Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ DUST: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Dec. 21, 2016

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $1668.2500 (0.2%) ($1623.7500 - $1707.2500) on Wed. Dec. 21, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.18% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $1668.2500(0.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 15.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UUP(15%)    TBT(14%)    IPO(5%)    VIXM(1%)    UNG(-1%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -4.09% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDX(-96%)    SIL(-89%)    GLD(-72%)    SLV(-61%)    BWX(-41%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.09% (StdDev 8.18%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $1681.2(-0.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1527.53(9.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1426.32(16.96%)
To recent high   -1.9%
To recent low   127.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.07%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.07% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 11.7% (three month std-dev: 8.18%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 3.35%(60%) Average negative next day return: -4.34%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 3.59%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -6.18%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 3.95%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.25%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170121

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_21_2016	1029.36	1426.32	1527.53	1681.2	1684.28	1694.19	1668.25(0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-22	50	-59	90	0.13	63%	1.06	68.4	8.18%	0	1.4	64	0
2	Dec_20_2016	1018.61	1405.3	1485.06	1648.85	1692.14	1699.91	1665(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	421	110	467	283	0.22	63%	1.04	67.8	8.63%	0	1.6	66	0
3	Dec_19_2016	1008.12	1384.9	1446.47	1576.1	1603.42	1674.38	1676.75(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	228	360	246	174	0.2	63%	1.04	54.8	8.62%	0	1.9	69	0
4	Dec_16_2016	997.76	1366.95	1403.61	1511.65	1518.92	1684.37	1695.75(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.4	1020	780	1183	532	0.29	63%	1.01	45.2	8.63%	0	2.5	71	0
5	Dec_15_2016	987.81	1346	1357	1446.7	1434.69	1532.47	1700.25(12.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	1174	450	1372	581	0.47	63%	1.02	46	8.62%	0	3.2	60	0

6	Dec_14_2016	977.81	1320.68	1322.11	1354.25	1343.29	1353.47	1506.5(15.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	183	30	214	88	0.52	61%	0.71	49.3	8.51%	0	2.4	53	0
7	Dec_13_2016	970.89	1304.64	1305.12	1299.7	1312.85	1336.91	1301.25(-3.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	102	160	122	40	0.23	60%	0.43	45.6	8.31%	0	-0	55	0
8	Dec_12_2016	966.76	1307.39	1304.14	1296.1	1285.58	1333.11	1354.5(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	282	230	334	124	0.23	60%	0.58	69.8	8.39%	0	0.7	57	0
9	Dec_9_2016	961.2	1309.2	1294.72	1277.15	1266.96	1288.8	1371(10.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	278	100	333	114	0.3	63%	0.6	94.9	8.46%	0	0.9	52	0
10	Dec_8_2016	955.42	1297.36	1297.58	1253.35	1258.9	1238.06	1238(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-79	-100	-86	-56	0.23	61%	0.38	92	8.59%	0	-0.7	49	0

11	Dec_7_2016	951.81	1284.08	1317.49	1285.45	1270.2	1245.12	1233.75(-3.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-301	-170	-354	-143	0.32	61%	0.51	75.4	8.62%	0	-0.4	54	0
12	Dec_6_2016	946.94	1274.29	1321.77	1311.4	1312.88	1279.75	1283.25(1.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-146	-170	-174	-61	0.22	57%	0.6	78.8	8.6%	0	0.1	59	0
13	Dec_5_2016	941.33	1260.91	1321.9	1312.6	1336.91	1295.28	1259.75(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-261	-160	-308	-118	0.38	57%	0.56	73.7	8.81%	0	-0	48	0
14	Dec_2_2016	936.06	1244.33	1331.33	1313.1	1342.92	1346	1252(-10.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-180	80	-212	-82	0.3	55%	0.58	60.4	8.88%	0	0	45	0
15	Dec_1_2016	930.65	1226.74	1338.28	1346.95	1349.8	1378.53	1398.5(2.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	176	160	201	102	0.27	55%	0.76	55.2	8.88%	0	0.9	65	0

16	Nov_30_2016	923.63	1203.36	1321.07	1356	1354.34	1339.84	1363.5(5.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	43	-80	39	56	0.28	57%	0.64	53.3	8.95%	0	0.8	71	0
17	Nov_29_2016	917.73	1179.96	1304.85	1335.3	1375.03	1321.06	1289.25(2.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-188	-190	-234	-50	0.28	57%	0.65	46.8	9.09%	0	0.6	65	0
18	Nov_28_2016	911.76	1163.68	1311.7	1332.45	1366.56	1368.84	1262.25(-11.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-234	90	-294	-54	0.29	57%	0.62	44.5	9.09%	0	0.5	65	0
19	Nov_25_2016	906.13	1152.78	1325.77	1349.8	1354.52	1429	1421.25(-1.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	375	400	411	266	0.16	60%	0.94	50.4	8.96%	0	1.3	74	0
20	Nov_23_2016	897.72	1133.53	1296.64	1327.5	1340.75	1364.28	1443.75(14.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	542	150	605	353	0.34	63%	0.74	54.1	9.24%	0	1.7	75	0

21	Nov_22_2016	891.14	1110.51	1246.75	1283.25	1297.02	1280.03	1260(-1.18%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.1	-108	-60	-158	41	0.34	61%	0.42	52.5	9.1%	0	0.9	68	0
22	Nov_21_2016	887.41	1094.87	1223.23	1270.1	1283.77	1317.22	1275(-5.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	39	210	13	117	0.3	61%	0.5	49.5	9.11%	0	1.1	70	0
23	Nov_18_2016	882.99	1081.31	1196.05	1287.5	1284.33	1314	1349(3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	287	150	300	247	0.32	61%	0.43	50.9	9.1%	0	1.6	67	0
24	Nov_17_2016	879.25	1060.62	1151.18	1299.05	1298.77	1250.31	1309.75(7.14%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	11	-260	-25	120	0.51	61%	0.31	49.4	9.11%	0	1.6	61	0
25	Nov_16_2016	876.54	1041.14	1107.22	1261.4	1301.13	1254.66	1222.5(2.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-266	-160	-345	-30	0.28	61%		38.7	9.09%	0	1.2	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.