	672.89	685.5	691(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	231	140	246	187	0.06	63%	-0	32.2	2.8%	0	1.5	74	0.3
3	Jul_27_2018	618.55	631.26	658.93	670.65	667.17	675.22	685(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	273	70	291	220	0.06	63%	-0	32.4	2.89%	0	1.5	73	0.6
4	Jul_26_2018	618.56	628.47	653.56	663.3	664.8	660.28	678.25(4.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	93	-40	77	139	0.09	63%	-0.02	28.2	2.9%	0	1.5	73	1.1
5	Jul_25_2018	618.7	626.56	647.08	660.4	659.58	659.13	646(-2.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-143	-10	-204	40	0.08	60%	-0.01	29.1	2.84%	0	0.6	71	1.2

6	Jul_24_2018	618.76	625.73	645.12	659	662.03	669.31	659.75(-3.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	221	90	221	222	0.09	60%	-0.05	29.8	2.85%	0	1.1	68	1.2
7	Jul_23_2018	619.06	624.08	637.8	654.55	656.95	660.03	684.25(5.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	178	40	175	185	0.11	63%	-0.03	30.7	2.85%	0	2.1	61	0.9
8	Jul_20_2018	619.25	620.24	627.62	645.55	650.08	654.75	648.25(-2.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	67	70	51	115	0.09	60%	-0.08	25.8	2.81%	0	1.1	60	1.1
9	Jul_19_2018	619.73	619.49	620.96	642.3	647.11	653.88	663.75(3.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	230	100	249	171	0.12	60%	-0.09	33.8	2.84%	0	1.8	54	1.2
10	Jul_18_2018	620.27	617.8	611.76	632.05	638.77	645.41	639(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	168	100	189	104	0.11	58%	-0.1	32.5	2.8%	0	0.9	47	1.4

11	Jul_17_2018	620.92	616.83	606.6	629.1	629.92	640.34	637.5(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	215	120	250	109	0.19	58%	-0.01	35.8	2.81%	0	0.9	50	1.5
12	Jul_16_2018	620.97	615.22	604.83	618.05	621.38	632.13	639.25(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	308	140	367	132	0.08	58%	-0.04	26.8	2.82%	0	1.1	51	1.2
13	Jul_13_2018	621.22	613.67	601.02	606.8	609.19	619.5	632(3.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	262	130	320	89	0.09	53%	-0.09	14.7	2.82%	0	0.8	54	0.8
14	Jul_12_2018	621.76	611.08	600.73	596.35	595.06	610.63	612.5(-1.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	247	180	308	64	0.09	51%	-0.11	-1.3	2.88%	0	0.1	45	0.7
15	Jul_11_2018	622.45	610.22	603.7	588.35	585.98	598.88	624.25(7.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	346	140	428	100	0.2	46%	-0.08	-9.4	2.9%	0	0.6	47	0.5

16	Jul_10_2018	622.93	608.66	604.01	581.25	577.72	579.5	582.25(-0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	51	0	84	-50	0.14	40%	-0.07	-18.5	2.87%	0	-1.1	42	0.9
17	Jul_9_2018	623.35	609.21	608.96	589.95	579.42	573.09	583(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-173	-130	-186	-135	0.12	40%	-0.06	-12.7	2.9%	0	-1.1	47	0.7
18	Jul_6_2018	623.72	610.41	612.31	594.45	592.17	575.93	579.75(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-264	-200	-295	-171	0.12	40%	-0	-8.2	2.9%	0	-1.4	45	0.1
19	Jul_5_2018	623.73	611.37	618.35	605.8	603.06	585.75	572.5(-2.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-492	-210	-574	-245	0.2	40%	-0.09	4.2	2.9%	0	-1.8	53	-0.6
20	Jul_3_2018	624.28	612.41	625.19	620.95	619.11	608.41	588.75(-5.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-284	-130	-342	-110	0.18	40%	-0.14	23.5	2.87%	0	-1.2	52	-1.2

21	Jul_2_2018	625.18	613.01	629.04	629.7	630.92	620.38	625.75(3.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-165	-110	-210	-30	0.13	44%	-0.18	32.4	2.82%	0	0.6	60	-1.4
22	Jun_29_2018	626.28	612.13	627.38	630.85	634.82	629.81	605.5(-4.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-180	-40	-230	-28	0.22	41%	-0.16	35.5	2.81%	0	-0.3	57	-0.9
23	Jun_28_2018	627.3	612.22	628.31	632.45	636.81	641.47	636.5(-1.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	83	70	76	102	0.06	45%	-0.09	44.2	2.8%	0	1.2	60	-2
24	Jun_27_2018	627.87	610.45	622.89	632.85	632.36	639.84	648.25(2.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	142	80	147	127	0.09	51%	-0.03	46.5	2.85%	0	2	65	-1.8
25	Jun_26_2018	628.03	607.64	617.38	630.6	631.45	632.15	632.5(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	143	10	148	126	0.08	51%		41.4	2.92%	0	1.5	65	-1.1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.