Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ DUST: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Dec. 1, 2016

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $1398.5000 (2.57%) ($1302.2500 - $1473.2500) on Thu. Dec. 1, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.88% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $1398.5000(2.57%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 3.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UUP(15%)    TBT(14%)    VIXM(1%)    UNG(-1%)    IYT(-3%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -4.44% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDX(-96%)    SIL(-89%)    GLD(-72%)    SLV(-61%)    BWX(-41%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.44% (StdDev 8.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

5 Day Moving Average   $1346.95(3.83%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1338.28(4.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1226.74(14%)
To recent high   -3.1%
To recent low   94.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.08%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.08% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 14.89% (three month std-dev: 8.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 3.27%(25%) Average negative next day return: -5.34%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -8.22%(100%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -10.34%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170101

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_1_2016	930.65	1226.74	1338.28	1346.95	1349.8	1378.53	1398.5(2.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	176	160	201	102	0.27	55%	0.76	55.2	8.88%	0	0.9	65	0
2	Nov_30_2016	923.63	1203.36	1321.07	1356	1354.34	1339.84	1363.5(5.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	43	-80	39	56	0.28	57%	0.64	53.3	8.95%	0	0.8	71	0
3	Nov_29_2016	917.73	1179.96	1304.85	1335.3	1375.03	1321.06	1289.25(2.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-188	-190	-234	-50	0.28	57%	0.65	46.8	9.09%	0	0.6	65	0
4	Nov_28_2016	911.76	1163.68	1311.7	1332.45	1366.56	1368.84	1262.25(-11.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-234	90	-294	-54	0.29	57%	0.62	44.5	9.09%	0	0.5	65	0
5	Nov_25_2016	906.13	1152.78	1325.77	1349.8	1354.52	1429	1421.25(-1.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	375	400	411	266	0.16	60%	0.94	50.4	8.96%	0	1.3	74	0

6	Nov_23_2016	897.72	1133.53	1296.64	1327.5	1340.75	1364.28	1443.75(14.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	542	150	605	353	0.34	63%	0.74	54.1	9.24%	0	1.7	75	0
7	Nov_22_2016	891.14	1110.51	1246.75	1283.25	1297.02	1280.03	1260(-1.18%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.1	-108	-60	-158	41	0.34	61%	0.42	52.5	9.1%	0	0.9	68	0
8	Nov_21_2016	887.41	1094.87	1223.23	1270.1	1283.77	1317.22	1275(-5.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	39	210	13	117	0.3	61%	0.5	49.5	9.11%	0	1.1	70	0
9	Nov_18_2016	882.99	1081.31	1196.05	1287.5	1284.33	1314	1349(3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	287	150	300	247	0.32	61%	0.43	50.9	9.1%	0	1.6	67	0
10	Nov_17_2016	879.25	1060.62	1151.18	1299.05	1298.77	1250.31	1309.75(7.14%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	11	-260	-25	120	0.51	61%	0.31	49.4	9.11%	0	1.6	61	0

11	Nov_16_2016	876.54	1041.14	1107.22	1261.4	1301.13	1254.66	1222.5(2.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-266	-160	-345	-30	0.28	61%	0.13	38.7	9.09%	0	1.2	58	0
12	Nov_15_2016	875.4	1026.09	1077.29	1202.2	1254.64	1347.22	1194.25(-12.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	305	650	335	215	0.31	61%	0.16	19.4	9.09%	0	1.2	60	0
13	Nov_14_2016	874.03	1016.36	1046.41	1164	1154.77	1347.6	1362(-3.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.4	1221	1150	1417	632	0.56	64%	0.31	3.5	8.93%	0	2.5	68	0
14	Nov_11_2016	871.32	1002.46	1002.58	1089.1	1046.89	1162.06	1406.75(25.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	1191	650	1391	589	0.56	64%	0.09	-14.7	8.91%	0	3.3	65	0
15	Nov_10_2016	870.56	988.32	961.02	985.8	974.22	961.94	1121.5(21.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	285	-120	336	133	0.38	60%	-0.21	-52.1	8.4%	0	1.5	60	0

16	Nov_9_2016	872.35	987.03	951.92	934.05	934.19	931.72	926.5(-7.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-301	-20	-349	-155	0.53	55%	-0.53	-67.6	8.07%	0	-0.6	52	0
17	Nov_8_2016	877.03	999.43	959.88	932.9	936.98	986.5	1003.25(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	358	380	424	158	0.39	55%	-0.32	-57.3	8.01%	0	0	57	0
18	Nov_7_2016	879.87	1011.47	954.12	908.75	908.7	936.66	987.5(10.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	341	220	409	137	0.34	55%	-0.31	-56.1	8.02%	0	-0.2	49	0
19	Nov_4_2016	882.61	1020.69	956.22	902.25	881.75	887.47	890.25(3.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-71	-20	-72	-66	0.31	53%	-0.47	-45.3	7.98%	0	-1.1	35	0
20	Nov_3_2016	886.81	1036.53	963.55	933.35	909.99	880.75	862.75(-6.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-122	-300	-132	-93	0.32	53%	-0.38	-26.2	7.99%	0	-1.4	31	0

21	Nov_2_2016	890.19	1054.74	972.55	972.8	950.41	876.03	920.75(4.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-477	-620	-550	-258	0.52	53%	-0.49	-3.8	7.95%	0	-1.2	39	0
22	Nov_1_2016	894.54	1065.73	974.77	990.3	989.54	939.23	882.5(-7.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-558	-360	-642	-304	0.45	53%	-0.43	13.6	7.95%	0	-1.6	33	0
23	Oct_31_2016	898.43	1079.88	989.13	1003.7	1016.08	1024.79	955(-8.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-72	100	-68	-85	0.3	53%	-0.34	29.5	7.91%	0	-1.1	32	0
24	Oct_28_2016	901.51	1078.43	1006.33	1016.4	1008.19	1039.84	1045.75(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	217	200	272	52	0.39	55%	-0.18	34	7.9%	0	-0.3	43	0
25	Oct_27_2016	903.17	1069.7	1018.55	998.2	991.78	1007.38	1060(5.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	213	90	270	43	0.28	51%		29.1	7.9%	0	-0.1	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.