Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 7, 2017

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $870.0000 (4.07%) ($845.0000 - $894.6800) on Fri. Jul. 7, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.99% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $870.0000(4.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 3.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TBT(12%)    UUP(12%)    VIXM(1%)    UNG(-1%)    IYT(-4%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -2.495% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDX(-96%)    SIL(-89%)    GLD(-72%)    SLV(-62%)    BWX(-40%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.495% (StdDev 4.99%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2%

5 Day Moving Average   $825.65(5.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $788.9(10.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $774.61(12.31%)
To recent high   -7.4%
To recent low   40.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 5.86% (three month std-dev: 4.99%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 27 Average positive next day return: 1.89%(70%) Average negative next day return: -2.27%(30%) Sample size 27 Average positive next three day return: 6.09%(52%) Average negative next three day return: -4.43%(48%) Sample size 27 Average positive next weekly return: 8.66%(44%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.2%(56%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170807

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_7_2017	772.7	774.61	788.9	825.65	837.03	846.77	870(4.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	292	120	332	171	0.15	65%	0.32	82.3	4.99%	0	2.1	59	0
2	Jul_6_2017	770.26	764.93	776.24	809.25	817.16	826.37	836(3.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	66	110	72	49	0.13	65%	0.24	66.7	4.97%	0	1.6	57	0
3	Jul_5_2017	768.41	755.54	769.71	790.55	805.31	827.29	806.75(-3.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	269	250	314	132	0.17	65%	0.36	41.3	4.95%	0	1.1	56	0
4	Jul_3_2017	765.68	747.05	769.43	780.85	786.56	807.94	838.5(7.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	350	210	407	177	0.12	65%	0.28	22.7	4.91%	0	1.8	69	0
5	Jun_30_2017	763.55	741.3	764.09	759.3	762.76	783.34	777(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	239	200	279	118	0.13	63%	0.16	13.6	4.84%	0	0.8	60	0

6	Jun_29_2017	762.31	738.97	764.56	746.25	749.24	765.18	788(6.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	288	160	337	140	0.2	63%	0.24	5.8	4.86%	0	1	62	0
7	Jun_28_2017	760.5	736.58	763.39	738.65	733.59	742.18	742.5(-2.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	79	60	89	50	0.17	63%	0.15	4.5	4.81%	0	0.1	63	0
8	Jun_27_2017	759.37	736.23	765.82	745.9	733.41	733.31	758.25(3.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-3	-50	-15	33	0.2	63%	0.18	7.9	4.89%	0	0.5	70	0
9	Jun_26_2017	758.01	735.42	760.55	756.85	748.69	725	730.75(2.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-158	-250	-204	-20	0.25	63%	0.04	19.2	4.94%	0	-0.1	69	0
10	Jun_23_2017	757.7	734.9	760.16	769.95	766.96	733.5	711.75(-5.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-421	-320	-517	-133	0.23	63%	-0	26.7	4.93%	0	-0.5	50	0

11	Jun_22_2017	757.71	736.27	761.12	784.65	785.82	772.39	750(-3.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-270	-120	-343	-50	0.26	66%	-0.02	35.4	4.9%	0	0.3	53	0
12	Jun_21_2017	757.83	734.54	754.82	790.75	794.68	800.42	778.75(-4.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	53	70	37	100	0.21	66%	0.03	42.4	4.88%	0	1	54	0
13	Jun_20_2017	757.62	732.62	742.12	787.8	790.88	799.26	813(2.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	235	90	256	173	0.17	66%	-0.03	44.4	4.87%	0	1.8	60	0
14	Jun_19_2017	757.87	726.62	724	764.75	768.51	788.95	796.25(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	177	200	199	110	0.21	66%	-0.05	28.1	4.89%	0	1.7	56	0
15	Jun_16_2017	758.22	722.71	716.65	749.3	748.16	782.51	785.25(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	401	320	466	204	0.18	66%	-0.11	16.9	4.89%	0	1.6	59	0

16	Jun_15_2017	759.09	720.29	710.5	734.4	731.05	748.06	780.5(2.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	405	150	475	193	0.26	55%	-0.04	2.2	4.9%	0	1.7	55	0
17	Jun_14_2017	759.38	715.41	705.91	713.85	712.5	713.81	764(9.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	51	10	63	15	0.57	57%	-0.01	-33.2	5.67%	0	1.4	57	0
18	Jun_13_2017	759.48	713.11	702.15	689.9	702.59	714.03	697.75(-2.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	91	170	116	15	0.31	54%	-0.11	-75.9	5.65%	0	-0.5	44	0
19	Jun_12_2017	760.33	715.13	706.62	676.35	686.78	711.19	719(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	198	300	243	61	0.23	54%	-0.18	-104.8	5.66%	0	0.1	55	0
20	Jun_9_2017	761.69	716.29	706.31	679.2	674.11	691.16	710.75(4.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	171	150	212	49	0.37	51%	-0.23	-117.7	5.74%	0	-0.2	49	0

21	Jun_8_2017	763.44	719.47	708.61	683.9	680.96	662.38	677.75(5.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-29	-200	-24	-43	0.39	51%	-0.25	-124.7	5.72%	0	-1.2	43	0
22	Jun_7_2017	765.36	726.87	712.68	697.75	693.02	657.07	644.25(2.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-444	-380	-516	-226	0.4	51%	-0.25	-104.5	5.68%	0	-2	49	0
23	Jun_6_2017	767.24	738.53	723.48	716.2	718.15	699.54	630(-14.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-313	-170	-368	-149	0.59	54%	-0.18	-78.2	5.68%	0	-2.2	42	0
24	Jun_5_2017	768.66	750.96	731.77	739.4	736.62	728.97	733.25(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-63	-80	-78	-19	0.2	59%	-0.22	-63.6	5.5%	0	-0.3	50	0
25	Jun_2_2017	770.39	757.57	731.1	736.4	738.28	736.75	734.25(-1.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-45	-10	-55	-15	0.31	63%		-53.7	5.51%	0	-0.4	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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