Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Feb. 17, 2017

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $664.2500 (4.77%) ($625.2500 - $669.0000) on Fri. Feb. 17, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7% (three month average)
RSI   29
Latest Price   $664.2500(4.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST declines -6.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UUP(14%)    TBT(13%)    IPO(5%)    VIXM(1%)    UNG(-2%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -3.5% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDX(-96%)    SIL(-89%)    GLD(-72%)    SLV(-62%)    BWX(-40%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.5% (StdDev 7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5.6%

Resistance Level   $708.26
5 Day Moving Average   $652.4(1.82%)
10 Day Moving Average   $642.17(3.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $708.26(-6.21%)
To recent high   -60.9%
To recent low   8.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.05%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.05% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 11.89% (three month std-dev: 7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 4.61%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 3.94%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 4.24%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170317

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_17_2017	1076.6	708.26	642.17	652.4	650.7	642.69	664.25(4.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-87	-90	-85	-91	0.27	42%	-0.15	-57.9	7%	0	-0.5	29	0
2	Feb_16_2017	1078.22	717.24	644.94	645.45	651.64	654.44	634(-3.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-60	60	-48	-95	0.27	42%	-0.16	-59.2	7.04%	0	-0.9	25	0
3	Feb_15_2017	1079.97	729.32	652.26	649.9	655.38	658.72	656(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	73	60	112	-44	0.31	40%	-0.2	-59.3	7.04%	0	-0.8	24	0
4	Feb_14_2017	1082.1	739.55	661.72	640.7	646.54	648.84	654.75(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-13	50	14	-92	0.36	40%	-0.15	-64.6	7.19%	0	-0.9	34	0
5	Feb_13_2017	1083.77	748.34	671.22	636.15	638.33	652.03	653(3.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	37	160	73	-73	0.24	40%	-0.14	-71	7.19%	0	-1	39	0

6	Feb_10_2017	1085.24	760.55	688.3	630.6	634.49	644.23	629.5(-4.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	79	130	119	-43	0.37	52%	-0.1	-73.1	7.91%	0	-1.4	36	0
7	Feb_9_2017	1086.35	774.83	707.82	644.8	634.24	624.63	656.25(7.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-79	-160	-69	-108	0.39	52%	-0.07	-68.3	8.35%	0	-1.3	32	0
8	Feb_8_2017	1087.14	788.11	728.36	656.05	652.05	624.75	610(-3.48%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-200	-310	-213	-161	0.32	52%	-0.3	-70.8	8.34%	0	-1.9	24	0
9	Feb_7_2017	1090.36	803.87	749.01	686.4	676.45	643.84	632(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-312	-380	-348	-205	0.35	54%	-0.27	-75.1	8.34%	0	-2	28	0
10	Feb_6_2017	1093.32	819.37	764.46	711.6	711.55	679.34	625.25(-10.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-264	-320	-293	-175	0.4	54%	-0.29	-86.8	8.45%	0	-2.4	32	0

11	Feb_3_2017	1096.49	835.84	781.59	754.05	740.73	709.06	700.5(-1.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-285	-350	-321	-177	0.31	56%	-0.2	-93.2	8.36%	0	-1.9	32	0
12	Feb_2_2017	1098.65	844.42	797.15	780.1	770.25	743.75	712.5(-6.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-269	-280	-304	-163	0.29	56%	-0.2	-127.3	8.39%	0	-2.1	32	0
13	Feb_1_2017	1100.86	860.67	814.35	811.7	804.8	772.41	761.75(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-202	-310	-229	-122	0.4	56%	-0.16	-131.8	8.37%	0	-1.4	35	0
14	Jan_31_2017	1102.59	875.37	824.86	821.15	827.4	796.75	758(-9.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-252	-240	-287	-145	0.32	54%	-0.07	-140.6	8.42%	0	-1.5	35	0
15	Jan_30_2017	1103.35	896.91	832.75	824.3	840.32	837.19	837.5(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-73	30	-75	-66	0.2	56%	-0.06	-168.6	8.41%	0	-0.8	39	0

16	Jan_27_2017	1104.02	908.64	838.38	812.9	827.48	858.04	830.75(-4.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	95	310	125	5	0.2	56%	0.05	-144.6	8.41%	0	-0.8	37	0
17	Jan_26_2017	1103.44	935.04	846.14	817.35	816.51	843.45	870.5(7.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	228	230	280	72	0.29	56%	0.14	-145.8	8.42%	0	-0.6	53	0
18	Jan_25_2017	1101.94	963.23	850.33	819.7	815.34	796.92	809(4.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-30	-170	-21	-56	0.44	56%	0.08	-109.4	8.4%	0	-1	33	0
19	Jan_24_2017	1101.01	1000.83	861.01	830.95	832.63	789.58	773.75(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-299	-360	-336	-187	0.46	56%	-0.31	-89.3	8.42%	0	-1.2	27	0
20	Jan_23_2017	1104.42	1043.84	877.5	842	852.33	833.75	780.5(-8.5%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-248	-120	-272	-174	0.3	56%	-0.06	-90.8	8.46%	0	-1.4	23	0

21	Jan_20_2017	1105.03	1086.64	894.44	866.1	857.3	875.69	853(-3.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-46	120	-35	-79	0.3	58%	-0.08	-71.9	8.4%	0	-1	38	0
22	Jan_19_2017	1105.89	1125.74	895.82	878.45	874.17	870.91	882.25(1.96%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0	137	-40	188	-18	0.34	56%	-0.16	-57.2	8.38%	0	-0.9	29	0
23	Jan_18_2017	1107.7	1164.18	910.56	886.5	874.48	838.91	865.25(4.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-292	-330	-310	-237	0.35	54%	-0.13	-48.4	8.45%	0	-1	26	0
24	Jan_17_2017	1109.12	1204.86	929.6	896.8	896.78	877.44	829(-7.99%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-267	-150	-275	-244	0.35	54%	0.17	-41.9	8.54%	0	-1.2	21	0
25	Jan_13_2017	1107.28	1248.22	966.15	917.95	919.22	910.06	901(-1.5%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-57	-70	-23	-157	0.36	54%		-33.5	8.46%	0	-1.1	22	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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