Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 1, 2018

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $695.2500 (-3%) ($688.7500 - $759.0000) on Thu. Mar. 1, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.76% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $695.2500(-3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TBT(11%)    UUP(9%)    VXX(2%)    VIXM(1%)    UNG(-0%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -2.38% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDX(-96%)    SIL(-89%)    GLD(-71%)    SLV(-61%)    XME(-39%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.38% (StdDev 4.76%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -6.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $684.2(1.62%)
10 Day Moving Average   $667.56(4.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $658.17(5.63%)
To recent high   -11.3%
To recent low   41.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 7.63% (three month std-dev: 4.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.31%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 6.29%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 2.2%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180401

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_1_2018	636.58	658.17	667.56	684.2	690.67	714.03	695.25(-3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	220	270	254	117	0.25	51%	0.19	75	4.76%	0	0.7	49	-0.7
2	Feb_28_2018	635.36	650.91	656.35	682.15	679.3	696.81	716.75(2.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	313	170	370	142	0.11	53%	0.2	72.7	4.72%	0	1.2	53	-0.4
3	Feb_27_2018	634.08	643.23	650.98	674.75	670.98	667.31	702.25(9.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	89	-60	108	30	0.22	53%	0.2	72	4.71%	0	1.1	56	-0.2
4	Feb_26_2018	632.83	635.67	647.5	668.5	663.88	661.78	643.25(-3.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-131	-40	-151	-70	0.11	50%	0.08	67.1	4.59%	0	0.1	57	0.2
5	Feb_23_2018	632.34	629.46	655.71	663.8	666.03	674.66	663.5(-3.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	182	100	211	94	0.12	50%	0.07	55.3	4.58%	0	0.5	61	-0.1

6	Feb_22_2018	631.92	622.58	659.4	647.1	649.99	665.97	685(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	219	190	252	121	0.17	50%	0.13	42.5	4.59%	0	0.9	69	-0.5
7	Feb_21_2018	631.13	613.14	659.46	625.7	628.03	657.41	679.75(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	269	340	309	147	0.22	50%	0.1	28.7	4.61%	0	0.9	69	-0.6
8	Feb_20_2018	630.51	605.35	657.61	624.25	619.7	634	671(8.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	310	140	352	182	0.22	51%	0.02	29.2	4.62%	0	0.9	65	-0.6
9	Feb_16_2018	630.37	599.2	652.24	625.35	624.34	598.65	619.75(6.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-181	-290	-230	-33	0.28	49%	-0.02	32.2	4.49%	0	0.3	63	-0.5
10	Feb_15_2018	630.48	596.04	651.13	648.1	645.23	605.4	580(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-628	-450	-772	-197	0.21	46%	-0.1	40.6	4.41%	0	-0.2	65	-0.4

11	Feb_14_2018	631.13	595.18	649.49	673.35	681.89	650.03	578(-14.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-411	-290	-529	-55	0.37	46%	-0.06	49.4	4.41%	0	-0.2	63	-0.5
12	Feb_13_2018	631.53	593.38	647.82	696.1	699.1	685.06	672.5(-0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-250	-130	-361	83	0.1	51%	0.15	53.9	4.03%	0	1.1	78	-1.2
13	Feb_12_2018	630.58	585.09	637.25	694.35	700.01	713.75	676.5(-7.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	147	160	100	286	0.2	51%	0.11	49.7	4.03%	0	1.3	70	-1.4
14	Feb_9_2018	629.9	577.59	624.75	681.9	688.85	713.14	733.5(3.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	569	280	599	480	0.38	56%	0.17	44.8	3.94%	0	2.3	71	-1.7
15	Feb_8_2018	628.83	568.95	601.83	655.05	657.7	686.27	706.25(2.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	484	320	512	399	0.17	56%	0.16	41.3	3.91%	0	2.3	68	-2.5

16	Feb_7_2018	627.82	562.15	582.56	622.65	630.67	664.56	691.75(4.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	652	410	727	426	0.23	56%	0.18	32.1	3.91%	0	2.6	67	-1.8
17	Feb_6_2018	626.68	556.52	561.92	592.8	598.31	629.13	663.75(8.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	552	390	626	330	0.28	52%	0.12	23.7	3.88%	0	2.6	68	-2
18	Feb_5_2018	625.93	551.37	546.94	572.45	573.59	596.78	614.25(2.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	443	290	505	255	0.26	49%	0.09	9.5	3.83%	0	1.9	67	-2.9
19	Feb_2_2018	625.39	548.17	539.67	559.25	559.48	567.5	599.25(10.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	298	100	340	173	0.5	49%	0.09	-7	3.83%	0	1.7	60	-2.2
20	Feb_1_2018	624.84	545.65	534.35	540.75	546.81	550.4	544.25(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	65	80	76	31	0.27	44%	-0.02	-32.9	3.6%	0	-0.1	45	-0.5

21	Jan_31_2018	624.98	546.64	535.32	535.65	536.54	551.46	542.5(-3.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	191	200	229	75	0.34	44%	0.03	-42	3.6%	0	-0.1	43	-1.6
22	Jan_30_2018	624.81	547.01	534.45	525.2	524.17	543.22	562(2.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	358	250	436	122	0.24	44%	0.05	-63.2	3.6%	0	0.5	44	-1.9
23	Jan_29_2018	624.52	548.22	528.96	517.4	508.88	521.63	548.25(8.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	158	130	210	-0	0.34	44%	0.09	-77.3	3.6%	0	0	46	-2.1
24	Jan_26_2018	623.96	550.27	527.12	517.85	511.12	505.13	506.75(-2.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-3	-120	25	-86	0.23	43%	0.04	-80.9	3.44%	0	-1.5	43	136.8
25	Jan_25_2018	623.69	554.77	534.16	527.5	521.98	496.13	518.75(5.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-365	-380	-408	-236	0.47	43%		-86.8	3.51%	0	-1.2	45	137.4
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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