Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 12, 2017

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $784.2500 (1.39%) ($778.7500 - $799.5000) on Tue. Dec. 12, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.9% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $784.2500(1.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 9.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TBT(11%)    UUP(11%)    VIXM(2%)    UNG(-1%)    SHY(-3%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -1.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDX(-96%)    SIL(-89%)    GLD(-71%)    SLV(-61%)    XME(-39%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.45% (StdDev 2.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $767.1(2.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $732.53(7.06%)
20 Day Moving Average   $695.23(12.8%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   49%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 6.91% (three month std-dev: 2.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 45 Average positive next day return: 2.77%(38%) Average negative next day return: -1.47%(62%) Sample size 45 Average positive next three day return: 3.4%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -2.91%(60%) Sample size 45 Average positive next weekly return: 5.48%(44%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.19%(56%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180112

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_12_2017	642.22	695.23	732.53	767.1	770.5	776.03	784.25(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	352	60	357	335	0.16	79%	0.02	62.1	2.9%	0	1.9	75	INF
2	Dec_11_2017	642.07	689.26	718.34	755.5	760.92	761.66	773.5(2.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	93	30	60	192	0.15	81%	0.06	64.8	2.9%	0	1.9	68	INF
3	Dec_8_2017	641.7	683.98	704.2	741.6	750.86	764.97	756.75(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	238	170	240	232	0.15	81%	0.02	61.5	3.05%	0	1.9	70	INF
4	Dec_7_2017	641.57	678.37	693.37	725.7	735.92	760.19	766.75(1.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	569	270	638	363	0.18	75%	0.01	51.5	3.04%	0	2.5	67	INF
5	Dec_6_2017	641.48	671.96	680.36	708.75	711.95	736.75	754.25(3.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	491	260	557	294	0.17	76%	-0.01	40	3.18%	0	2.8	66	INF

6	Dec_5_2017	641.53	666.66	670.22	693.05	696.25	711.66	726.25(3.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	473	170	543	262	0.22	70%	-0.08	27.7	3.18%	0	2.7	61	INF
7	Dec_4_2017	642.05	662.32	664.38	675.8	681.19	687.16	704(3.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	224	90	258	121	0.21	70%	-0.14	3	3.27%	0	2.4	56	INF
8	Dec_1_2017	642.96	661.12	658.83	661.15	665.06	680.84	677.25(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	163	180	195	67	0.22	69%	-0.24	-18.8	3.26%	0	1	49	INF
9	Nov_30_2017	644.53	660.78	657.61	655.7	653.82	675.22	682(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	413	220	490	181	0.2	64%	-0.2	-33.6	3.36%	0	1.3	59	INF
10	Nov_29_2017	645.8	660.52	655.56	647.5	643.02	649.28	675.75(5.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	247	50	297	96	0.25	64%	-0.22	-40.8	3.38%	0	1	59	INF

11	Nov_28_2017	647.2	660.66	654.68	644.4	637.95	632.42	640(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-128	-90	-143	-82	0.22	56%	-0.3	-34.6	3.33%	0	-1.3	47	INF
12	Nov_27_2017	649.13	661.8	658.01	651.5	645.87	636.77	630.75(-2.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-158	-120	-184	-80	0.16	56%	-0.37	-14.7	3.56%	0	-2	49	INF
13	Nov_24_2017	651.54	664.13	662.79	655.8	656.03	643.48	650(1.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-168	-130	-197	-82	0.11	56%	-0.52	10.1	3.54%	0	-1	41	INF
14	Nov_22_2017	654.96	666.09	663.06	659.45	659.78	654.97	641(-2.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-211	-50	-247	-102	0.16	56%	-0.02	43.9	3.53%	0	-1.8	43	INF
15	Nov_21_2017	655.1	666.99	663.96	664.3	665.71	668.58	660.25(-2.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	42	40	51	16	0.15	53%	-0.27	68.4	3.52%	0	-0.5	45	INF

16	Nov_20_2017	656.9	666.28	663.7	666.4	666.13	664.58	675.5(3.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	9	-20	13	-3	0.18	53%	-0.16	74.7	3.56%	0	0.6	48	INF
17	Nov_17_2017	657.92	664.03	660.6	665.95	667.58	662.84	652.25(-2.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-94	-40	-107	-55	0.19	52%	-0.21	71.7	3.53%	0	-0.6	50	INF
18	Nov_16_2017	659.29	662.76	663.97	670.9	671.56	667.69	668.25(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-46	-40	-53	-24	0.12	49%	-0.11	77.4	3.52%	0	0.2	49	INF
19	Nov_15_2017	660.04	659.9	664.35	667.2	670.39	672.31	665.25(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-3	30	0	-12	0.13	49%	-0.14	71	3.62%	0	0.2	43	INF
20	Nov_14_2017	660.98	657.44	665.79	663.25	665.52	675.44	670.75(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	143	110	171	57	0.14	49%	-0.09	67.2	3.64%	0	0.5	55	INF

21	Nov_13_2017	661.59	654.33	666.74	660.4	656.69	668.47	673.25(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	180	110	213	79	0.11	49%	-0.06	62.6	3.67%	0	0.7	58	INF
22	Nov_10_2017	661.98	651.01	665.44	654.55	652.67	655.59	677(4.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	124	20	148	52	0.17	46%	-0.11	53.8	3.67%	0	0.8	62	INF
23	Nov_9_2017	662.71	646.17	665.01	656.7	652.16	644.9	649.75(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-115	-100	-137	-48	0.18	42%	-0.2	50.5	3.72%	0	0.1	60	INF
24	Nov_8_2017	664.02	643.16	669.01	661.45	660.63	649.75	645.5(-1.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-157	-120	-194	-45	0.19	42%	-0.25	46.4	3.76%	0	0.1	63	INF
25	Nov_7_2017	665.71	640.11	670.37	668.65	668.18	659.41	656.5(1.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-154	-90	-197	-26	0.17	42%		47.1	3.75%	0	0.4	63	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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