Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jun. 5, 2017

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $733.2500 (-0.14%) ($719.9900 - $758.5000) on Mon. Jun. 5, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.5% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $733.2500(-0.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TBT(12%)    UUP(12%)    VIXM(1%)    UNG(-1%)    IYT(-4%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -2.75% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDX(-96%)    SIL(-89%)    GLD(-72%)    SLV(-62%)    BWX(-40%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.75% (StdDev 5.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.5%

Resistance Level   $750.96
5 Day Moving Average   $739.4(-0.83%)
10 Day Moving Average   $731.77(0.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $750.96(-2.36%)
To recent high   -29%
To recent low   18.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 6.9% (three month std-dev: 5.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.55%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -5.43%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.2%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170705

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_5_2017	768.66	750.96	731.77	739.4	736.62	728.97	733.25(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-63	-80	-78	-19	0.2	59%	-0.22	-63.6	5.5%	0	-0.3	50	0
2	Jun_2_2017	770.39	757.57	731.1	736.4	738.28	736.75	734.25(-1.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-45	-10	-55	-15	0.31	63%	-0.24	-53.7	5.51%	0	-0.4	49	0
3	Jun_1_2017	772.25	767.07	732.14	736.95	735.83	744.28	747(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	46	80	53	24	0.26	63%	-0.23	-40.2	5.8%	0	-0.3	46	0
4	May_31_2017	774.06	773.5	726.34	730.55	733.56	739.81	736.5(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	83	70	104	20	0.29	59%	-0.24	-36.4	5.62%	0	-0.5	39	0
5	May_30_2017	775.91	779.52	725.02	732.65	734.52	727.38	746(3.86%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.2	21	-60	36	-26	0.21	63%	-0.47	-32.6	5.64%	0	-0.4	35	0

6	May_26_2017	779.56	785.43	723.92	723.25	728.68	727.31	718.25(-2.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-99	10	-99	-100	0.22	67%	-0.18	-28	6.11%	0	-0.9	32	0
7	May_25_2017	780.98	790.16	726.5	724.85	724.77	741.66	737(3.08%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.2	80	160	115	-27	0.34	67%	-0.4	-21	6.15%	0	-0.7	34	0
8	May_24_2017	784.1	796.12	730.17	726.8	720.34	730.05	715(-4.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	147	70	199	-9	0.46	67%	-0.45	-11	6.19%	0	-1.1	26	0
9	May_23_2017	787.67	801.27	741.11	721.05	716.71	707.89	747(6.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-6	-100	22	-90	0.36	67%	-0.05	-7.1	6.17%	0	-0.8	37	0
10	May_22_2017	788.09	804.89	753.36	716.55	708	710.63	699(-3.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-161	-10	-160	-164	0.34	66%	-0.66	2.2	6.12%	0	-1.5	34	0

11	May_19_2017	793.35	807.04	770.97	724.55	715.16	725.53	726.25(-2.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	107	60	154	-33	0.28	66%	-0.46	11.5	6.07%	0	-1.1	35	0
12	May_18_2017	797.03	806.1	785.55	728.4	717.28	705.38	746.75(8.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-38	-160	-19	-94	0.37	66%	-0.84	16.9	6.1%	0	-0.8	46	0
13	May_17_2017	803.77	804.26	803.91	735.1	721.48	704.78	686.25(-5.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-325	-220	-360	-219	0.44	63%	-1.01	23.6	6.05%	0	-1.5	34	0
14	May_16_2017	811.98	806.38	824.51	764.35	750.88	729.19	724.5(-1.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-206	-260	-227	-141	0.25	63%	-0.11	37.5	6.04%	0	-1	44	0
15	May_15_2017	812.89	803.26	839.1	796.25	778.92	738.19	739(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-434	-430	-503	-227	0.26	63%	-1.1	42.8	6.05%	0	-0.7	45	0

16	May_12_2017	821.95	798.74	853.07	824.55	820.69	772.56	745.5(-4.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-493	-420	-582	-225	0.29	63%	-1.17	47.7	5.97%	0	-0.6	58	0
17	May_11_2017	831.64	793.58	860.96	850.7	856.06	819.66	780.25(-6.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-458	-280	-550	-181	0.28	63%	-1.1	48.4	5.98%	0	-0.1	65	0
18	May_10_2017	840.89	786.39	869.59	882.65	881.38	868.81	832.5(-5.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-257	-100	-326	-48	0.24	66%	-1.02	51.1	5.96%	0	0.4	69	0
19	May_9_2017	849.56	776.9	868.27	893.15	905.94	892.47	884(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	59	-60	38	122	0.29	66%	-0.96	49.2	5.94%	0	1	72	0
20	May_8_2017	857.82	767.15	861.56	888.55	896.3	893.94	880.5(0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-124	10	-184	55	0.21	66%	-0.98	47.4	6%	0	1.1	77	0

21	May_5_2017	866.31	758.02	846.64	886.2	890.84	919.41	876.25(-6.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	238	240	238	239	0.32	62%	-0.98	45.1	6.1%	0	1.1	77	0
22	May_4_2017	874.89	749.15	828.67	872.2	878.02	898.66	940(6.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	420	180	450	329	0.39	64%	-0.67	38.4	6.08%	0	1.9	85	0
23	May_3_2017	880.79	736.54	803.67	855.45	848.78	862.28	885(2.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	102	90	75	183	0.44	63%	-0.49	34.4	6.09%	0	1.7	83	0
24	May_2_2017	885.13	727.06	785.53	840.25	842.88	857.38	861(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	241	130	237	252	0.31	63%	-0.58	28.5	6.09%	0	1.6	78	0
25	May_1_2017	890.27	720.02	763.42	830.8	832.3	835.28	868.75(7.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	158	30	143	204	0.36	63%		28.7	6.15%	0	2	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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