Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 20, 2016

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $1665.0000 (-0.7%) ($1654.0000 - $1811.7500) on Tue. Dec. 20, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.63% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $1665.0000(-0.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 4.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 13.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UUP(15%)    TBT(14%)    IPO(5%)    VIXM(1%)    UNG(-1%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -4.315% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDX(-96%)    SIL(-89%)    GLD(-72%)    SLV(-61%)    BWX(-41%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.315% (StdDev 8.63%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -6.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $1648.85(0.98%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1485.06(12.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1405.3(18.48%)
To recent high   -2.1%
To recent low   127.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.07%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.07% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 11.39% (three month std-dev: 8.63%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 19 Average positive next day return: 3.11%(53%) Average negative next day return: -1.3%(47%) Sample size 19 Average positive next three day return: 4.77%(42%) Average negative next three day return: -4.93%(58%) Sample size 19 Average positive next weekly return: 4.51%(53%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.58%(47%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_20_2016	1018.61	1405.3	1485.06	1648.85	1692.14	1699.91	1665(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	421	110	467	283	0.22	63%	1.04	67.8	8.63%	0	1.6	66	INF
2	Dec_19_2016	1008.12	1384.9	1446.47	1576.1	1603.42	1674.38	1676.75(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	228	360	246	174	0.2	63%	1.04	54.8	8.62%	0	1.9	69	INF
3	Dec_16_2016	997.76	1366.95	1403.61	1511.65	1518.92	1684.37	1695.75(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.4	1020	780	1183	532	0.29	63%	1.01	45.2	8.63%	0	2.5	71	INF
4	Dec_15_2016	987.81	1346	1357	1446.7	1434.69	1532.47	1700.25(12.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	1174	450	1372	581	0.47	63%	1.02	46	8.62%	0	3.2	60	INF
5	Dec_14_2016	977.81	1320.68	1322.11	1354.25	1343.29	1353.47	1506.5(15.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	183	30	214	88	0.52	61%	0.71	49.3	8.51%	0	2.4	53	INF

6	Dec_13_2016	970.89	1304.64	1305.12	1299.7	1312.85	1336.91	1301.25(-3.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	102	160	122	40	0.23	60%	0.43	45.6	8.31%	0	-0	55	INF
7	Dec_12_2016	966.76	1307.39	1304.14	1296.1	1285.58	1333.11	1354.5(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	282	230	334	124	0.23	60%	0.58	69.8	8.39%	0	0.7	57	INF
8	Dec_9_2016	961.2	1309.2	1294.72	1277.15	1266.96	1288.8	1371(10.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	278	100	333	114	0.3	63%	0.6	94.9	8.46%	0	0.9	52	INF
9	Dec_8_2016	955.42	1297.36	1297.58	1253.35	1258.9	1238.06	1238(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-79	-100	-86	-56	0.23	61%	0.38	92	8.59%	0	-0.7	49	INF
10	Dec_7_2016	951.81	1284.08	1317.49	1285.45	1270.2	1245.12	1233.75(-3.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-301	-170	-354	-143	0.32	61%	0.51	75.4	8.62%	0	-0.4	54	INF

11	Dec_6_2016	946.94	1274.29	1321.77	1311.4	1312.88	1279.75	1283.25(1.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-146	-170	-174	-61	0.22	57%	0.6	78.8	8.6%	0	0.1	59	INF
12	Dec_5_2016	941.33	1260.91	1321.9	1312.6	1336.91	1295.28	1259.75(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-261	-160	-308	-118	0.38	57%	0.56	73.7	8.81%	0	-0	48	INF
13	Dec_2_2016	936.06	1244.33	1331.33	1313.1	1342.92	1346	1252(-10.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-180	80	-212	-82	0.3	55%	0.58	60.4	8.88%	0	0	45	INF
14	Dec_1_2016	930.65	1226.74	1338.28	1346.95	1349.8	1378.53	1398.5(2.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	176	160	201	102	0.27	55%	0.76	55.2	8.88%	0	0.9	65	INF
15	Nov_30_2016	923.63	1203.36	1321.07	1356	1354.34	1339.84	1363.5(5.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	43	-80	39	56	0.28	57%	0.64	53.3	8.95%	0	0.8	71	INF

16	Nov_29_2016	917.73	1179.96	1304.85	1335.3	1375.03	1321.06	1289.25(2.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-188	-190	-234	-50	0.28	57%	0.65	46.8	9.09%	0	0.6	65	INF
17	Nov_28_2016	911.76	1163.68	1311.7	1332.45	1366.56	1368.84	1262.25(-11.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-234	90	-294	-54	0.29	57%	0.62	44.5	9.09%	0	0.5	65	INF
18	Nov_25_2016	906.13	1152.78	1325.77	1349.8	1354.52	1429	1421.25(-1.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	375	400	411	266	0.16	60%	0.94	50.4	8.96%	0	1.3	74	INF
19	Nov_23_2016	897.72	1133.53	1296.64	1327.5	1340.75	1364.28	1443.75(14.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	542	150	605	353	0.34	63%	0.74	54.1	9.24%	0	1.7	75	INF
20	Nov_22_2016	891.14	1110.51	1246.75	1283.25	1297.02	1280.03	1260(-1.18%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.1	-108	-60	-158	41	0.34	61%	0.42	52.5	9.1%	0	0.9	68	INF

21	Nov_21_2016	887.41	1094.87	1223.23	1270.1	1283.77	1317.22	1275(-5.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	39	210	13	117	0.3	61%	0.5	49.5	9.11%	0	1.1	70	INF
22	Nov_18_2016	882.99	1081.31	1196.05	1287.5	1284.33	1314	1349(3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	287	150	300	247	0.32	61%	0.43	50.9	9.1%	0	1.6	67	INF
23	Nov_17_2016	879.25	1060.62	1151.18	1299.05	1298.77	1250.31	1309.75(7.14%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	11	-260	-25	120	0.51	61%	0.31	49.4	9.11%	0	1.6	61	INF
24	Nov_16_2016	876.54	1041.14	1107.22	1261.4	1301.13	1254.66	1222.5(2.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-266	-160	-345	-30	0.28	61%	0.13	38.7	9.09%	0	1.2	58	INF
25	Nov_15_2016	875.4	1026.09	1077.29	1202.2	1254.64	1347.22	1194.25(-12.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	305	650	335	215	0.31	61%		19.4	9.09%	0	1.2	60	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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